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heychris aivsninjaturtle runeusdt 15m 18.06

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @heychris
● Live

AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ab21519b]

🛡️ AIVSNINJATURTLE RUNEUSDT 15M 18.06

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 2
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
-41.02%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
39.42%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.707
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.47%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
137
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 4, 2025
243
Days
137
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-04 05:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.77
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.63
  • Calmar: 1.26
  • Longest DD Days: 122.00
  • Volatility: 0.12
  • Skew: 0.47
  • Kurtosis: -0.72
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: -0.03
  • Expected Yearly: -0.30
  • Kelly Criterion: -16.16
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 05:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 54
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 83
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 1.26
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.71
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.09
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.71
  • Tail Ratio: 1.16
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.50
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.45
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: -1.61

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.46%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.08%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.11%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-5.56%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-27.36%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-8.70%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-42.34%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
39.4%
Total Trades
137
Cumulative
-1.47%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-40.16%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+3.16%
Simple P&L
-0.51%
-2.40%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

137

Number of Trades

-1.47%

Cumulative Returns

39.42%

Win Rate

2024-06-18

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.56%

30 Days

-8.7%

60 Days

-27.36%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital400
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-164.09-41.02-164.09-41.020.00.0
Gross Profit396.7799.19396.7799.190.00.0
Gross Loss560.86140.22560.86140.220.00.0
Expected Payoff-1.2-1.20.0
Commission Paid99.6999.690.0
Buy & Hold Return-277.19-69.3
Buy & Hold % Gain-69.3
Strategy Outperformance113.1
Max Contracts Held10071007.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-56.12-56.120.0
Return On Initial Capital-41.02-41.020.0
Account Size Required213.45
Return On Account Size Required-76.88-76.880.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)2 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19.544.89
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28.767.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)63.6413.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)15.91
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)106 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)113.3428.34
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.77-0.770.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)213.4553.36
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)213.4547.5
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)53.36
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-928.21-928.210.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.814.810.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.153.150.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades137.0137.00.0
Number Winning Trades54.054.00.0
Number Losing Trades83.083.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.4239.42
Avg P&l-1.2-0.29-1.2-0.29
Avg Winning Trade7.351.517.351.51
Avg Losing Trade6.761.476.761.47
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0871.087
Largest Winning Trade19.0819.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.453.45
Largest Losing Trade17.6817.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.832.83
Avg # Bars In Trades19.019.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.022.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.773
Sortino Ratio-0.63
Profit Factor0.7070.707
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital400
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-164.09-41.02-164.09-41.020.00.0
Gross Profit396.7799.19396.7799.190.00.0
Gross Loss560.86140.22560.86140.220.00.0
Expected Payoff-1.2-1.20.0
Commission Paid99.6999.690.0
Buy & Hold Return-277.19-69.3
Buy & Hold % Gain-69.3
Strategy Outperformance113.1
Max Contracts Held10071007.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-56.12-56.120.0
Return On Initial Capital-41.02-41.020.0
Account Size Required213.45
Return On Account Size Required-76.88-76.880.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)2 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19.544.89
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28.767.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)63.6413.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)15.91
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)106 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)113.3428.34
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.77-0.770.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)213.4553.36
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)213.4547.5
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)53.36
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-928.21-928.210.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.814.810.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.153.150.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades137.0137.00.0
Number Winning Trades54.054.00.0
Number Losing Trades83.083.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.4239.42
Avg P&l-1.2-0.29-1.2-0.29
Avg Winning Trade7.351.517.351.51
Avg Losing Trade6.761.476.761.47
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0871.087
Largest Winning Trade19.0819.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.453.45
Largest Losing Trade17.6817.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.832.83
Avg # Bars In Trades19.019.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.022.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.773
Sortino Ratio-0.63
Profit Factor0.7070.707
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are highlighted:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit -41.02%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -56.12%
Sharpe Ratio -0.773
Profit Factor 0.707
Maximum Drawdown 53.36%
Volatility 12%

Currently, the strategy exhibits negative performance with a net loss and a poor annualized return. The Sharpe Ratio is below the threshold for being considered good, indicating inadequate risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the profit factor under 1 suggests more losses than gains per dollar invested.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided data, the strategy shows significant challenges for scalability, notably underperforming in risk-adjusted metrics and experiencing substantial drawdowns over 50%. The market conditions initially assessed might not align with the current market dynamics, influencing this underperformance.

Risk Management

The strategy appears to lack effective risk management, given the high maximum drawdown and suboptimal Gain/Pain Ratio (0.71). It's crucial to implement better position sizing and stop-loss techniques to manage potential losses more effectively:

  • Introduce tighter stop-loss configurations to mitigate sharp downturns.
  • Decrease leverage usage to reduce maximum drawdown risk and increase stability.
  • Refine position sizing methods to align better with volatility dynamics.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the performance and reliability of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:

  • Re-evaluate and optimize strategy parameters to improve profitability.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators which may provide better market entry and exit signals.
  • Undertake further backtesting with different timeframes to identify optimal strategy robustness across varying market conditions.
  • Adopt a diversified asset approach to mitigate risks specific to individual trading pairs.

Final Opinion

The current evaluation indicates substantial underperformance due principally to negative performance metrics and inadequate risk management practices. The strategy requires substantial enhancement to align with the desired performance expectations and risk metric benchmarks.

Recommendation: It is advisable to undertake a detailed reevaluation and overhaul of the strategy, aiming for optimization and stronger risk management implementation before considering its deployment in a live trading environment. Consider restructuring the strategy or pivoting to alternative methodologies if performance does not improve with suggested adjustments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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