AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ab21519b]
🛡️ AIVSNINJATURTLE RUNEUSDT 15M 18.06
@heychris
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2023-06-17 11:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 1.04
- Sortino Ratio: 4.36
- Calmar: -3.46
- Longest DD Days: 36.00
- Volatility: 2.88
- Skew: -0.01
- Kurtosis: 1.74
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.47
- Expected Yearly: 5.73
- Kelly Criterion: 16.26
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.27
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.39
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 00:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 255
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 193
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.46
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.40
- Payoff Ratio: 1.06
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.40
- Tail Ratio: 1.14
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.51
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.81
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 12.82
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Reviewing the provided QuantStats report reveals several intriguing performance metrics worth noting:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2315.33% |
Sharpe Ratio | 1.176 |
Profit Factor | 1.496 |
Maximum Drawdown | -22.35% |
Volatility | 2.34% |
CAGR | 6.83% |
Percent Profitable | 57.67% |
The strategy showcases remarkable returns, with a substantial net profit of 2315.33%. The Sharpe Ratio of 1.176 indicates good risk-adjusted performance, especially in the volatile crypto market. The Profit Factor is close to 1.5, which is impressive, showing a favorable balance between gains and losses. Moreover, the maximum drawdown of -22.35% aligns well within acceptable crypto market risk thresholds, promoting confidence in the strategy's downside risk management.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests this strategy is viable for real-world application under current market conditions. Its ability to produce positive returns while maintaining manageable drawdowns indicates sound performance. The market conditions favoring this strategy should be identified to gauge if they will continue, providing a clearer outlook on future profitability. In comparison to similar strategies, this performance is commendable, offering a higher percentile of gain in a demanding sector.
Risk Management
The strategy employs effective risk management tactics, evidenced by a moderate maximum drawdown and decent risk-adjusted return metrics like the Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.49. However, there is always room to refine these further through:
- Adjusting the use of leverage to fine-tune risk exposure without sacrificing returns.
- Enhancing stop-loss strategies to minimize losing trades even more.
- Incorporating diversification strategies across different crypto assets to hedge against unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s robustness and profitability, consider the following:
- Refine strategy parameters to optimize performance, potentially increasing the profit factor above 1.5.
- Integrate additional technical and sentiment indicators to bolster decision-making accuracy.
- Implement out-of-sample testing to validate the strategy under different market dynamics beyond historical data.
- Consider advanced statistical techniques to analyze leverage adjustments that could further minimize drawdowns.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy presents strong performance metrics, with sufficient risk-adjusted return figures and manageable volatility. Given the volatile nature of the crypto market, these results are encouraging and signify a strategic edge. Nonetheless, continued adjustment and validation are necessary to ensure consistent resilience and profitability across varying market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while implementing the suggested improvements. This will not only stabilize current returns but also adapt the risk management framework to yield higher resilience in diverse market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 22.99% | 20.00% | 30.68% | 14.92% | 34.41% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.06% | 3.18% | 41.69% | 40.31% | 30.14% | 47.22% | 7.42% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
149
Number of Trades
56.37%
Cumulative Returns
52.35%
Win Rate
2024-06-18
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-9.13%
30 Days
41.71%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 6,175.95 USD | 1,543.99 | 6,175.95 USD | 1,543.99 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 14,825.70 | 3,706.43 | 14,825.70 | 3,706.43 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 8,649.75 | 2,162.44 | 8,649.75 | 2,162.44 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 7,060.15 | 94.70 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,184.30 | 22.35 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,474.59 | 368.65 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.376 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 12.37 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.714 | 1.714 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2,150 | 2,150 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 746.87 | 746.87 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 299 | 299 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 177 | 177 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 122 | 122 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.20 | 59.20 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 20.66 | 0.68 | 20.66 | 0.68 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 83.76 | 2.58 | 83.76 | 2.58 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 70.90 | 2.06 | 70.90 | 2.06 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.181 | 1.181 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 341.41 | 6.98 | 341.41 | 6.98 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 449.51 | 6.36 | 449.51 | 6.36 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 20 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 18 | 18 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 10,297.51 USD | 2,574.38 | 10,297.51 USD | 2,574.38 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 36,395.59 | 9,098.90 | 36,395.59 | 9,098.90 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 26,098.08 | 6,524.52 | 26,098.08 | 6,524.52 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 12,964.68 | 97.04 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,606.16 | 22.35 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 2,429.83 | 607.46 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.04 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.363 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.395 | 1.395 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,762 | 3,762 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,014.97 | 2,014.97 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 448 | 448 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 255 | 255 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 193 | 193 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.92 | 56.92 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 22.99 | 0.54 | 22.99 | 0.54 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 142.73 | 2.54 | 142.73 | 2.54 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 135.22 | 2.10 | 135.22 | 2.10 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.055 | 1.055 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 859.13 | 6.98 | 859.13 | 6.98 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 729.49 | 6.36 | 729.49 | 6.36 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 19 | 19 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 20 | 20 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 18 | 18 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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