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gentlesir jptrendforce nearusdt 1h 13.05.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @gentlesir
● Live

JPTRENDFORCE NEARUSDT 1H 13.05.2025

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-4.28% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
994.66%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.08%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.156
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.85%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
260
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 11, 2023
1,157
Days
260
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 14, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-11 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.94
  • Calmar: -0.64
  • Longest DD Days: 38.00
  • Volatility: 10.04
  • Skew: 0.36
  • Kurtosis: 0.26
  • Expected Daily: 0.04
  • Expected Monthly: 0.81
  • Expected Yearly: 10.14
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.23
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.04
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.19
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-14 15:27:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 125
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 135
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.64
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.25
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
  • Tail Ratio: 1.10
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.87
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.06
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 0.63

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+2.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.56%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.23%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-8.03%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-49.76%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-7.60%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-25.80%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.67%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
47.9%
Total Trades
261
Cumulative
-4.74%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
213.22%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-6.96%
-11.45%
Simple P&L
+4.11%
-31.40%
Simple P&L
-4.05%
+29.39%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+5.80%
Simple P&L
+2.72%
+13.61%
Simple P&L
-3.58%
+6.21%
Simple P&L
+3.94%
-20.37%
Simple P&L
-1.83%
+6.46%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+3.06%
Simple P&L
-0.12%
+25.76%
Simple P&L
-3.37%
+34.40%
Simple P&L
+6.33%
+31.27%
Simple P&L
2024
-1.52%
-5.73%
Simple P&L
+1.17%
+7.59%
Simple P&L
-3.32%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.88%
-0.38%
Simple P&L
+1.35%
+2.72%
Simple P&L
-1.75%
+30.05%
Simple P&L
+5.59%
+27.42%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
-10.24%
Simple P&L
-6.49%
+32.35%
Simple P&L
+6.03%
-32.60%
Simple P&L
-3.62%
+43.15%
Simple P&L
-1.60%
-6.57%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.02%
+21.05%
Simple P&L
+6.19%
+0.23%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
-4.38%
Simple P&L
-4.96%
+11.23%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
-12.67%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
-14.67%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+15.78%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

261

Number of Trades

-4.74%

Cumulative Returns

47.89%

Win Rate

2025-05-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-49.76%

30 Days

-25.8%

60 Days

-7.6%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l-150.36-1.37
Net Profit9946.56994.663805.3380.536141.26614.13
Gross Profit73504.887350.4940757.254075.7232747.633274.76
Gross Loss63558.326355.8336951.953695.1926606.372660.64
Expected Payoff38.2624.3959.05
Commission Paid3911.862510.761401.1
Buy & Hold Return-215.33-21.53
Buy & Hold % Gain-21.53
Strategy Outperformance10161.89
Max Contracts Held1788217882.014862.0
Annualized Return (cagr)111.263.384.82
Return On Initial Capital994.66380.53614.13
Account Size Required6093.93
Return On Account Size Required163.2262.44100.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1984.26198.43
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5684.6568.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)15961.0395.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1596.1
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1721.83172.18
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.610.60.98
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5377.96537.8
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6093.9342.12
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)609.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss662.91253.61410.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.093.596.93
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.364.065.63
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades260.0156.0104.0
Number Winning Trades125.078.047.0
Number Losing Trades135.078.057.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.0850.045.19
Avg P&l38.260.8224.390.3459.051.56
Avg Winning Trade588.048.37522.536.7696.7611.15
Avg Losing Trade470.86.17473.746.03466.786.36
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2491.1031.493
Largest Winning Trade2269.061461.322269.06
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.638.3113.63
Largest Losing Trade1500.431500.431497.22
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.197.197.19
Avg # Bars In Trades68.048.099.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades82.048.0139.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades55.047.067.0
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Sortino Ratio0.938
Profit Factor1.1561.1031.231
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l-127.62-1.17
Net Profit9946.56994.663805.3380.536141.26614.13
Gross Profit73504.887350.4940757.254075.7232747.633274.76
Gross Loss63558.326355.8336951.953695.1926606.372660.64
Expected Payoff38.2624.3959.05
Commission Paid3911.862510.761401.1
Buy & Hold Return-214.26-21.43
Buy & Hold % Gain-21.43
Strategy Outperformance10160.82
Max Contracts Held1788217882.014862.0
Annualized Return (cagr)111.263.384.82
Return On Initial Capital994.66380.53614.13
Account Size Required6093.93
Return On Account Size Required163.2262.44100.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1984.26198.43
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5684.6568.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)15961.0395.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1596.1
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1721.83172.18
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.610.60.99
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5377.96537.8
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6093.9342.12
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)609.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss662.91253.61410.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.093.596.93
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.364.065.63
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades260.0156.0104.0
Number Winning Trades125.078.047.0
Number Losing Trades135.078.057.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.0850.045.19
Avg P&l38.260.8224.390.3459.051.56
Avg Winning Trade588.048.37522.536.7696.7611.15
Avg Losing Trade470.86.17473.746.03466.786.36
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2491.1031.493
Largest Winning Trade2269.061461.322269.06
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.638.3113.63
Largest Losing Trade1500.431500.431497.22
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.197.197.19
Avg # Bars In Trades68.048.099.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades82.048.0139.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades55.047.067.0
Sharpe Ratio0.391
Sortino Ratio0.939
Profit Factor1.1561.1031.231
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report related to the strategy, several performance metrics stand out:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1036.11%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 115.43%
Sharpe Ratio 0.404
Profit Factor 1.164
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar) 42.12%
Volatility (Annualized) 10.07%

The strategy displays a substantial cumulative return of 1036.11% and a robust annualized return of 115.43%, which indicates its potential to generate significant profits. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.404 is below the ideal threshold of 0.5, the strategy’s profit factor of 1.164 suggests profitability with room for improvement. The maximum drawdown of 42.12% indicates a need for enhanced risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the metrics provided, the strategy appears viable but has certain elements that require refinement for optimal trading performance. While it has outperformed the buy-and-hold strategy greatly (as shown by the strategy outperformance of 10684.75%), the below-average Sharpe Ratio and drawdown point towards the need for better risk management. Identifying market conditions where it performs best is crucial for future success.

Risk Management

The strategy shows potential, yet improvements in risk management are essential:

  • The 42.12% maximum drawdown can be reduced by using less leverage, implementing tighter stop-loss measures, and diversifying assets.
  • Maintaining dynamic position sizing strategies could help manage larger market fluctuations.
  • The potential risk of ruin figure suggests there's minimal risk based on its current structure, but continuous monitoring is necessary.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance strategy performance and robustness, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to increase the Sharpe Ratio and reduce drawdowns.
  • Incorporate a broader range of technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
  • Conduct both out-of-sample and stress tests to ensure strategic robustness across diverse market conditions.
  • Enhance the risk management approach by integrating sophisticated techniques like conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) adjustments.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases strong profit-generating potential, yet its risk-adjusted performance and drawdowns signal areas for improvement. Enhancements in risk management and parameter optimization could significantly bolster its resilience and profitability.

Recommendation: Continue developing and optimizing the strategy, focusing on improving risk management. With these improvements, consider further testing and validation to develop a robust strategy for diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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