Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2cbc4f96]
🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND NEARUSDT 45M 25.06 @gentlesir
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-15 07:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.59
- Sortino Ratio: 2.12
- Calmar: -6.29
- Longest DD Days: 58.00
- Volatility: 129.05
- Skew: 0.49
- Kurtosis: -0.73
- Expected Daily: 1.83
- Expected Monthly: 46.30
- Expected Yearly: 9,518.03
- Kelly Criterion: 14.17
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.84
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.74
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 164
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 153
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.29
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
- Payoff Ratio: 1.29
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
- Tail Ratio: 1.94
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.13
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.18
- Serenity Index: 656.42
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 13457.32% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 293.23% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.591 |
Profit Factor | 1.394 |
Maximum Drawdown | -46.09% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 129.14% |
The strategy demonstrates remarkable cumulative returns of 13,457.32% and a strong annualized return of 293.23%, highlighting its potential profitability. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.591 is good considering the high volatility of the crypto market, indicating satisfactory risk-adjusted returns. The strategy maintains a profit factor above 1, meaning it’s consistently profitable. However, the maximum drawdown of -46.09% could be improved to better align with risk tolerance levels.
Strategy Viability
This strategy displays significant promise for real-world trading. It yielded extraordinary returns that surpass the buy-and-hold strategy, demonstrating its efficacy under current market conditions. Nonetheless, while the strategy excels in high volatility environments, the observed maximum drawdown suggests a need for enhanced risk controls. Traders must monitor market conditions closely to ensure ongoing alignment with the strategy's optimal performance conditions.
Risk Management
The risk management strategy could benefit from further refinement to address higher risk factors presented by the strategy, particularly in terms of drawdown management. Here are some suggestions:
- Reduce leverage to soften the impact of potential losses and lower maximum drawdown.
- Implement advanced stop-loss orders and trailing stops to secure profits and minimize losses.
- Consider diversification across various cryptocurrencies to reduce unsystematic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and resilience, the following improvements are recommended:
- Fine-tune leverage usage to balance between maximizing returns and controlling drawdown.
- Integrate broader sets of technical indicators and predictive analytics to refine trading signals.
- Utilize machine learning techniques for adaptive learning and strategy optimization in changing markets.
- Conduct comprehensive stress testing across diverse market conditions for validation.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy showcases an impressive performance and solid risk-adjusted metrics. While the exposure to volatility is high, the potential returns offer a compelling risk-reward profile. Improvements in risk management, particularly concerning leverage use and drawdown controls, are recommended to enhance the strategy's robustness.
Recommendation: I suggest moving forward with the strategy, focusing on strategic optimizations and rigorous testing. By incorporating enhanced risk management practices and continual performance reviews, the strategy can be fine-tuned to maintain its appeal and effectiveness in dynamic market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 57.11% | -4.79% | 9.20% |
2022 | 17.97% | 15.46% | 47.00% | 6.90% | -12.35% | 16.72% | 63.69% | 31.22% | 5.70% | -13.61% | 23.11% | -2.84% |
2023 | 46.98% | 10.91% | 28.47% | 1.56% | -12.85% | 0.70% | 6.63% | 11.05% | -13.81% | 25.27% | 20.98% | 34.46% |
2024 | 46.88% | 21.97% | 5.13% | -17.38% | 17.86% | 4.89% | 5.44% | -10.34% | -4.51% | -25.04% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
NEAR
Base Currency
90
Number of Trades
91.54%
Cumulative Returns
44.44%
Win Rate
2024-06-25
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
19.17%
30 Days
45.29%
60 Days
28.27%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 487102.04 | 7.06 | ||||
Net Profit | 6801898.84 | 6801.9 | 4711920.77 | 4711.92 | 2089978.07 | 2089.98 |
Gross Profit | 18910316.11 | 18910.32 | 12755949.96 | 12755.95 | 6154366.15 | 6154.37 |
Gross Loss | 12108417.27 | 12108.42 | 8044029.19 | 8044.03 | 4064388.08 | 4064.39 |
Commission Paid | 422537.55 | 247261.49 | 175276.06 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -25027.95 | -25.03 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 8046984.65 | 98.77 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2121796.9 | 40.27 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 3094095.0 | 3094095.0 | 2811651.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 228.0 | 131.0 | 97.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 124.0 | 61.0 | 63.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 104.0 | 70.0 | 34.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.39 | 46.56 | 64.95 | |||
Avg P&l | 29832.89 | 1.68 | 35968.86 | 2.11 | 21546.17 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 152502.55 | 7.03 | 209113.93 | 9.85 | 97688.35 | 4.31 |
Avg Losing Trade | 116427.09 | 4.7 | 114914.7 | 4.64 | 119540.83 | 4.82 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.31 | 1.82 | 0.817 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1127768.48 | 1127768.48 | 524993.89 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 16.03 | 16.03 | 5.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 705477.33 | 705477.33 | 565021.6 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.55 | 7.55 | 6.01 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 56.0 | 69.0 | 39.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 48.0 | 61.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 66.0 | 76.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.791 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.562 | 1.586 | 1.514 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -550514.74 | -4.06 | ||||
Net Profit | 13451953.13 | 13451.95 | 7270952.84 | 7270.95 | 6181000.29 | 6181.0 |
Gross Profit | 47646472.26 | 47646.47 | 30936250.33 | 30936.25 | 16710221.94 | 16710.22 |
Gross Loss | 34194519.13 | 34194.52 | 23665297.48 | 23665.3 | 10529221.65 | 10529.22 |
Commission Paid | 1092659.45 | 637966.37 | 454693.08 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -61361.09 | -61.36 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 16964858.51 | 99.41 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3569026.36 | 46.09 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 7629421.0 | 7629421.0 | 7235995.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 317.0 | 180.0 | 137.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 164.0 | 77.0 | 87.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 153.0 | 103.0 | 50.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.74 | 42.78 | 63.5 | |||
Avg P&l | 42435.18 | 1.37 | 40394.18 | 1.55 | 45116.79 | 1.12 |
Avg Winning Trade | 290527.27 | 7.04 | 401769.48 | 9.92 | 192071.52 | 4.48 |
Avg Losing Trade | 223493.59 | 4.71 | 229760.17 | 4.71 | 210584.43 | 4.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.3 | 1.749 | 0.912 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2131194.92 | 2131194.92 | 906591.48 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 16.03 | 16.03 | 5.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1400332.14 | 1400332.14 | 912382.22 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.55 | 7.55 | 6.01 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 54.0 | 69.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 46.0 | 63.0 | 31.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 63.0 | 74.0 | 40.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.587 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.119 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.393 | 1.307 | 1.587 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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