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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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gentlesir stiffsurge opusdt 45m 15.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e6b15e1e]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE OPUSDT 45M 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
OP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.41% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
30.08%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.83%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.049
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.77%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
181
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 6, 2024
787
Days
181
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 23, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-02-06 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.13
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.23
  • Calmar: -0.23
  • Longest DD Days: 105.00
  • Volatility: 79.15
  • Skew: 0.71
  • Kurtosis: -0.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.24
  • Expected Monthly: 5.20
  • Expected Yearly: 83.80
  • Kelly Criterion: 2.37
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.82
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.11
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-23 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 92
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 89
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.05
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.01
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.05
  • Tail Ratio: 1.68
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.83
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.27
  • Serenity Index: 0.08

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.65%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+11.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-13.61%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+11.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-40.62%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
50.8%
Total Trades
181
Cumulative
-1.56%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
51.98%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.75%
+9.72%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.28%
+22.84%
Simple P&L
+0.20%
-0.65%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
-8.70%
Simple P&L
+3.77%
+13.02%
Simple P&L
-1.23%
+35.11%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
-9.08%
Simple P&L
+3.42%
+1.88%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-3.67%
-8.13%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3.90%
+1.91%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+3.58%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+5.81%
Simple P&L
-3.64%
+2.05%
Simple P&L
+0.11%
+11.52%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
-8.09%
Simple P&L
+1.86%
+11.35%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

181

Number of Trades

-1.56%

Cumulative Returns

50.83%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

11.73%

30 Days

11.73%

60 Days

-13.61%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30077.0830.08-48275.61-48.2878352.6878.35
Gross Profit647884.46647.88345877.75345.88302006.7302.01
Gross Loss617807.38617.81394153.36394.15223654.02223.65
Expected Payoff166.17-643.67739.18
Commission Paid25429.3711708.5613720.81
Buy & Hold Return-96165.46-96.17
Buy & Hold % Gain-96.17
Strategy Outperformance126242.53
Max Contracts Held14024351371520.01402435.0
Annualized Return (cagr)12.55-25.6529.71
Return On Initial Capital30.08-48.2878.35
Account Size Required148412.87
Return On Account Size Required20.27-32.5352.79
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)32913.7432.91
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)50690.1550.69
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)155808.6860.91
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)155.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)97 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)45612.1145.61
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.2-0.330.53
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)147242.14147.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)148412.8758.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)148.41
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss231.79-372.03641.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.76.943.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.13.295.46
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades181.075.0106.0
Number Winning Trades92.022.070.0
Number Losing Trades89.053.036.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable50.8329.3366.04
Avg P&l166.170.29-643.67-0.1739.180.56
Avg Winning Trade7042.224.1715721.728.714314.382.74
Avg Losing Trade6941.663.737436.863.756212.613.69
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0142.1140.694
Largest Winning Trade23993.923993.99302.12
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.629.623.02
Largest Losing Trade12976.1312976.1312210.57
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.084.084.08
Avg # Bars In Trades36.055.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades37.082.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.043.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.132
Sortino Ratio0.23
Profit Factor1.0490.8781.35
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30077.0830.08-48275.61-48.2878352.6878.35
Gross Profit647884.46647.88345877.75345.88302006.7302.01
Gross Loss617807.38617.81394153.36394.15223654.02223.65
Expected Payoff166.17-643.67739.18
Commission Paid25429.3711708.5613720.81
Buy & Hold Return-96165.46-96.17
Buy & Hold % Gain-96.17
Strategy Outperformance126242.53
Max Contracts Held14024351371520.01402435.0
Annualized Return (cagr)12.55-25.6529.71
Return On Initial Capital30.08-48.2878.35
Account Size Required148412.87
Return On Account Size Required20.27-32.5352.79
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)32913.7432.91
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)50690.1550.69
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)155808.6860.91
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)155.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)97 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)45612.1145.61
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.2-0.330.53
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)147242.14147.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)148412.8758.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)148.41
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss231.79-372.03641.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.76.943.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.13.295.46
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades181.075.0106.0
Number Winning Trades92.022.070.0
Number Losing Trades89.053.036.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable50.8329.3366.04
Avg P&l166.170.29-643.67-0.1739.180.56
Avg Winning Trade7042.224.1715721.728.714314.382.74
Avg Losing Trade6941.663.737436.863.756212.613.69
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0142.1140.694
Largest Winning Trade23993.923993.99302.12
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.629.623.02
Largest Losing Trade12976.1312976.1312210.57
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.084.084.08
Avg # Bars In Trades36.055.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades37.082.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.043.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.132
Sortino Ratio0.23
Profit Factor1.0490.8781.35
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 30.08%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 12.55%
Sharpe Ratio 0.132
Profit Factor 1.049
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 58.36%
Volatility (Annualized) 79.15%
Percent Profitable 50.83%

While the strategy has achieved a positive cumulative return and annualized return, the risk-adjusted performance, as indicated by a relatively low Sharpe Ratio of 0.132, suggests potential areas for improvement. The profit factor above 1 indicates that the strategy has earned more than it lost, but there is room for optimization. Thankfully, drawdowns are currently higher than the ideal level, with 58.36% at its peak; adjusting strategy leverage can mitigate this.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows some viability for real-world trading, but there are significant considerations regarding its risk profile. The strategy may perform well under bullish conditions due to the 30.08% cumulative return, yet its effectiveness in various market states remains uncertain. Evaluating similar strategies and considering adaptability to changing market conditions would be beneficial.

Risk Management

The strategy's current risk management approach requires reassessment to ensure sustainability over different trading environments. Key areas for improvement include:

  • Reducing leverage to manage high drawdowns below 40%.
  • Enhancing daily volatility control with tools like position sizing adjustments.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss policies to safeguard against unexpected market downturns.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize existing strategy parameters, focusing on risk-return balance.
  • Integrate more diverse technical indicators for better entry and exit precision.
  • Conduct thorough stress-testing across various market conditions to assess durability.
  • Refine the strategy's risk management framework using advanced techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy presents positive returns, its high volatility and drawdowns suggest that improvements and further validation are needed. With a strong emphasis on optimizing risk management and strategy parameters, the potential for enhanced performance is attainable.

Recommendation: Prioritize strategy modification and further testing, particularly focusing on risk containment and drawdown minimization. Implement the proposed improvements to bolster robustness, allowing for broader adaptability to diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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