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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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gentlesir precisiontrendmastery nearusdt 30m 21.05

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [24fb656a]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY NEARUSDT 30M 21.05

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
-44%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
45.37%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.784
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.01%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
108
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 8, 2025
450
Days
108
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 23, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-08 04:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.22
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.29
  • Calmar: 0.42
  • Longest DD Days: 106.00
  • Volatility: 0.59
  • Skew: 0.10
  • Kurtosis: -0.78
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: -0.10
  • Expected Yearly: -1.19
  • Kelly Criterion: -13.35
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.06
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.07
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-23 06:24:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 49
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 59
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.42
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.77
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.94
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.77
  • Tail Ratio: 0.83
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.52
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.32
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: -0.31

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+3.97%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.11%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.43%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.48%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-2.52%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+20.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+14.56%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+26.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
45.0%
Total Trades
109
Cumulative
-2.01%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-31.26%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-4.68%
-1.11%
Simple P&L
-2.24%
-17.90%
Simple P&L
+5.12%
-11.22%
Simple P&L
+0.05%
+3.87%
Simple P&L
-1.89%
-6.29%
Simple P&L
-2.13%
-5.55%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
-12.51%
Simple P&L
+1.10%
+0.91%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-4.38%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

109

Number of Trades

-2.01%

Cumulative Returns

44.95%

Win Rate

2024-05-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.52%

30 Days

14.56%

60 Days

20.93%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l0.850.15
Net Profit-440.04-44.0-47.99-4.8-392.06-39.21
Gross Profit1600.4160.04672.7667.28927.6592.76
Gross Loss2040.45204.04720.7472.071319.7131.97
Expected Payoff-4.07-1.02-6.43
Commission Paid117.0247.969.12
Buy & Hold Return-773.38-77.34
Buy & Hold % Gain-77.34
Strategy Outperformance333.34
Max Contracts Held846719.0846.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-37.79-3.95-33.46
Return On Initial Capital-44.0-4.8-39.21
Account Size Required889.82
Return On Account Size Required-49.45-5.39-44.06
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)72 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)179.1717.92
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)204.1820.42
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)275.1143.61
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)27.51
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)289 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)868.8686.89
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.49-0.05-0.44
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)868.8686.89
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)889.8272.64
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)88.98
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-544.6-72.2-485.21
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.048.778.7
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.969.226.12
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades108.047.061.0
Number Winning Trades49.023.026.0
Number Losing Trades59.024.035.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.3748.9442.62
Avg P&l-4.07-0.29-1.020.05-6.43-0.55
Avg Winning Trade32.664.3629.254.0835.684.61
Avg Losing Trade34.584.1530.033.8137.714.38
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9440.9740.946
Largest Winning Trade80.759.080.7
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.537.527.53
Largest Losing Trade80.866.4680.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.365.86.36
Avg # Bars In Trades34.024.042.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.023.062.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.024.027.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.219
Sortino Ratio-0.29
Profit Factor0.7840.9330.703
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l0.510.09
Net Profit-440.04-44.0-47.99-4.8-392.06-39.21
Gross Profit1600.4160.04672.7667.28927.6592.76
Gross Loss2040.45204.04720.7472.071319.7131.97
Expected Payoff-4.07-1.02-6.43
Commission Paid117.0247.969.12
Buy & Hold Return-773.24-77.32
Buy & Hold % Gain-77.32
Strategy Outperformance333.19
Max Contracts Held846719.0846.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-37.79-3.95-33.46
Return On Initial Capital-44.0-4.8-39.21
Account Size Required889.82
Return On Account Size Required-49.45-5.39-44.06
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)72 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)179.1717.92
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)204.1820.42
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)275.1143.61
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)27.51
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)289 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)868.8686.89
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.49-0.05-0.44
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)868.8686.89
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)889.8272.64
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)88.98
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-544.6-72.2-485.21
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.048.778.7
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.969.226.12
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades108.047.061.0
Number Winning Trades49.023.026.0
Number Losing Trades59.024.035.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.3748.9442.62
Avg P&l-4.07-0.29-1.020.05-6.43-0.55
Avg Winning Trade32.664.3629.254.0835.684.61
Avg Losing Trade34.584.1530.033.8137.714.38
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9440.9740.946
Largest Winning Trade80.759.080.7
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.537.527.53
Largest Losing Trade80.866.4680.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.365.86.36
Avg # Bars In Trades34.024.042.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.023.062.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.024.027.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Sortino Ratio-0.29
Profit Factor0.7840.9330.703
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit -43.97%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -37.93%
Sharpe Ratio -0.22
Profit Factor 0.784
Maximum Drawdown 88.98%
Volatility (Annualized) 60%

The strategy currently shows a negative net profit and annualized return, with a Sharpe Ratio below the desirable threshold, indicating low risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor below 1 and a significant maximum drawdown highlight that the strategy incurs substantial risk without sufficient compensating returns.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy does not appear currently viable for real-world trading. The negative performance metrics suggest it underperforms compared to common benchmarks and similarly tested strategies. Additionally, an exceedingly high maximum drawdown is a critical red flag, indicating that the strategy may not be suitable under current market conditions.

Risk Management

The risk management components need improvement, considering the high volatility and drawdown:

  • Implementing more robust stop-loss mechanisms to quickly cap potential losses.
  • Reducing leverage use could help decrease the extreme drawdown levels, hence stabilizing account equity.
  • Incorporating a better position sizing method to limit risk exposure per trade, taking into account account stability and volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and bolster its robustness, the following recommendations are proposed:

  • Re-evaluate and optimize the strategy's parameters to potentially enhance performance metrics like the Sharpe Ratio and Profit Factor.
  • Consider diversifying the asset base and integrating additional technical indicators to assist in precise entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct further testing in both historical and simulated live market conditions to confirm improved robustness.
  • Enhance the risk management framework by incorporating backtests that include varying leverage levels to ascertain how drawdown might be more effectively managed.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy has potential for improvement, its current form shows significant weaknesses, particularly in the areas of profit performance and risk management. Given the critical issues present, it is recommended to revisit the strategy's core structure and optimize it before considering real-world implementation.

Recommendation: Engage in thorough optimization and further testing of the strategy. Consider significant strategic revisions, especially in risk management and parameter refinement, to achieve reliable and consistent performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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