Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c1f0af14]
🛡️ STIFFSURGE BTCUSDT 45M 09.07
@gentlesir
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 29 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 14:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
- Sortino Ratio: 1.33
- Calmar: -2.78
- Longest DD Days: 52.00
- Volatility: 72.13
- Skew: 0.65
- Kurtosis: -0.77
- Expected Daily: 0.77
- Expected Monthly: 17.52
- Expected Yearly: 593.66
- Kelly Criterion: 16.05
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.55
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.97
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 11:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 192
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 261
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.78
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.61
- Payoff Ratio: 2.19
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.61
- Tail Ratio: 2.02
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.89
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 75.51
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1712.14% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 89.88% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.554 |
Profit Factor | 1.707 |
Maximum Drawdown | -33.49% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 72.2% |
Percent Profitable | 42.3% |
The strategy exhibits impressive returns with a cumulative gain of 1712.14% and an annualized return of 89.88%. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.554, the strategy provides a good risk-adjusted return, signaling positive performance relative to the risk taken. The profit factor of 1.707 indicates that the strategy earns $1.707 for every $1 of trader loss, which suggests fairly efficient performance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. The maximum drawdown of -33.49% is within acceptable limits for crypto trading, indicating reasonable control over potential losses. The strategy shows adaptability by maintaining a consistent growth trajectory, although fine-tuning could enhance future results. This promising performance suggests the potential for robust application, particularly under similar market conditions to those in the backtest period.
Risk Management
The strategy shows commendable efforts in risk management. A drawdown of 33.49% indicates some exposure to market downturns, but this can be managed more effectively. Considering the following improvements could be beneficial:
- Utilizing lower leverage can potentially decrease the maximum drawdown.
- Incorporating more dynamic and adaptive stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential negative impacts.
- Expanding the usage of position sizing techniques to adjust risk levels based on market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to improve returns while keeping drawdowns low.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to assess strategy performance across different market regimes.
- Explore diversification opportunities to spread risk across multiple non-correlated assets or strategies.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns supported by decent risk metrics. While the volatility is relatively high, typical for crypto markets, the overall indicators suggest a promising strategy foundation. Optimizing parameters and enhancing risk management will be pivotal in ensuring consistent performance.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements while adapting to varying market conditions to enhance robustness and maintain competitive risk-adjusted returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -5.84% | 11.11% | 11.05% | 12.00% | 8.37% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 31.05% | 6.80% | 19.32% | 14.91% | -7.52% | 14.23% | 5.83% | 6.32% | -0.47% | 20.51% | -14.35% | 2.76% |
2022 | 7.01% | 7.00% | -7.58% | 6.55% | 7.68% | -11.13% | 13.82% | -3.00% | 5.58% | 6.31% | -0.83% | 10.65% |
2021 | -4.92% | 3.95% | 15.31% | -2.35% | 5.32% | -8.90% | 1.72% | -7.96% | -4.24% | 18.10% | 0.04% | -2.40% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.61% | 7.41% | -0.75% | 4.83% | -1.26% | 27.66% | 4.60% | -5.84% | 19.49% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
48
Number of Trades
66.74%
Cumulative Returns
50%
Win Rate
2024-07-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
9.27%
30 Days
42.69%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 974,487.06 USD | 974.49 | 720,252.47 USD | 720.25 | 254,234.58 USD | 254.23 |
Gross Profit | 3,003,067.47 | 3,003.07 | 1,848,853.08 | 1,848.85 | 1,154,214.40 | 1,154.21 |
Gross Loss | 2,028,580.42 | 2,028.58 | 1,128,600.61 | 1,128.60 | 899,979.81 | 899.98 |
Max Run-up | 990,819.34 | 92.21 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 204,751.14 | 33.49 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 694,997.86 | 695.00 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.498 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.226 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.48 | 1.638 | 1.282 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 35 | 34 | 35 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 123,089.41 | 76,078.19 | 47,011.21 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 406 | 254 | 152 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 168 | 118 | 50 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 238 | 136 | 102 | |||
Percent Profitable | 41.38 | 46.46 | 32.89 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,400.21 | 0.59 | 2,835.64 | 0.70 | 1,672.60 | 0.40 |
Avg Winning Trade | 17,875.40 | 4.73 | 15,668.25 | 4.21 | 23,084.29 | 5.95 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8,523.45 | 2.33 | 8,298.53 | 2.34 | 8,823.33 | 2.33 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.097 | 1.888 | 2.616 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 78,705.01 | 9.00 | 58,507.23 | 6.91 | 78,705.01 | 9.00 |
Largest Losing Trade | 34,026.65 | 3.58 | 34,026.65 | 3.56 | 33,065.14 | 3.58 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 64 | 50 | 86 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 81 | 60 | 131 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 51 | 42 | 64 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,892,787.19 USD | 1,892.79 | 1,404,451.82 USD | 1,404.45 | 488,335.37 USD | 488.34 |
Gross Profit | 4,888,620.23 | 4,888.62 | 3,228,151.57 | 3,228.15 | 1,660,468.66 | 1,660.47 |
Gross Loss | 2,995,833.04 | 2,995.83 | 1,823,699.75 | 1,823.70 | 1,172,133.30 | 1,172.13 |
Max Run-up | 2,251,647.41 | 96.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 365,739.71 | 33.49 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,277,930.12 | 1,277.93 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.526 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.332 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.632 | 1.77 | 1.417 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 40 | 39 | 40 | |||
Open PL | −18,153.69 | −0.91 | ||||
Commission Paid | 190,682.18 | 123,857.01 | 66,825.17 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 453 | 288 | 165 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 192 | 136 | 56 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 261 | 152 | 109 | |||
Percent Profitable | 42.38 | 47.22 | 33.94 | |||
Avg Trade | 4,178.34 | 0.63 | 4,876.57 | 0.74 | 2,959.61 | 0.45 |
Avg Winning Trade | 25,461.56 | 4.67 | 23,736.41 | 4.18 | 29,651.23 | 5.84 |
Avg Losing Trade | 11,478.29 | 2.33 | 11,998.02 | 2.35 | 10,753.52 | 2.32 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.218 | 1.978 | 2.757 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 179,681.88 | 9.00 | 179,681.88 | 6.91 | 111,205.35 | 9.00 |
Largest Losing Trade | 109,393.27 | 3.58 | 109,393.27 | 3.56 | 60,096.19 | 3.58 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 63 | 52 | 84 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 78 | 60 | 123 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 53 | 45 | 64 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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