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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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gentlesir explosivetrend nearusdt 45m 25.06

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2cbc4f96]

🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND NEARUSDT 45M 25.06

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
551.73%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.61%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.235
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.16%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
216
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 23, 2024
801
Days
216
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-23 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.17
  • Calmar: -3.03
  • Longest DD Days: 66.00
  • Volatility: 121.40
  • Skew: 0.51
  • Kurtosis: -0.64
  • Expected Daily: 1.12
  • Expected Monthly: 26.39
  • Expected Yearly: 1,561.39
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.05
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.70
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.41
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 14:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 105
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 111
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.03
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.30
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 1.63
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.37
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.22
  • Serenity Index: 14.88

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.02%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+0.16%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.79%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.51%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-9.11%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+5.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+16.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+10.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
48.6%
Total Trades
216
Cumulative
-4.17%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
165.89%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-1.59%
+27.60%
Simple P&L
-3.81%
+9.22%
Simple P&L
+4.30%
+2.23%
Simple P&L
-3.63%
-8.82%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+15.52%
Simple P&L
-0.81%
+6.62%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+7.59%
Simple P&L
+2.59%
-10.20%
Simple P&L
-2.35%
-10.68%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
-21.92%
Simple P&L
-4.23%
+26.81%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
-5.35%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.42%
+30.26%
Simple P&L
+4.47%
+1.82%
Simple P&L
-2.81%
+14.61%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+7.64%
Simple P&L
-4.17%
+1.69%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
+51.00%
Simple P&L
+1.82%
+12.56%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+4.94%
Simple P&L
-0.28%
-13.20%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

216

Number of Trades

-4.17%

Cumulative Returns

48.61%

Win Rate

2024-06-25

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-9.11%

30 Days

16.76%

60 Days

5.33%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit551726.79551.73129043.63129.04422683.17422.68
Gross Profit2900953.952900.951656494.381656.491244459.571244.46
Gross Loss2349227.162349.231527450.751527.45821776.4821.78
Expected Payoff2554.291131.964143.95
Commission Paid94889.6151102.5743787.05
Buy & Hold Return-52716.99-52.72
Buy & Hold % Gain-52.72
Strategy Outperformance604443.79
Max Contracts Held904011904011.0627887.0
Annualized Return (cagr)132.445.19110.44
Return On Initial Capital551.73129.04422.68
Account Size Required402366.65
Return On Account Size Required137.1232.07105.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)139257.51139.26
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)361796.05361.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)827217.4189.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)827.22
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)111075.38111.08
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.370.321.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)393354.2393.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)402366.6546.33
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)402.37
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss756.3176.89652.99
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.636.354.11
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.114.787.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades216.0114.0102.0
Number Winning Trades105.041.064.0
Number Losing Trades111.073.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.6135.9662.75
Avg P&l2554.290.771131.960.394143.951.19
Avg Winning Trade27628.136.5440402.39.4119444.684.7
Avg Losing Trade21164.214.6920923.984.6721625.694.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3051.9310.899
Largest Winning Trade105176.24105176.2451174.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.0815.085.87
Largest Losing Trade72951.2172951.2164730.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.996.996.08
Avg # Bars In Trades50.065.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades54.083.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades47.055.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.399
Sortino Ratio1.165
Profit Factor1.2351.0841.514
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit551726.79551.73129043.63129.04422683.17422.68
Gross Profit2900953.952900.951656494.381656.491244459.571244.46
Gross Loss2349227.162349.231527450.751527.45821776.4821.78
Expected Payoff2554.291131.964143.95
Commission Paid94889.6151102.5743787.05
Buy & Hold Return-52716.99-52.72
Buy & Hold % Gain-52.72
Strategy Outperformance604443.79
Max Contracts Held904011904011.0627887.0
Annualized Return (cagr)132.445.19110.44
Return On Initial Capital551.73129.04422.68
Account Size Required402366.65
Return On Account Size Required137.1232.07105.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)139257.51139.26
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)361796.05361.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)827217.4189.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)827.22
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)111075.38111.08
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.370.321.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)393354.2393.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)402366.6546.33
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)402.37
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss756.3176.89652.99
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.636.354.11
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.114.787.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades216.0114.0102.0
Number Winning Trades105.041.064.0
Number Losing Trades111.073.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.6135.9662.75
Avg P&l2554.290.771131.960.394143.951.19
Avg Winning Trade27628.136.5440402.39.4119444.684.7
Avg Losing Trade21164.214.6920923.984.6721625.694.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3051.9310.899
Largest Winning Trade105176.24105176.2451174.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.0815.085.87
Largest Losing Trade72951.2172951.2164730.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.996.996.08
Avg # Bars In Trades50.065.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades54.083.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades47.055.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.399
Sortino Ratio1.165
Profit Factor1.2351.0841.514
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

An analysis of the QuantStats report reveals several significant performance metrics:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 551.73%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 132.4%
Sharpe Ratio 0.399
Profit Factor 1.235
Maximum Drawdown 46.33%
Volatility (Annualized) 121.4%

The strategy presents a notable cumulative return of 551.73% with an annualized CAGR of 132.4%, indicating strong growth potential. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.399 falls below the preferred threshold of 0.5 for the crypto space, requiring improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 46.33% exceeds the optimal range, signaling a risk factor that needs to be addressed.

Strategy Viability

This strategy demonstrates significant growth capability and an impressive return profile, suggesting potential for real-world application under certain market conditions. However, the volatility and drawdown levels highlight some risk concerns that need to be managed effectively. Given the robust outperformance relative to a declining buy & hold market, it holds future promise if improved upon.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach displays opportunities for enhancement by mitigating drawdowns and smoothing volatility. Potential steps include:

  • Implementing less leverage to effectively reduce the impact of high drawdowns on the portfolio.
  • Utilizing more stringent stop-loss mechanisms to protect against substantial losses.
  • Reducing exposure during high volatility times to manage risk more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To augment the strategy's performance and enhance its robustness, consider the following improvements:

  • Refine the current strategy parameters to bolster the Sharpe ratio and overall stability.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators for enhanced market entry and exit precision.
  • Conduct extensive robustness testing, including in-sample, out-of-sample, and forward testing to ensure strategy reliability across various conditions.
  • Adopt advanced risk management techniques, such as utilizing Value-at-Risk (VaR) and integrating stress testing, to adapt to diverse market dynamics.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy depicts robust growth characteristics with high cumulative and annualized returns, yet faces challenges with drawdowns and risk-adjusted performance. The proposed strategies for optimization and risk management enhancement aim to foster sustainable, resilient performance over time.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategic modifications and optimizations. Employ suggested risk management improvements and validate through further testing to solidify the strategy’s viability for consistent, real-world trading scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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