🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9f17dd92]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZL ETHUSDT 45M 9.4
@gentlesir
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 53 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-11-16 01:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
- Sortino Ratio: 0.94
- Calmar: -1.80
- Longest DD Days: 44.00
- Volatility: 50.36
- Skew: 0.68
- Kurtosis: 0.09
- Expected Daily: 0.60
- Expected Monthly: 13.39
- Expected Yearly: 351.70
- Kelly Criterion: 16.52
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.46
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.39
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 16:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 148
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 141
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.80
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.48
- Payoff Ratio: 1.43
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.48
- Tail Ratio: 2.02
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.59
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.08
- Serenity Index: 13.57
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 378.79% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 43.37% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.304 |
Profit Factor | 1.513 |
Maximum Drawdown | 26.21% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 50.31% |
The strategy exhibits a strong cumulative return of 378.79% and a competitive annualized return of 43.37%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.304 is below the desired threshold, indicating potential issues in risk-adjusted performance, other metrics, such as the profit factor of 1.513, suggest the strategy is relatively efficient in generating profits compared to losses. The maximum drawdown of 26.21% is within acceptable limits for crypto trading, highlighting reasonable risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential for real-world trading, specifically in markets exhibiting the conditions under which the strategy has thrived. The win rate just above 51% and a profit factor greater than 1 reflect a promising hit rate and efficiency. However, the Sharpe ratio should be improved to ensure the strategy's effectiveness across varying market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approach can be improved to boost overall performance. Key considerations include:
- The maximum drawdown is acceptable but can be further reduced by employing less leverage without compromising returns significantly.
- Implement additional stop-loss strategies aligned with the volatility and market behavior observed.
- Consider diversifying trades to balance risk and potentially enhance returns.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance performance and robustness of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize leverage and position sizing to refine risk management and possibly enhance the Sharpe ratio.
- Incorporate more sophisticated indicators or machine learning models to better refine trade entry and exit points.
- Conduct cross-validation and walk-forward testing to validate the strategy’s resilience across variable market conditions.
- Explore integrating techniques like Value-at-Risk assessments to manage extreme volatility periods effectively.
Final Opinion
The strategy demonstrates strong potential with a respectable gain, an acceptable maximum drawdown, and decent risk metrics. Despite the lower-than-desirable Sharpe ratio, the strategy appears to be on a solid foundation. However, further optimization is necessary to improve risk-adjusted returns and align the strategy with industry best practices.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and enhancement of the strategy. Focus on optimizing the provided metrics and enhancing the risk management structure to improve the risk-return profile ahead of deploying it in live environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.70% | -0.32% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.20% | -1.49% | 3.15% | 0.00% | 1.55% | 1.24% | -1.40% | -4.68% | 5.62% | 6.81% |
2022 | 0.74% | 0.00% | 13.21% | -2.05% | -3.24% | 2.60% | 0.00% | 2.98% | -3.08% | 8.05% | 2.25% | 3.08% |
2023 | 19.57% | -13.32% | 1.96% | 18.87% | 8.44% | 8.14% | -16.27% | 3.83% | 6.73% | 10.73% | 1.89% | 28.23% |
2024 | 0.09% | 51.97% | 1.23% | -4.41% | -2.57% | 7.47% | 4.03% | -3.90% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
76
Number of Trades
14.5%
Cumulative Returns
47.37%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.03%
30 Days
3.88%
60 Days
6.47%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 339724.95 | 339.72 | 263656.39 | 263.66 | 76068.56 | 76.07 |
Gross Profit | 686423.35 | 686.42 | 445342.21 | 445.34 | 241081.14 | 241.08 |
Gross Loss | 346698.4 | 346.7 | 181685.82 | 181.69 | 165012.58 | 165.01 |
Commission Paid | 25838.51 | 12623.58 | 13214.92 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 709550.57 | 709.55 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 367148.01 | 79.8 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 53518.21 | 26.21 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 218.0 | 198.0 | 218.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 213.0 | 92.0 | 121.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 112.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 101.0 | 51.0 | 50.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.58 | 44.57 | 58.68 | |||
Avg P&l | 1594.95 | 0.52 | 2865.83 | 0.77 | 628.67 | 0.33 |
Avg Winning Trade | 6128.78 | 3.38 | 10862.01 | 5.03 | 3395.51 | 2.43 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3432.66 | 2.64 | 3562.47 | 2.65 | 3300.25 | 2.64 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.785 | 3.049 | 1.029 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 36781.5 | 36781.5 | 10637.98 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.29 | 6.29 | 3.11 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 8451.87 | 8451.87 | 8186.09 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.28 | 3.28 | 3.28 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 53.0 | 67.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 55.0 | 86.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 50.0 | 52.0 | 48.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.338 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.077 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.98 | 2.451 | 1.461 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 392640.55 | 392.64 | 312286.63 | 312.29 | 80353.92 | 80.35 |
Gross Profit | 1130845.22 | 1130.85 | 640636.58 | 640.64 | 490208.64 | 490.21 |
Gross Loss | 738204.67 | 738.2 | 328349.95 | 328.35 | 409854.72 | 409.85 |
Commission Paid | 46825.96 | 19591.26 | 27234.69 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 353458.64 | 353.46 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 415154.96 | 81.71 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 88312.76 | 26.21 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 292.0 | 292.0 | 267.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 289.0 | 116.0 | 173.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 148.0 | 51.0 | 97.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 141.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.21 | 43.97 | 56.07 | |||
Avg P&l | 1358.62 | 0.39 | 2692.13 | 0.71 | 464.47 | 0.18 |
Avg Winning Trade | 7640.85 | 3.37 | 12561.5 | 5.06 | 5053.7 | 2.48 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5235.49 | 2.73 | 5051.54 | 2.7 | 5392.83 | 2.76 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.459 | 2.487 | 0.937 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 36781.5 | 36781.5 | 21183.28 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.29 | 6.29 | 3.12 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 22571.85 | 22571.85 | 22381.84 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.28 | 3.28 | 3.28 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 52.0 | 69.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 51.0 | 80.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 52.0 | 60.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.309 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.944 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.532 | 1.951 | 1.196 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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