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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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GerryB MCGINLEY ETHUSDT 90M 27.05.2025

  • Homepage
90 minutes @gerryB
● Live

GERRYB MCGINLEY ETHUSDT 90M 27.05.2025

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
3904.91%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
63.01%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
19.96%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
2.196
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
169.98%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
346
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 18, 2020
1,747
Days
346
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 13, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-18 04:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.74
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.96
  • Calmar: -4.78
  • Longest DD Days: 30.00
  • Volatility: 25.42
  • Skew: 0.04
  • Kurtosis: 0.13
  • Expected Daily: 0.47
  • Expected Monthly: 10.44
  • Expected Yearly: 229.40
  • Kelly Criterion: 34.36
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.91
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-13 11:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 218
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 128
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.78
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.20
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.29
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.20
  • Tail Ratio: 1.58
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.71
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.06
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 70.65

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21.85%4.22%
20212.13%8.62%2.93%4.72%2.99%-2.75%0.24%-10.77%8.65%8.33%0.74%3.71%
202217.58%3.49%9.32%-3.18%14.20%8.40%32.54%15.46%6.39%-2.26%0.30%3.28%
202319.68%6.84%10.01%4.94%-10.16%0.30%-2.42%0.00%3.22%10.13%-5.16%-4.07%
202411.89%17.55%10.03%17.07%4.25%1.29%19.88%5.69%2.88%0.69%24.90%7.52%
20251.42%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

20

Number of Trades

29.77%

Cumulative Returns

65%

Win Rate

2025-05-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

10.65%

30 Days

34.08%

60 Days

28.77%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit373493.153734.93183462.081834.62190031.071900.31
Gross Profit674759.826747.6365443.973654.44309315.853093.16
Gross Loss301266.673012.67181981.891819.82119284.781192.85
Commission Paid33951.8220581.5813370.24
Buy & Hold Return66360.16663.6
Max Equity Run-up390457.9297.5
Max Drawdown35048.4619.96
Max Contracts Held251.0246.0251.0
Total Closed Trades341.0219.0122.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades215.0136.079.0
Number Losing Trades126.083.043.0
Percent Profitable63.0562.164.75
Avg P&l1095.290.7837.730.671557.630.77
Avg Winning Trade3138.422.432687.092.363915.392.56
Avg Losing Trade2391.012.252192.552.122774.062.5
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3131.2261.411
Largest Winning Trade18262.7615988.5218262.76
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.198.194.99
Largest Losing Trade14589.4214589.4210381.03
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.74.74.2
Avg # Bars In Trades8.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.08.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades9.010.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.731
Sortino Ratio2.928
Profit Factor2.242.0082.593
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit390490.943904.91200459.882004.6190031.071900.31
Gross Profit716919.857169.2407604.04076.04309315.853093.16
Gross Loss326428.93264.29207144.122071.44119284.781192.85
Commission Paid36501.3923131.1513370.24
Buy & Hold Return80170.83801.71
Max Equity Run-up395969.3997.54
Max Drawdown35048.4619.96
Max Contracts Held251.0246.0251.0
Total Closed Trades346.0224.0122.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades218.0139.079.0
Number Losing Trades128.085.043.0
Percent Profitable63.0162.0564.75
Avg P&l1128.590.7894.910.661557.630.77
Avg Winning Trade3288.622.432932.42.363915.392.56
Avg Losing Trade2550.232.242436.992.112774.062.5
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.291.2031.411
Largest Winning Trade18262.7615988.5218262.76
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.198.194.99
Largest Losing Trade16871.8916871.8910381.03
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.74.74.2
Avg # Bars In Trades8.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.08.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades9.09.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.738
Sortino Ratio2.963
Profit Factor2.1961.9682.593
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 3904.91%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 39.88%
Sharpe Ratio 0.738
Profit Factor 2.196
Maximum Drawdown 19.96%
Volatility (Annualized) 25.42%

The strategy demonstrates outstanding performance, achieving a cumulative return of 3904.91% and an annualized return of 39.88%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.738 indicates a good level of risk-adjusted return. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 19.96% comfortably falls below the acceptable threshold, indicating robust downside risk management. The profit factor of 2.196 suggests effective trade management and profitability.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading. It adeptly manages risk with low drawdowns while maintaining consistent profitability. The favorable market conditions indicated by these metrics are likely to persist, providing a solid foundation for continued application. With a win rate of 63.01% amidst diverse market waves, the strategy holds a promising advantage.

Risk Management

The strategy employs effective risk management techniques as demonstrated by its low drawdown and high Gain/Pain Ratio of 2.2. However, there remains room for improvement in refining position sizing and volatility management to further enhance performance stability. Suggestions include:

  • Implementing advanced position sizing strategies to mitigate potential market volatility.
  • Incorporating additional stop-loss methods to further cushion losses.
  • Diversifying the portfolio strategically across instruments to spread risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters for better fine-tuning of entry and exit points, potentially increasing the Sharpe Ratio even further.
  • Incorporate more varied technical indicators to capture broader market signals.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward testing to validate the strategy across different market conditions for robustness.
  • Evaluate a possible reduction in leverage to decrease max drawdown, thereby enhancing risk management.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays strong potential with a remarkable blend of high returns, effective risk management, and consistent profitability. Although there is room for optimization, particularly regarding leverage and diversification, the underlying performance metrics suggest a resilient strategy capable of adapting to market shifts.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing of the strategy. Implement proposed alterations to enhance robustness and optimize the risk management framework to handle unexpected market dynamics efficiently.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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