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marcob trendhoo btcusdt 2h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @marcob
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c85229b8]

🛡️ TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 2H 23.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
202.62%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
58.82%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.276
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.58%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
238
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 8, 2021
1,740
Days
238
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 15, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-06-08 04:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.51
  • Calmar: -0.58
  • Longest DD Days: 93.00
  • Volatility: 63.43
  • Skew: 1.24
  • Kurtosis: 0.91
  • Expected Daily: 0.54
  • Expected Monthly: 11.97
  • Expected Yearly: 288.23
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.78
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.17
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.63
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-15 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 140
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 14
  • Number Losing Trades: 98
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.58
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.25
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.89
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.25
  • Tail Ratio: 2.26
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.43
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.20
  • Serenity Index: 1.86

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+2.28%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.36%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.11%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+202,770.50%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1,390,643.42%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+995,203.10%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+4,256,880.16%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
239
Cumulative
-2.61%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
38,422,791.22%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.40%
+27,395.50%
Simple P&L
-3.97%
+42,040.97%
Simple P&L
+2.87%
+74,863.57%
Simple P&L
-10.88%
+41,217.59%
Simple P&L
+10.64%
+261,441.68%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
+190,550.02%
Simple P&L
+2.81%
+33,612.21%
Simple P&L
2022
-3.46%
+469,641.72%
Simple P&L
+1.57%
+206,037.31%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
+172,973.69%
Simple P&L
+2.05%
+101,706.36%
Simple P&L
-2.96%
+671,907.50%
Simple P&L
-0.98%
+1,028,954.30%
Simple P&L
+3.00%
+486,407.44%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
+356,478.45%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+103,717.20%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+377,809.28%
Simple P&L
+0.31%
+545,700.28%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+174,463.38%
Simple P&L
2023
-2.57%
+623,712.51%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+471,511.25%
Simple P&L
+1.51%
+525,492.73%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+393,012.66%
Simple P&L
+2.45%
+254,082.79%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+750,152.39%
Simple P&L
-1.60%
+336,237.08%
Simple P&L
-3.62%
+898,010.24%
Simple P&L
+3.35%
+174,336.10%
Simple P&L
-0.49%
+717,594.42%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+640,920.49%
Simple P&L
+2.44%
+474,939.33%
Simple P&L
2024
-2.38%
+796,426.62%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+1,770,286.36%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
+1,455,949.69%
Simple P&L
+1.67%
+1,387,731.73%
Simple P&L
-2.50%
+1,543,393.61%
Simple P&L
+1.92%
+571,906.54%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+1,375,219.51%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+1,890,588.78%
Simple P&L
+2.93%
+711,627.29%
Simple P&L
-1.61%
+1,415,410.00%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
+815,696.42%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+595,585.92%
Simple P&L
2025
-2.27%
+1,101,040.62%
Simple P&L
-1.70%
+1,311,238.51%
Simple P&L
+2.48%
+793,425.12%
Simple P&L
+1.92%
+1,228,438.46%
Simple P&L
-1.70%
+1,299,694.25%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+754,137.29%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
+471,374.10%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+854,523.62%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

