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Traders should know
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gentlesir stiffsurge arbusdt 45m homework 15.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [17ab2738]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE ARBUSDT 45M HOMEWORK 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
ARB
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
1476.84%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.86%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.145
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.48%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
751
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 15, 2024
809
Days
751
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-15 03:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.36
  • Calmar: -3.69
  • Longest DD Days: 213.00
  • Volatility: 50.18
  • Skew: -0.01
  • Kurtosis: -0.68
  • Expected Daily: 0.42
  • Expected Monthly: 9.10
  • Expected Yearly: 184.48
  • Kelly Criterion: 7.19
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.89
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.48
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 23:51:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 412
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 339
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.69
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.94
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
  • Tail Ratio: 1.09
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.56
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.25
  • Serenity Index: 108.64

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+3.22%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.16%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.60%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+1.65%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+4.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.65%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+16.48%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-55.46%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
54.8%
Total Trades
752
Cumulative
-0.76%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
255.48%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-1.87%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
-2.28%
+1.80%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+8.08%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+27.35%
Simple P&L
+1.30%
+11.69%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+8.64%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+17.00%
Simple P&L
-1.83%
+2.16%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
-8.13%
Simple P&L
-0.65%
-0.38%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
+15.13%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
+16.15%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.77%
+36.99%
Simple P&L
-2.36%
+24.00%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+16.27%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+25.30%
Simple P&L
+2.71%
+48.02%
Simple P&L
-2.35%
+31.29%
Simple P&L
+0.95%
+32.81%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+9.98%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
-13.14%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

752

Number of Trades

-0.76%

Cumulative Returns

54.79%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

4.76%

30 Days

16.48%

60 Days

3.65%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-1343.2-0.09
Net Profit1476841.341476.841146347.91146.35330493.44330.49
Gross Profit11645895.9211645.95695795.095695.85950100.845950.1
Gross Loss10169054.5910169.054549447.194549.455619607.45619.61
Expected Payoff1966.53582.34766.81
Commission Paid559024.41253871.74305152.68
Buy & Hold Return-95593.7-95.59
Buy & Hold % Gain-95.59
Strategy Outperformance1572435.03
Max Contracts Held2430013121795663.024300131.0
Annualized Return (cagr)245.65210.9692.79
Return On Initial Capital1476.841146.35330.49
Account Size Required2501008.97
Return On Account Size Required59.0545.8413.21
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)110925.13110.93
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)767223.4767.22
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3571851.697.45
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3571.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)107600.7107.6
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.590.460.13
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2454144.752454.14
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2501008.9769.86
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2501.01
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss775.34703.5173.51
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.893.862.58
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.873.583.39
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades751.0320.0431.0
Number Winning Trades412.0157.0255.0
Number Losing Trades339.0163.0176.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8649.0659.16
Avg P&l1966.50.343582.340.23766.810.42
Avg Winning Trade28266.742.9136278.953.2923333.732.67
Avg Losing Trade29997.212.7827910.722.7131929.592.85
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9421.30.731
Largest Winning Trade219741.07219741.07153351.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.297.028.29
Largest Losing Trade190477.11162949.71190477.11
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.064.064.05
Avg # Bars In Trades16.018.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.019.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.016.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.551
Sortino Ratio1.356
Profit Factor1.1451.2521.059
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-1175.3-0.07
Net Profit1476841.341476.841146347.91146.35330493.44330.49
Gross Profit11645895.9211645.95695795.095695.85950100.845950.1
Gross Loss10169054.5910169.054549447.194549.455619607.45619.61
Expected Payoff1966.53582.34766.81
Commission Paid559024.41253871.74305152.68
Buy & Hold Return-95594.17-95.59
Buy & Hold % Gain-95.59
Strategy Outperformance1572435.51
Max Contracts Held2430013121795663.024300131.0
Annualized Return (cagr)245.65210.9692.79
Return On Initial Capital1476.841146.35330.49
Account Size Required2501008.97
Return On Account Size Required59.0545.8413.21
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)110925.13110.93
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)767223.4767.22
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3571851.697.45
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3571.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)107600.7107.6
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.590.460.13
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2454144.752454.14
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2501008.9769.86
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2501.01
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss775.34703.5173.51
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.893.862.58
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.873.583.39
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades751.0320.0431.0
Number Winning Trades412.0157.0255.0
Number Losing Trades339.0163.0176.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8649.0659.16
Avg P&l1966.50.343582.340.23766.810.42
Avg Winning Trade28266.742.9136278.953.2923333.732.67
Avg Losing Trade29997.212.7827910.722.7131929.592.85
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9421.30.731
Largest Winning Trade219741.07219741.07153351.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.297.028.29
Largest Losing Trade190477.11162949.71190477.11
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.064.064.05
Avg # Bars In Trades16.018.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.019.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.016.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.551
Sortino Ratio1.356
Profit Factor1.1451.2521.059
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 1476.84%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 245.65%
Sharpe Ratio 0.551
Profit Factor 1.145
Maximum Drawdown -2454.14%
Volatility (Annualized) 50.18%

The strategy shows considerable profitability, boasting a net profit of 1476.84% and an annualized return of 245.65%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.551 indicates adequate risk-adjusted returns, surpassing the minimum threshold of 0.5 for crypto. However, the significant maximum drawdown of -2454.14% suggests an area of concern, indicating that the strategy may have experienced severe losses during its operation.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential for real-world application, primarily due to its robust returns. However, the extraordinarily high maximum drawdown requires attention to ensure its viability. The market conditions under which the strategy achieved these results should be studied to determine if they can be replicated or are likely to persist, especially given the evolving nature of crypto markets.

Risk Management

While the strategy has generated substantial returns, the risk management appears to be lacking given the high drawdown observed. Further improvement is necessary to ensure better risk mitigation and capital preservation. Suggestions to enhance risk management include:

  • Reduce leverage to help decrease the risk of massive drawdowns.
  • Implement stricter stop-loss rules to prevent excessive losses during adverse market conditions.
  • Incorporate volatility-based position sizing to adapt to fluctuating market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy's performance and resilience, consider implementing the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters to achieve a balance between maximizing returns and minimizing drawdowns.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals, aiming to improve the win-to-loss ratio.
  • Conduct forward and out-of-sample testing using a variety of market conditions to ensure the strategy's robustness.
  • Leverage advanced risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis and scenario stress testing to anticipate potential losses.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy exhibits considerable profitability and adequate risk-adjusted performance, as indicated by its Sharpe ratio. However, the extreme drawdown is a critical weakness that must be addressed. By focusing on risk management enhancements and further optimization, the strategy can be made more viable and robust across various market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications to reduce drawdowns and enhance risk management. Engage in further testing and validation to ensure the strategy can withstand diverse market environments effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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