Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [09c42b88]
🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 90M 09.07
@gentlesir
⌛90 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-11 05:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
- Sortino Ratio: 2.91
- Calmar: -6.38
- Longest DD Days: 33.00
- Volatility: 79.21
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 1.07
- Expected Monthly: 25.01
- Expected Yearly: 1,356.76
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 23:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 133
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 174
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.38
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1864.68% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.685 |
Sortino Ratio | 3.02 |
Profit Factor | 1.722 |
Maximum Drawdown | 25.72% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 79.15% |
Percent Profitable | 43.46% |
The strategy shows strong potential with a high net profit and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.685, which surpasses the threshold of 0.5, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 25.72% is comfortably below the 40% threshold, highlighting effective downside risk management within the crypto volatility environment. A Profit Factor of 1.722 suggests that the strategy generates $1.72 for every dollar lost, implying an efficient allocation of risk capital.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy presents itself as viable for real-world trading, especially in high-volatility environments typical of crypto markets. The favorable max drawdown and the Sharpe Ratio signify resilience to market downturns while generating substantial returns. However, since the market conditions are unpredictable, continuous monitoring is required to adapt to the changing dynamics.
Risk Management
The strategy appears to implement basic risk management principles effectively, but there is room for enhancement to better control volatility impacts. The high annualized volatility suggests additional volatility management could be beneficial. Suggestions include:
- Implementing less leverage to further decrease drawdown risk.
- Adopting dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure relative to prevailing market conditions.
- Integrating tighter or adaptive stop-loss mechanisms to contain potential losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To further strengthen the strategy’s resilience and performance, consider the following actions:
- Optimize strategy parameters and rigorously test across multiple crypto horizons to enhance reliability.
- Incorporate additional indicators or machine learning models to refine market timing and trade decisions.
- Expand the testing universe to include diverse market conditions for out-of-sample and forward testing, assessing strategy robustness.
- Implement more comprehensive risk management tools such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) metrics or conducting stress tests under extreme market scenarios.
Final Opinion
Overall, this strategy demonstrates a promising balance between risk and reward, with solid risk-adjusted metrics and a strong net profit. Although high volatility is inherent in crypto trading, the manageable drawdown and inactive margin calls indicate disciplined risk handling. Continued optimization will be crucial to ensure the strategy’s adaptability and durability across varying market landscapes.
Recommendation: Continue with further testing and parameter optimization. Implement the suggested improvements for enhanced robustness and risk management to mitigate the effects of high market volatility effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 15.00% | 17.65% | 0.34% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 11.01% | 8.95% | -3.75% | 1.93% | 25.14% | 21.37% | 8.24% | 34.71% | 12.38% | 44.87% | -2.02% | -3.84% |
2022 | -4.84% | -1.75% | 3.52% | 20.06% | 6.37% | 0.00% | 11.33% | 13.60% | -13.34% | 8.58% | -4.92% | 24.95% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.90% | 2.74% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
AVAX
Base Currency
44
Number of Trades
28.16%
Cumulative Returns
43.18%
Win Rate
2024-07-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
5.49%
30 Days
27.54%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,368,296.97 USD | 1,368.30 | 513,759.03 USD | 513.76 | 854,537.94 USD | 854.54 |
Gross Profit | 2,892,626.36 | 2,892.63 | 1,294,693.53 | 1,294.69 | 1,597,932.82 | 1,597.93 |
Gross Loss | 1,524,329.39 | 1,524.33 | 780,934.50 | 780.93 | 743,394.89 | 743.39 |
Max Run-up | 1,373,711.45 | 93.56 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 113,051.16 | 27.78 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −58,567.41 | −58.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.657 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.837 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.898 | 1.658 | 2.15 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 118,533 | 118,533 | 76,897 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 71,778.07 | 33,038.95 | 38,739.12 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 263 | 112 | 151 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 114 | 40 | 74 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 149 | 72 | 77 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.35 | 35.71 | 49.01 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,202.65 | 1.11 | 4,587.13 | 0.70 | 5,659.19 | 1.42 |
Avg Winning Trade | 25,373.92 | 6.66 | 32,367.34 | 7.62 | 21,593.69 | 6.14 |
Avg Losing Trade | 10,230.40 | 3.13 | 10,846.31 | 3.15 | 9,654.48 | 3.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.48 | 2.984 | 2.237 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 126,682.86 | 21.64 | 126,682.86 | 9.03 | 91,336.21 | 21.64 |
Largest Losing Trade | 50,369.32 | 3.60 | 50,369.32 | 3.59 | 44,849.69 | 3.60 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 28 | 26 | 30 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 37 | 30 | 41 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 23 | 19 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,768,480.58 USD | 1,768.48 | 575,801.78 USD | 575.80 | 1,192,678.80 USD | 1,192.68 |
Gross Profit | 4,446,035.94 | 4,446.04 | 2,214,199.34 | 2,214.20 | 2,231,836.60 | 2,231.84 |
Gross Loss | 2,677,555.36 | 2,677.56 | 1,638,397.56 | 1,638.40 | 1,039,157.80 | 1,039.16 |
Max Run-up | 2,119,593.29 | 95.73 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 227,071.25 | 27.78 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −53,659.93 | −53.66 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.665 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.909 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.66 | 1.351 | 2.148 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 118,533 | 118,533 | 81,615 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 117,557.63 | 63,834.59 | 53,723.04 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 307 | 138 | 169 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 133 | 49 | 84 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 174 | 89 | 85 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.32 | 35.51 | 49.70 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,760.52 | 1.12 | 4,172.48 | 0.66 | 7,057.27 | 1.49 |
Avg Winning Trade | 33,428.84 | 6.69 | 45,187.74 | 7.59 | 26,569.48 | 6.17 |
Avg Losing Trade | 15,388.25 | 3.14 | 18,408.96 | 3.15 | 12,225.39 | 3.13 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.172 | 2.455 | 2.173 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 243,667.60 | 21.64 | 243,667.60 | 9.03 | 126,664.29 | 21.64 |
Largest Losing Trade | 109,828.93 | 3.60 | 109,828.93 | 3.59 | 55,202.00 | 3.60 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 27 | 26 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 36 | 31 | 38 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 23 | 19 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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