Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [0283c67f]
🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND GALAUSDT 30M 28.05
@kifscrypto
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2018-12-06 20:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
- Sortino Ratio: 2.22
- Calmar: -4.01
- Longest DD Days: 91.00
- Volatility: 2.40
- Skew: -1.58
- Kurtosis: 5.53
- Expected Daily: 0.03
- Expected Monthly: 0.54
- Expected Yearly: 6.70
- Kelly Criterion: 27.56
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.29
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.40
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-15 22:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 24
- Number Winning Trades 1,332
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 393
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.01
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
- Payoff Ratio: 0.46
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
- Tail Ratio: 0.79
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.61
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.08
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 92.44
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $3831.09 |
CAGR | 7.49% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.22 |
Profit Factor | 1.556 |
Maximum Drawdown | -59.03% |
Volatility | 2.4% |
Percent Profitable | 77.22% |
The strategy demonstrates a net profit of $3831.09 and a profit factor of 1.556, suggesting an overall profitable system. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.24 indicates a need for improved risk-adjusted returns. Although the Sortino ratio is higher at 2.22, showing that downside risk is better managed than total volatility suggests, the maximum drawdown of -59.03% raises a red flag regarding risk exposure.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy faces challenges in real-world trading due to the significant drawdown, which exceeds the acceptable threshold, against a backdrop of a reasonable profit factor and a high percentage of profitable trades. The low Sharpe ratio is a concern, so the strategy may be susceptible to unstable market conditions. It's crucial to explore improvements to mitigate these risks and adapt to volatile crypto markets before employing this strategy broadly.
Risk Management
The strategy reflects a potential for improvement in risk management. The following points merit attention:
- Redefining leverage usage can effectively decrease maximum drawdown, allowing for sustainable trading conditions.
- Implementing strict stop-loss measures and actively monitoring positions can reduce the impact of sudden market downturns.
- Exploring diversification in asset selection can lead to more stable returns while mitigating sector-specific risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance, consider implementing the following suggestions:
- Optimize strategy parameters that govern entries and exits to improve trade timing and enhance earning potential.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators or sentiment analysis to provide more robust entry and exit signals.
- Evaluate different market scenarios to validate the strategy’s effectiveness under various conditions, which will boost confidence in its robustness.
- Develop a sophisticated risk management framework, utilizing metrics like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and adjusting for varying market volatilities.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy offers a substantial profit potential but falls short in risk management, as evidenced by the high drawdown and low Sharpe ratio. The high win rate and profit factor indicate a solid basis for improvement. However, the strategy requires optimization and comprehensive risk controls to improve its resilience to market shifts.
Recommendation: Before proceeding with real-world application, invest in further optimization and rigorous testing to enhance the strategy's robustness, focusing especially on risk management and leverage adjustments to sustain profitability in volatile market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 1.66% | 6.22% | 2.06% | 0.74% | 0.26% | 0.82% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 8.99% | 3.13% | 3.34% | 3.52% | -1.80% | 5.77% | 1.20% | 2.44% | -0.41% | 4.03% | -2.21% | 2.60% |
2022 | -0.34% | 11.76% | 2.98% | -0.07% | 2.26% | 1.73% | 2.73% | 3.11% | 0.24% | -0.79% | 1.28% | 4.06% |
2021 | 0.16% | 1.95% | 2.00% | 4.13% | 1.83% | 3.84% | 6.08% | 2.10% | 2.54% | -2.12% | 2.80% | 5.18% |
2020 | 12.24% | 8.32% | 6.28% | 18.00% | 5.54% | -2.41% | 9.16% | 2.01% | 3.62% | 6.15% | 1.32% | 10.35% |
2019 | -13.62% | 132.54% | -8.28% | -5.67% | 13.05% | 31.75% | -2.04% | 39.14% | 4.30% | 17.37% | 8.81% | -4.16% |
2018 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 18.63% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
181
Number of Trades
1.65%
Cumulative Returns
72.38%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.96%
30 Days
0.69%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 54,663.94 USD | 3,769.93 | 38,449.07 USD | 2,651.66 | 16,214.88 USD | 1,118.27 |
Gross Profit | 140,253.62 | 9,672.66 | 98,726.23 | 6,808.71 | 41,527.40 | 2,863.96 |
Gross Loss | 85,589.68 | 5,902.74 | 60,277.16 | 4,157.05 | 25,312.52 | 1,745.69 |
Max Run-up | 55,959.03 | 97.93 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,880.34 | 59.03 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 26,473.78 | 1,825.78 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.256 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.373 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.639 | 1.638 | 1.641 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 13 | 13 | 10 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 12,949.28 | 9,240.86 | 3,708.42 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,545 | 834 | 711 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1,201 | 639 | 562 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 344 | 195 | 149 | |||
Percent Profitable | 77.73 | 76.62 | 79.04 | |||
Avg Trade | 35.38 | 0.88 | 46.10 | 0.84 | 22.81 | 0.93 |
Avg Winning Trade | 116.78 | 1.57 | 154.50 | 1.53 | 73.89 | 1.60 |
Avg Losing Trade | 248.81 | 1.51 | 309.11 | 1.43 | 169.88 | 1.60 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.469 | 0.5 | 0.435 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 365.82 | 3.96 | 365.82 | 3.96 | 356.51 | 3.88 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,294.83 | 6.95 | 1,294.83 | 6.31 | 539.13 | 6.95 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 18 | 16 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 16 | 14 | 18 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 23 | 28 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 55,550.78 USD | 3,831.09 | 36,428.80 USD | 2,512.33 | 19,121.98 USD | 1,318.76 |
Gross Profit | 155,472.19 | 10,722.22 | 106,006.86 | 7,310.82 | 49,465.34 | 3,411.40 |
Gross Loss | 99,921.41 | 6,891.13 | 69,578.05 | 4,798.49 | 30,343.36 | 2,092.65 |
Max Run-up | 57,615.87 | 97.99 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,966.95 | 59.03 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 38,966.04 | 2,687.31 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.242 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.22 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.556 | 1.524 | 1.63 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 13 | 13 | 10 | |||
Open PL | 188.33 | 0.33 | ||||
Commission Paid | 14,634.88 | 10,270.63 | 4,364.25 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,725 | 904 | 821 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1,332 | 683 | 649 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 393 | 221 | 172 | |||
Percent Profitable | 77.22 | 75.55 | 79.05 | |||
Avg Trade | 32.20 | 0.87 | 40.30 | 0.81 | 23.29 | 0.94 |
Avg Winning Trade | 116.72 | 1.57 | 155.21 | 1.52 | 76.22 | 1.62 |
Avg Losing Trade | 254.25 | 1.50 | 314.83 | 1.42 | 176.41 | 1.61 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.459 | 0.493 | 0.432 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 365.82 | 5.01 | 365.82 | 3.96 | 356.51 | 5.01 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,294.83 | 6.95 | 1,294.83 | 6.31 | 539.13 | 6.95 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 18 | 17 | 19 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 16 | 14 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 26 | 24 | 27 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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