Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2cbc4f96]
🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND NEARUSDT 45M 25.06
@gentlesir
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-15 07:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.57
- Sortino Ratio: 2.00
- Calmar: -6.23
- Longest DD Days: 58.00
- Volatility: 129.49
- Skew: 0.51
- Kurtosis: -0.71
- Expected Daily: 1.86
- Expected Monthly: 47.30
- Expected Yearly: 10,337.23
- Kelly Criterion: 14.03
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.65
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.65
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-10 04:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 140
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 131
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.23
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.28
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.98
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.11
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.19
- Serenity Index: 312.70
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative CAGR | 260.1% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.547 |
Profit Factor | 1.24 |
Maximum Drawdown | -40.43% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 128.97% |
Percent Profitable | 51.35% |
The strategy exhibits promising returns with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 260.1%, indicating a robust profit potential. The Sharpe ratio of 0.547 is above the benchmark and suggests satisfactory risk-adjusted returns for the crypto market. However, the maximum drawdown of -40.43% warrants attention, although within an acceptable range for the high volatility typically associated with crypto trading. The profit factor of 1.24 demonstrates a positive expectancy, but there is room for enhancement to bolster gains further.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. The conditions favor a promising Sharpe ratio and an adequate profit factor, indicating that continued market conditions could remain favorable for such returns. It is essential to ensure resilience in varying market conditions and to optimize the strategy further for unpredictable shifts. Such extensions would ensure the strategy's continued viability as seen in the recent performance.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management framework shows potential but could benefit from improvements to manage pronounced drawdowns more effectively. Notable suggestions include:
- Consider reducing leverage to mitigate exposure to significant drawdowns while maintaining profitability.
- Enhance stop-loss mechanisms to cap losses more firmly during adverse movements.
- Incorporate dynamic position sizing to align risk with market volatility more consistently.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy parameters to refine trade entry and exit points, targeting lower drawdowns with consistent returns.
- Explore integrating a broader array of indicators to improve decision-making fidelity in varying markets.
- Engage in extensive stress testing and scenario analysis to assess the strategy across diverse market conditions.
- Enhance diversification of the assets used within the strategy to minimize unsystematic risks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates solid potential with robust returns and an acceptable Sharpe ratio for crypto markets. The observed volatility presents a chance to revamp risk measures, particularly in managing drawdowns. By optimizing strategy parameters and fine-tuning risk management techniques, this strategy can capitalize on its current strengths and address its weaknesses.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization. Focus on reducing leverage to limit drawdowns and explore broadening the risk management techniques to handle high volatility effectively. The pursuit of these improvements will enhance the strategy’s robustness and its adaptability across varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 46.88% | 21.97% | 5.13% | -17.38% | 17.86% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 46.98% | 10.91% | 28.47% | 1.56% | -12.85% | 0.70% | 6.63% | 11.05% | -13.81% | 25.27% | 20.98% | 34.46% |
2022 | 17.97% | 15.46% | 47.00% | 6.90% | -12.35% | 16.72% | 63.69% | 31.22% | 5.70% | -13.61% | 23.11% | -2.84% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 57.11% | -4.79% | 9.20% |
Live Trades Stats
NEAR
Base Currency
43
Number of Trades
14.51%
Cumulative Returns
37.21%
Win Rate
2024-06-25
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
41.07%
30 Days
23.94%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 6,801,898.84 USD | 6,801.90 | 4,711,920.77 USD | 4,711.92 | 2,089,978.07 USD | 2,089.98 |
Gross Profit | 18,910,316.11 | 18,910.32 | 12,755,949.96 | 12,755.95 | 6,154,366.15 | 6,154.37 |
Gross Loss | 12,108,417.27 | 12,108.42 | 8,044,029.19 | 8,044.03 | 4,064,388.08 | 4,064.39 |
Max Run-up | 8,046,984.65 | 98.77 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,121,796.90 | 40.27 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −25,027.95 | −25.03 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.791 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.562 | 1.586 | 1.514 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,094,095 | 3,094,095 | 2,811,651 | |||
Open PL | 487,102.04 | 7.06 | ||||
Commission Paid | 422,537.55 | 247,261.49 | 175,276.06 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 228 | 131 | 97 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 124 | 61 | 63 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 104 | 70 | 34 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.39 | 46.56 | 64.95 | |||
Avg Trade | 29,832.89 | 1.68 | 35,968.86 | 2.11 | 21,546.17 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 152,502.55 | 7.03 | 209,113.93 | 9.85 | 97,688.35 | 4.31 |
Avg Losing Trade | 116,427.09 | 4.70 | 114,914.70 | 4.64 | 119,540.83 | 4.82 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.31 | 1.82 | 0.817 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,127,768.48 | 16.03 | 1,127,768.48 | 16.03 | 524,993.89 | 5.90 |
Largest Losing Trade | 705,477.33 | 7.55 | 705,477.33 | 7.55 | 565,021.60 | 6.01 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 56 | 69 | 39 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 48 | 61 | 35 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 66 | 76 | 46 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 6,881,973.01 USD | 6,881.97 | 3,899,093.28 USD | 3,899.09 | 2,982,879.74 USD | 2,982.88 |
Gross Profit | 27,374,613.36 | 27,374.61 | 18,510,889.25 | 18,510.89 | 8,863,724.12 | 8,863.72 |
Gross Loss | 20,492,640.35 | 20,492.64 | 14,611,795.97 | 14,611.80 | 5,880,844.38 | 5,880.84 |
Max Run-up | 8,774,698.53 | 98.87 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3,569,026.36 | 46.09 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −8,119.06 | −8.12 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.565 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.002 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.336 | 1.267 | 1.507 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,094,095 | 3,094,095 | 2,811,651 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 647,979.15 | 396,106.52 | 251,872.63 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 271 | 157 | 114 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 140 | 68 | 72 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 131 | 89 | 42 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.66 | 43.31 | 63.16 | |||
Avg Trade | 25,394.73 | 1.41 | 24,834.99 | 1.69 | 26,165.61 | 1.03 |
Avg Winning Trade | 195,532.95 | 7.09 | 272,218.96 | 9.96 | 123,107.28 | 4.38 |
Avg Losing Trade | 156,432.37 | 4.66 | 164,177.48 | 4.63 | 140,020.10 | 4.72 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.25 | 1.658 | 0.879 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,145,012.97 | 16.03 | 1,145,012.97 | 16.03 | 599,197.90 | 5.90 |
Largest Losing Trade | 705,477.33 | 7.55 | 705,477.33 | 7.55 | 565,021.60 | 6.01 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 58 | 72 | 37 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 48 | 63 | 33 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 68 | 80 | 44 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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