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gentlesir mcginleyV5 ethusdt 90m 30.07

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TREND FOLOWING 90 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a9aeb4cc]

🛡️ MCGINLEYV5 ETHUSDT 90M 30.07

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 months ago
Total Return Primary
268.56%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.08%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.881
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.44%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
142
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 19, 2022
1,609
Days
142
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 16, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-02-19 18:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.52
  • Calmar: -3.30
  • Longest DD Days: 20.00
  • Volatility: 47.70
  • Skew: -0.24
  • Kurtosis: -1.20
  • Expected Daily: 0.95
  • Expected Monthly: 21.88
  • Expected Yearly: 974.11
  • Kelly Criterion: 27.97
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.76
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.25
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-16 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 91
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 3
  • Number Losing Trades: 51
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.30
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.79
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.03
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.79
  • Tail Ratio: 1.42
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 18.08

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.31%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.36%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
64.1%
Total Trades
142
Cumulative
-0.84%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
100.37%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.42%
+4.91%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+1.15%
-2.07%
Simple P&L
-2.06%
+5.42%
Simple P&L
+2.70%
+1.18%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
+0.72%
Simple P&L
-0.70%
+8.18%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+2.44%
Simple P&L
-0.11%
+1.76%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+2.26%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.13%
+2.12%
Simple P&L
+1.71%
+2.74%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+1.48%
Simple P&L
-0.54%
-2.83%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+1.50%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.40%
-1.06%
Simple P&L
-1.37%
-3.69%
Simple P&L
+0.75%
-1.67%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
+1.91%
Simple P&L
2024
-1.39%
+3.22%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+7.44%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+2.94%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+7.19%
Simple P&L
-0.94%
+1.98%
Simple P&L
+0.56%
+1.97%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
+10.17%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+3.49%
Simple P&L
+1.34%
-0.06%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+0.99%
Simple P&L
-1.86%
-0.60%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
+5.51%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.96%
-1.13%
Simple P&L
+1.92%
+10.11%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.02%
+3.08%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+7.59%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
+2.10%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
-0.70%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
+7.77%
Simple P&L
-1.66%
-1.54%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
-2.17%
Simple P&L
+0.31%
+3.25%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
-4.64%
Simple P&L
2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

142

Number of Trades

-0.84%

Cumulative Returns

64.08%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit268560.33268.56111520.84111.52157039.49157.04
Gross Profit573298.81573.3221072.02221.07352226.79352.23
Gross Loss304738.48304.74109551.18109.55195187.3195.19
Expected Payoff1891.272065.21784.54
Commission Paid41904.3417082.3224822.03
Buy & Hold Return-25106.03-25.11
Buy & Hold % Gain-25.11
Strategy Outperformance293666.36
Max Contracts Held301264.0301.0
Annualized Return (cagr)36.219.4125.05
Return On Initial Capital268.56111.52157.04
Account Size Required49135.97
Return On Account Size Required546.57226.96319.6
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20106.4920.11
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57364.7757.36
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)302728.8775.18
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)302.73
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)64 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)19355.4819.36
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.472.273.2
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)42977.0242.98
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)49135.9712.64
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)49.14
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1752.96978.941025.03
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.116.955.07
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.0310.47.85
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades142.054.088.0
Number Winning Trades91.034.057.0
Number Losing Trades51.020.031.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.0862.9664.77
Avg P&l1891.270.712065.20.781784.540.66
Avg Winning Trade6299.992.186502.122.186179.422.18
Avg Losing Trade5975.261.925477.561.596296.362.13
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0541.1870.981
Largest Winning Trade17852.515360.9417852.5
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.343.754.34
Largest Losing Trade15320.4211391.9815320.42
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.372.453.37
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades7.09.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.07.0
Sharpe Ratio0.519
Sortino Ratio1.517
Profit Factor1.8812.0181.805
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit268560.33268.56111520.84111.52157039.49157.04
Gross Profit573298.81573.3221072.02221.07352226.79352.23
Gross Loss304738.48304.74109551.18109.55195187.3195.19
Expected Payoff1891.272065.21784.54
Commission Paid41904.3417082.3224822.03
Buy & Hold Return-25106.03-25.11
Buy & Hold % Gain-25.11
Strategy Outperformance293666.36
Max Contracts Held301264.0301.0
Annualized Return (cagr)36.219.4125.05
Return On Initial Capital268.56111.52157.04
Account Size Required49135.97
Return On Account Size Required546.57226.96319.6
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20106.4920.11
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57364.7757.36
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)302728.8775.18
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)302.73
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)64 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)19355.4819.36
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.472.273.2
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)42977.0242.98
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)49135.9712.64
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)49.14
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1752.96978.941025.03
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.116.955.07
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.0310.47.85
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades142.054.088.0
Number Winning Trades91.034.057.0
Number Losing Trades51.020.031.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.0862.9664.77
Avg P&l1891.270.712065.20.781784.540.66
Avg Winning Trade6299.992.186502.122.186179.422.18
Avg Losing Trade5975.261.925477.561.596296.362.13
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0541.1870.981
Largest Winning Trade17852.515360.9417852.5
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.343.754.34
Largest Losing Trade15320.4211391.9815320.42
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.372.453.37
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades7.09.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.07.0
Sharpe Ratio0.519
Sortino Ratio1.517
Profit Factor1.8812.0181.805
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated
```html

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 268.56%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 36.2%
Sharpe Ratio 0.519
Profit Factor 1.881
Maximum Drawdown -42.98%
Volatility (Annualized) 47.7%

The strategy delivers a commendable cumulative return of 268.56% with an annualized return of 36.2%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.519 indicates a satisfactory risk-adjusted return for a crypto strategy. The Profit Factor of 1.881 is robust, reflecting financial productivity and efficiency. However, the maximum drawdown at -42.98% exceeds the preferred threshold and suggests a need for enhanced drawdown management.

Strategy Viability

The strategy exhibits sufficient viability for real-world application, especially given the high volatility characteristic of the crypto markets. It significantly outperforms the benchmark, indicated by a Strategy Outperformance of 293666.36%. The strategy's most optimal conditions are crucial to understand for solidifying its performance over time.

Risk Management

Currently, the risk management aspect can be improved, particularly concerning drawdown management. While the gain/pain ratio of 1.79 shows some proficiency, strategies to further alleviate risk levels are advised. Key areas for improvement include:

  • Reducing leverage can help maintain drawdowns below the desired 40% mark.
  • Implement strategic position sizing responsive to market conditions.
  • Incorporate more strict stop-loss mechanisms to prevent potential large losses.

Improvement Suggestions

The following action items are recommended to strengthen the strategy’s performance:

  • Optimize existing parameters for more effective trade triggering and exiting.
  • Integrate a diversified range of technical indicators for better signal accuracy.
  • Conduct thorough out-of-sample tests to evaluate the strategy's adaptability to future market shifts.
  • Delve into advanced risk management methodologies, such as creating a dynamic value-at-risk (VaR) framework.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays a high potential due to its cumulative and risk-adjusted returns aligned with crypto-trading standards. Despite an elevated drawdown, the involved risk is manageable with adjustments. The promising risk-taking approaches and the solid proof of concept warrant further development.

Recommendation: Continue refining and optimizing the strategy while prioritizing improved risk management protocols. Implement suggested enhancements and further testing to elevate the strategy’s robustness across varying market environments.

```
⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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