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igorek jptrendforce linkusdt 61m 17.09

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TREND FOLOWING 61 minutes @igorek
● Live

JP TrendForce by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d28a02b4]

🛡️ JPTRENDFORCE LINKUSDT 61M 17.09

Trading Pair
LINK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.51% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
380.65%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.85%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.219
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.51%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
476
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 14, 2023
1,175
Days
476
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-14 01:01:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.99
  • Calmar: -1.97
  • Longest DD Days: 83.00
  • Volatility: 47.10
  • Skew: 0.33
  • Kurtosis: -1.18
  • Expected Daily: 0.37
  • Expected Monthly: 8.13
  • Expected Yearly: 155.46
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.84
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.53
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.72
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 21:24:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 223
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 253
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.97
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.39
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 1.52
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 15.94

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.73%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.67%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.54%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+1.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+6.92%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.21%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-4.57%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-11.48%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
47.0%
Total Trades
477
Cumulative
-1.70%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
210.36%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-0.19%
+5.54%
Simple P&L
-2.64%
+2.76%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+6.53%
Simple P&L
+2.76%
-9.42%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
+11.62%
Simple P&L
-2.61%
+15.54%
Simple P&L
+0.94%
+5.45%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
+3.41%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+19.48%
Simple P&L
+2.39%
+1.57%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
-5.59%
Simple P&L
-1.51%
-1.98%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.07%
+10.47%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+6.28%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
+1.92%
+29.57%
Simple P&L
-2.67%
+12.30%
Simple P&L
+2.09%
+11.97%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
+11.46%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+14.37%
Simple P&L
+1.79%
+21.98%
Simple P&L
+0.19%
+14.18%
Simple P&L
+2.43%
+26.62%
Simple P&L
-2.71%
-3.04%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.09%
+1.35%
Simple P&L
+2.84%
+3.88%
Simple P&L
-3.01%
-13.46%
Simple P&L
+0.11%
-2.45%
Simple P&L
+2.86%
-20.73%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
+21.78%
Simple P&L
+1.22%
-6.55%
Simple P&L
-0.24%
+15.02%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+5.53%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

477

Number of Trades

-1.7%

Cumulative Returns

46.96%

Win Rate

2024-09-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

6.92%

30 Days

-4.57%

60 Days

1.21%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3676.80.76
Net Profit380646.64380.6595798.9495.8284847.7284.85
Gross Profit2115189.942115.19761954.53761.951353235.411353.24
Gross Loss1734543.31734.54666155.59666.161068387.711068.39
Expected Payoff799.68387.851243.88
Commission Paid90361.9735372.7254989.26
Buy & Hold Return30640.530.64
Buy & Hold % Gain30.64
Strategy Outperformance350006.15
Max Contracts Held6842467177.068424.0
Annualized Return (cagr)62.7323.1751.89
Return On Initial Capital380.6595.8284.85
Account Size Required213318.09
Return On Account Size Required178.4444.91133.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)17 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)35454.5435.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)195058.41195.06
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)558532.6184.97
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)558.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)18 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)28781.6128.78
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.80.471.35
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)211785.22211.79
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)213318.0932.67
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)213.32
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1496.87376.721199.26
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.463.522.29
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.473.822.22
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades476.0247.0229.0
Number Winning Trades223.0114.0109.0
Number Losing Trades253.0133.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.8546.1547.6
Avg P&l799.680.44387.850.331243.880.56
Avg Winning Trade9485.163.966683.813.7612415.04.16
Avg Losing Trade6855.92.675008.692.628903.232.72
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3841.3341.394
Largest Winning Trade30941.0826831.5730941.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.635.339.63
Largest Losing Trade25429.5525429.5523751.98
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.983.983.47
Avg # Bars In Trades25.024.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.026.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.023.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.445
Sortino Ratio0.995
Profit Factor1.2191.1441.267
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3406.210.71
Net Profit380646.64380.6595798.9495.8284847.7284.85
Gross Profit2115189.942115.19761954.53761.951353235.411353.24
Gross Loss1734543.31734.54666155.59666.161068387.711068.39
Expected Payoff799.68387.851243.88
Commission Paid90361.9735372.7254989.26
Buy & Hold Return30899.1330.9
Buy & Hold % Gain30.9
Strategy Outperformance349747.51
Max Contracts Held6842467177.068424.0
Annualized Return (cagr)62.7323.1751.89
Return On Initial Capital380.6595.8284.85
Account Size Required213318.09
Return On Account Size Required178.4444.91133.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)17 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)35454.5435.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)195058.41195.06
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)558532.6184.97
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)558.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)18 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)28781.6128.78
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.80.471.35
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)211785.22211.79
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)213318.0932.67
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)213.32
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1496.87376.721199.26
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.463.522.29
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.473.822.22
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades476.0247.0229.0
Number Winning Trades223.0114.0109.0
Number Losing Trades253.0133.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.8546.1547.6
Avg P&l799.680.44387.850.331243.880.56
Avg Winning Trade9485.163.966683.813.7612415.04.16
Avg Losing Trade6855.92.675008.692.628903.232.72
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3841.3341.394
Largest Winning Trade30941.0826831.5730941.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.635.339.63
Largest Losing Trade25429.5525429.5523751.98
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.983.983.47
Avg # Bars In Trades25.024.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.026.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.023.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.445
Sortino Ratio0.994
Profit Factor1.2191.1441.267
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 380.7%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 62.91%
Sharpe Ratio 0.443
Profit Factor 1.219
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility (Annualized) 47.15%

The strategy exhibits a notable cumulative return of 380.7% with an annualized return of 62.91%. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.443 is slightly below the typical threshold of 0.5 for cryptocurrency strategies, it indicates a potentially acceptable risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of 0% is exceptionally low, reflecting strong risk management or perhaps may indicate a reporting anomaly needing further investigation. The profit factor of 1.219 signifies that the strategy is profitable, earning $1.219 for every $1 lost.

Strategy Viability

This strategy appears potentially viable for real-world trading. It achieves significant cumulative and annualized returns. While the risk-adjusted return measured by the Sharpe Ratio is below the ideal benchmark, the near absence of drawdowns suggests strong resilience in adverse market conditions. However, it would be prudent to examine whether this drawdown figure accurately reflects market realities or strategy reporting.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates commendable risk management given the maximum drawdown of 0%, hinting at proactive position sizing or conservative leveraging. Despite this, the improvement of the Sharpe Ratio might involve the following:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure based on market volatility.
  • Exploring additional stop-loss mechanisms to further mitigate potential downsides.
  • Diversifying trading assets or technique to balance systematic and unsystematic risk thoroughly.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider these recommendations:

  • Incorporate more diversified and comprehensive technical indicators to refine entry and exit timings.
  • Ensure comprehensive testing across various market conditions, potentially exploring out-of-sample and stress scenarios.
  • Enhance the risk management framework by integrating sophisticated techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing.
  • Analyze the non-standard maximum drawdown statistic for accuracy and potential edge case scenario capture.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates substantial profitability and effective downside resistance. Despite the less-than-optimal Sharpe Ratio, the absence of drawdowns signals effective risk management or highlights a potential data oversight which warrants careful examination.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement of the strategy. Consider implementing the suggested improvements to enhance robustness and ensure strategy effectiveness across varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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