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GerryB MCGINLEY ETHUSDT 90M 27.05.2025

  • Homepage
90 minutes @gerryB
● Live

GERRYB MCGINLEY ETHUSDT 90M 27.05.2025

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.21% Updated 9 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1928.18%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.26%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.914
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.03%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
291
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 2, 2022
1,501
Days
291
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-02-02 14:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.71
  • Sortino Ratio: 3.18
  • Calmar: -1.82
  • Longest DD Days: 30.00
  • Volatility: 3.59
  • Skew: -0.42
  • Kurtosis: 4.85
  • Expected Daily: 0.05
  • Expected Monthly: 1.05
  • Expected Yearly: 13.36
  • Kelly Criterion: 32.52
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.29
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.51
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-13 17:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 187
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 104
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.82
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.01
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.10
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.01
  • Tail Ratio: 1.48
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.01
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.65
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 8.13

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.63%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-2.15%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.28%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-2.02%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.90%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-0.21%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-8.72%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+10.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+12.12%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+16.67%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
64.3%
Total Trades
291
Cumulative
-2.90%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
201.27%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+0.68%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+5.59%
Simple P&L
-1.36%
-2.92%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+8.80%
Simple P&L
-2.30%
+4.71%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
+15.72%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
+9.54%
Simple P&L
-2.46%
+3.90%
Simple P&L
+2.82%
-3.62%
Simple P&L
+1.39%
+0.93%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+2.02%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.06%
+11.56%
Simple P&L
+1.67%
+4.19%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+5.98%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
+3.05%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
-6.13%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
+0.23%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
-2.76%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.88%
+1.91%
Simple P&L
-2.11%
+6.55%
Simple P&L
+1.91%
-2.79%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
-1.83%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.20%
+6.92%
Simple P&L
+2.13%
+9.66%
Simple P&L
-2.85%
+7.36%
Simple P&L
+2.05%
+10.39%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+1.83%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+1.77%
Simple P&L
+2.46%
+12.79%
Simple P&L
-4.34%
+3.38%
Simple P&L
+2.92%
+1.34%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+0.53%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+15.24%
Simple P&L
+0.84%
+3.73%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.39%
-0.86%
Simple P&L
+2.35%
+6.10%
Simple P&L
-1.69%
+4.05%
Simple P&L
-1.83%
+6.42%
Simple P&L
+1.71%
+11.81%
Simple P&L
+1.08%
+8.08%
Simple P&L
-2.03%
+3.28%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+5.89%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

291

Number of Trades

-2.9%

Cumulative Returns

64.26%

Win Rate

2025-05-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-8.72%

30 Days

12.12%

60 Days

10.17%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital800
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit15425.461928.186370.87796.369054.591131.82
Gross Profit32308.434038.5515445.331930.6716863.12107.89
Gross Loss16882.972110.379074.461134.317808.51976.06
Expected Payoff53.0136.8376.73
Commission Paid1675.12936.76738.37
Buy & Hold Return-201.04-25.13
Buy & Hold % Gain-25.14
Strategy Outperformance15626.5
Max Contracts Held1512.015.0
Annualized Return (cagr)104.768.5581.79
Return On Initial Capital1928.18796.361131.82
Account Size Required2572.38
Return On Account Size Required599.66247.67351.99
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)766.8595.86
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5159.77644.97
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)18397.7995.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2299.72
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)27 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)561.1570.14
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown62.483.52
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2355.7294.46
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2572.3815.66
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)321.55
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1175.97646.57690.28
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.643.386.96
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.7710.8616.8
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades291.0173.0118.0
Number Winning Trades187.0107.080.0
Number Losing Trades104.066.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.2661.8567.8
Avg P&l53.010.6936.830.6276.730.8
Avg Winning Trade172.772.29144.352.19210.792.41
Avg Losing Trade162.342.18137.491.94205.492.59
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0641.051.026
Largest Winning Trade1174.51522.021174.51
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.198.194.91
Largest Losing Trade1311.73985.331311.73
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.363.86.36
Avg # Bars In Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades9.09.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.711
Sortino Ratio3.183
Profit Factor1.9141.7022.16
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital800
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit15425.461928.186370.87796.369054.591131.82
Gross Profit32308.434038.5515445.331930.6716863.12107.89
Gross Loss16882.972110.379074.461134.317808.51976.06
Expected Payoff53.0136.8376.73
Commission Paid1675.12936.76738.37
Buy & Hold Return-201.04-25.13
Buy & Hold % Gain-25.14
Strategy Outperformance15626.5
Max Contracts Held1512.015.0
Annualized Return (cagr)104.768.5581.79
Return On Initial Capital1928.18796.361131.82
Account Size Required2572.38
Return On Account Size Required599.66247.67351.99
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)766.8595.86
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5159.77644.97
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)18397.7995.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2299.72
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)27 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)561.1570.14
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown62.483.52
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2355.7294.46
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2572.3815.66
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)321.55
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1175.97646.57690.28
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.643.386.96
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.7710.8616.8
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades291.0173.0118.0
Number Winning Trades187.0107.080.0
Number Losing Trades104.066.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.2661.8567.8
Avg P&l53.010.6936.830.6276.730.8
Avg Winning Trade172.772.29144.352.19210.792.41
Avg Losing Trade162.342.18137.491.94205.492.59
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0641.051.026
Largest Winning Trade1174.51522.021174.51
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.198.194.91
Largest Losing Trade1311.73985.331311.73
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.363.86.36
Avg # Bars In Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades9.09.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.711
Sortino Ratio3.183
Profit Factor1.9141.7022.16
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 603.54%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 105.2%
Sharpe Ratio 0.712
Profit Factor 1.95
Maximum Drawdown -15.66%
Volatility (Annualized) 3.54%

The strategy boasts an impressive cumulative return of 603.54% and a solid annualized CAGR of 105.2%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.712 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, particularly for the crypto market where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is considered strong. With a maximum drawdown of -15.66%, the strategy demonstrates robust downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.95 further underscores the potential profitability, meaning for every $1 lost, approximately $1.95 is earned.

Strategy Viability

This strategy appears highly viable for real-world trading, given its strong performance metrics and risk-adjusted effectiveness. It shows resilience and adaptability to market fluctuations, outperforming industry benchmarks significantly. It is crucial to continue assessing this strategy under varied market conditions, ensuring continued success as market dynamics evolve.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is evident in the low maximum drawdown and the absence of margin calls. However, improvements can still be made:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to tailor exposure based on real-time market volatility.
  • Enhancing stop-loss strategies to further limit potential losses.
  • Exploring diversification opportunities across different assets to mitigate idiosyncratic risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the robustness and performance of the strategy, consider exploring the following:

  • Fine-tuning strategy parameters to maximize returns while minimizing drawdowns.
  • Incorporate a broader spectrum of technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing across diverse market conditions to ensure robustness.
  • Integrate advanced risk management techniques like VaR and stress testing to handle extreme market scenarios.

Final Opinion

Overall, this strategy demonstrates exceptional performance with high returns and commendable risk-adjusted metrics. Despite the volatility typical of crypto trading, the low drawdown and effective recovery highlight strong risk management practices. Continued refinement and testing are recommended to secure its robustness across changing market landscapes.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and optimization. Implement suggested enhancements to bolster robustness and adapt the risk management framework to better handle fluctuations in the crypto market.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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