239

Number of Trades

-2.61%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

202770.5%

30 Days

995203.1%

60 Days

1390643.42%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-1246.9-0.41
Net Profit202617.28202.62272185.98272.19-69568.7-69.57
Gross Profit937660.61937.66556593.91556.59381066.7381.07
Gross Loss735043.33735.04284407.93284.41450635.4450.64
Expected Payoff851.332543.79-531.06
Commission Paid37930.416909.7321020.68
Buy & Hold Return98687.3698.69
Buy & Hold % Gain98.69
Strategy Outperformance103929.92
Max Contracts Held1211.012.0
Annualized Return (cagr)23.7228.74-20.44
Return On Initial Capital202.62272.19-69.57
Account Size Required220670.1
Return On Account Size Required91.82123.35-31.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)41878.8241.88
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)132000.9132.0
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)399057.7279.97
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)399.06
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)78 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)32266.2432.27
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.911.23-0.32
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)219430.05219.43
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)220670.144.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)220.67
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss925.292150.62-317.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.879.897.5
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.984.454.86
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades238.0107.0131.0
Number Winning Trades140.064.076.0
Number Losing Trades98.043.055.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable58.8259.8158.02
Avg P&l851.333.212543.794.02-531.062.55
Avg Winning Trade6697.587.418696.788.525014.046.47
Avg Losing Trade7500.442.786614.142.678193.372.87
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8931.3150.612
Largest Winning Trade55039.3755039.3728591.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent19.7319.739.92
Largest Losing Trade21897.6412656.1721897.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.665.225.66
Avg # Bars In Trades53.069.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades63.089.041.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.041.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.236
Sortino Ratio0.509
Profit Factor1.2761.9570.846
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-1246.9-0.41
Net Profit202617.28202.62272185.98272.19-69568.7-69.57
Gross Profit937660.61937.66556593.91556.59381066.7381.07
Gross Loss735043.33735.04284407.93284.41450635.4450.64
Expected Payoff851.332543.79-531.06
Commission Paid37930.416909.7321020.68
Buy & Hold Return98687.3698.69
Buy & Hold % Gain98.69
Strategy Outperformance103929.92
Max Contracts Held1211.012.0
Annualized Return (cagr)23.7228.74-20.44
Return On Initial Capital202.62272.19-69.57
Account Size Required220670.1
Return On Account Size Required91.82123.35-31.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)41878.8241.88
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)132000.9132.0
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)399057.7279.97
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)399.06
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)78 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)32266.2432.27
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.911.23-0.32
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)219430.05219.43
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)220670.144.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)220.67
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss925.292150.62-317.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.879.897.5
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.984.454.86
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades238.0107.0131.0
Number Winning Trades140.064.076.0
Number Losing Trades98.043.055.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable58.8259.8158.02
Avg P&l851.333.212543.794.02-531.062.55
Avg Winning Trade6697.587.418696.788.525014.046.47
Avg Losing Trade7500.442.786614.142.678193.372.87
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8931.3150.612
Largest Winning Trade55039.3755039.3728591.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent19.7319.739.92
Largest Losing Trade21897.6412656.1721897.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.665.225.66
Avg # Bars In Trades53.069.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades63.089.041.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.041.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.236
Sortino Ratio0.509
Profit Factor1.2761.9570.846
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 202.77%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 23.82%
Sharpe Ratio 0.239
Sortino Ratio 0.516
Profit Factor 1.33
Maximum Drawdown 44.93%
Volatility (Annualized) 63.56%

The strategy shows a solid cumulative return of 202.77% and an annualized return of 23.82%. Although the Sharpe ratio of 0.239 is below the desired threshold, the Sortino ratio is slightly better at 0.516, indicating some resilience during negative periods. However, the maximum drawdown of 44.93% is above the preferred limit, suggesting room for improvement in risk control.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy has potential for real-world trading, especially if adjustments are made to address the high drawdown observed. While the current market conditions may favor the strategy, performance can be improved significantly by optimizing the risk controls. Given the profitability and resilience suggested by the higher outperformance against Buy & Hold, there's a strong foundation for making adjustments to enhance viability.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management can be improved to mitigate the high drawdowns and optimize volatility management. Here are some suggestions:

  • Utilize less leverage which could naturally decrease drawdowns.
  • Implement more rigorous stop-loss mechanisms to better contain losses.
  • Diversify the trading portfolio to reduce reliance on a single asset class, thereby spreading risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and stability, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters and revisit leverage settings to manage risks effectively.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points, enhancing precision.
  • Perform out-of-sample and forward testing to confirm robustness across varying market conditions.
  • Explore advanced risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations and stress testing.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy showcases promising returns and a competitive edge over the Buy & Hold approach, enhancements are necessary to manage drawdowns and volatility better. With targeted optimizations and rigorous testing, there's significant potential for this strategy to evolve into a strong, robust trading system.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements, particularly in risk management, to bolster its robustness and adapt better to different market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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