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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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gentlesir stiffsurge btcusdt 45m 09.07

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c1f0af14]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE BTCUSDT 45M 09.07

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +3% Updated 45 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
2584.34%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.72%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.547
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1609.85%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
508
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 10, 2020
1,922
Days
508
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 14:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.33
  • Calmar: -2.68
  • Longest DD Days: 52.00
  • Volatility: 70.68
  • Skew: 0.65
  • Kurtosis: -0.74
  • Expected Daily: 0.75
  • Expected Monthly: 17.01
  • Expected Yearly: 558.90
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.52
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.53
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.96
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 217
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 291
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.68
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.57
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.09
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.57
  • Tail Ratio: 1.99
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.91
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 98.20

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%5.61%7.41%-0.75%4.83%-1.26%27.66%4.60%-5.84%19.49%
2021-4.92%3.95%15.31%-2.35%5.32%-8.90%1.72%-7.96%-4.24%18.10%0.04%-2.40%
20227.01%7.00%-7.58%6.55%7.68%-11.13%13.82%-3.00%5.58%6.31%-0.83%10.65%
202331.05%6.80%19.32%14.91%-7.52%14.23%5.83%6.32%-0.47%20.51%-14.35%2.76%
2024-5.84%11.11%11.05%12.00%8.37%16.25%14.34%9.83%13.91%22.26%29.96%-11.81%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

103

Number of Trades

99.53%

Cumulative Returns

47.57%

Win Rate

2024-07-09

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0.02%

30 Days

62.8%

60 Days

23.54%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit974487.06974.49720252.47720.25254234.58254.23
Gross Profit3003067.473003.071848853.081848.851154214.41154.21
Gross Loss2028580.422028.581128600.611128.6899979.81899.98
Commission Paid123089.4176078.1947011.21
Buy & Hold Return694997.86695.0
Max Equity Run-up990819.3492.21
Max Drawdown204751.1433.49
Max Contracts Held35.034.035.0
Total Closed Trades406.0254.0152.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades168.0118.050.0
Number Losing Trades238.0136.0102.0
Percent Profitable41.3846.4632.89
Avg P&l2400.210.592835.640.71672.60.4
Avg Winning Trade17875.44.7315668.254.2123084.295.95
Avg Losing Trade8523.452.338298.532.348823.332.33
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0971.8882.616
Largest Winning Trade78705.0158507.2378705.01
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.06.919.0
Largest Losing Trade34026.6534026.6533065.14
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.583.563.58
Avg # Bars In Trades64.050.086.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades81.060.0131.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades51.042.064.0
Sharpe Ratio0.498
Sortino Ratio1.226
Profit Factor1.481.6381.282
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-16036.63-0.6
Net Profit2584343.212584.341610512.161610.51973831.05973.83
Gross Profit7304785.337304.794610011.424610.012694773.912694.77
Gross Loss4720442.124720.442999499.262999.51720942.861720.94
Commission Paid308795.61205942.12102853.49
Buy & Hold Return1524031.131524.03
Max Equity Run-up2777386.0297.08
Max Drawdown497270.9533.49
Max Contracts Held41.040.041.0
Total Closed Trades508.0324.0184.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades217.0151.066.0
Number Losing Trades291.0173.0118.0
Percent Profitable42.7246.635.87
Avg P&l5087.290.634970.720.685292.560.54
Avg Winning Trade33662.614.5730529.884.1140829.915.63
Avg Losing Trade16221.452.3117338.152.3114584.262.3
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0751.7612.8
Largest Winning Trade179681.88179681.88172494.38
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.06.919.0
Largest Losing Trade118292.83118292.83103894.69
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.583.563.58
Avg # Bars In Trades64.054.081.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades80.064.0116.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades52.044.062.0
Sharpe Ratio0.526
Sortino Ratio1.332
Profit Factor1.5471.5371.566
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that are indicative of this strategy’s potential:

Metric Value
Net Profit 2584.34%
Sharpe Ratio 0.526
Profit Factor 1.547
Maximum Drawdown 33.49%
Volatility (Annualized) 70.68%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 86.81%

The strategy delivers strong net profit with a return of 2584.34% and an annualized return of 86.81%, which is quite impressive. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.526, the risk-adjusted returns are solid, meeting the good benchmark in the crypto domain. The maximum drawdown of 33.49% is within an acceptable range, suggesting effective management of downside risks, further backed by a Profit Factor of 1.547 which indicates more profits than losses per trade.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears viable for real-world trading, showing resilience with a Max Drawdown less than 40% and an acceptable Sharpe Ratio above 0.5. It capitalizes well on profit opportunities, as observed from the high CAGR, outperforming many standard benchmarks. However, awareness of market conditions that favor its success is crucial, especially given the volatility observed. This is vital to ensure the persistence of these favorable conditions.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is evident, given the strategy keeps drawdown under control while leveraging potential gains through a healthy Profit Factor. However, the comparatively high volatility of 70.68% suggests room for further improvements:

  • Reducing leverage can further decrease maximum drawdown, better protecting capital during market downturns.
  • Enhancing stop-loss mechanisms could help minimize the impact of adverse market movements.
  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to adapt to market volatility can stabilize returns.

Improvement Suggestions

Further refinements could enhance the strategy’s robustness and efficiency:

  • Adjust strategy parameters for optimized risk-return balance, possibly incorporating machine learning techniques for predictive adjustments.
  • Diversifying trade indicators could provide broader insights into market conditions, benefiting trade decisions.
  • Conduct robust backtesting across various markets and time frames to ensure resilience in diverse market conditions.
  • Consider additional risk metrics, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR), to better manage tail risks and stress testing to anticipate extreme market scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy illustrates promising performance with strong profit potential and reasonable risk management. Its Sharpe ratio and drawdown metrics align with good industry standards, ensuring substantial risk-adjusted returns. While some volatility remains, it's adequately managed to maintain overall profitability.

Recommendation: It is recommended to continue testing and refining this strategy. Implement suggested improvements to fortify its robustness, especially concerning volatility management, which will enhance its adaptability to various market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
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Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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