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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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gentlesir explosivetrend nearusdt 45m 25.06

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2cbc4f96]

🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND NEARUSDT 45M 25.06

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
652.26%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
49.07%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.29
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.14%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
214
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 23, 2024
777
Days
214
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 2, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-23 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.24
  • Calmar: -3.50
  • Longest DD Days: 64.00
  • Volatility: 121.33
  • Skew: 0.50
  • Kurtosis: -0.64
  • Expected Daily: 1.20
  • Expected Monthly: 28.38
  • Expected Yearly: 1,905.22
  • Kelly Criterion: 10.37
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.71
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.41
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-02 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 105
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 109
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.50
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.27
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.32
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.27
  • Tail Ratio: 1.63
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.37
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.22
  • Serenity Index: 16.40

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.71%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.62%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.18%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.38%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+25.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+26.42%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+14.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+13.67%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
49.1%
Total Trades
214
Cumulative
-4.15%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
175.00%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-1.59%
+27.60%
Simple P&L
-3.81%
+9.22%
Simple P&L
+4.30%
+2.23%
Simple P&L
-4.53%
-8.82%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+15.52%
Simple P&L
-0.81%
+6.62%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+7.59%
Simple P&L
+2.59%
-10.20%
Simple P&L
-2.35%
-10.68%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
-21.92%
Simple P&L
-4.23%
+26.81%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
-5.35%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.42%
+30.26%
Simple P&L
+4.47%
+1.82%
Simple P&L
-2.81%
+14.61%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+7.64%
Simple P&L
-4.17%
+1.69%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
+51.00%
Simple P&L
+1.82%
+12.56%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+4.94%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

214

Number of Trades

-4.15%

Cumulative Returns

49.07%

Win Rate

2024-06-25

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

25.87%

30 Days

14.44%

60 Days

26.42%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit652259.04652.26229575.87229.58422683.17422.68
Gross Profit2900953.952900.951656494.381656.491244459.571244.46
Gross Loss2248694.912248.691426918.511426.92821776.4821.78
Expected Payoff3047.942049.784143.95
Commission Paid92740.0548953.043787.05
Buy & Hold Return-53639.68-53.64
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.64
Strategy Outperformance705898.72
Max Contracts Held904011904011.0627887.0
Annualized Return (cagr)150.9972.27112.59
Return On Initial Capital652.26229.58422.68
Account Size Required402366.65
Return On Account Size Required162.1157.06105.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)39 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)149310.74149.31
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)361796.05361.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)827217.4189.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)827.22
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)111075.38111.08
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.620.571.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)393354.2393.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)402366.6546.33
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)402.37
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss894.1314.7652.99
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.636.354.11
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.245.117.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades214.0112.0102.0
Number Winning Trades105.041.064.0
Number Losing Trades109.071.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable49.0736.6162.75
Avg P&l3047.940.822049.780.484143.951.19
Avg Winning Trade27628.136.5440402.39.4119444.684.7
Avg Losing Trade20630.234.6920097.444.6721625.694.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3392.010.899
Largest Winning Trade105176.24105176.2451174.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.0815.085.87
Largest Losing Trade72951.2172951.2164730.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.996.996.08
Avg # Bars In Trades50.066.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades54.083.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades47.056.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.425
Sortino Ratio1.239
Profit Factor1.291.1611.514
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit652259.04652.26229575.87229.58422683.17422.68
Gross Profit2900953.952900.951656494.381656.491244459.571244.46
Gross Loss2248694.912248.691426918.511426.92821776.4821.78
Expected Payoff3047.942049.784143.95
Commission Paid92740.0548953.043787.05
Buy & Hold Return-53639.68-53.64
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.64
Strategy Outperformance705898.72
Max Contracts Held904011904011.0627887.0
Annualized Return (cagr)150.9972.27112.59
Return On Initial Capital652.26229.58422.68
Account Size Required402366.65
Return On Account Size Required162.1157.06105.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)39 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)149310.74149.31
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)361796.05361.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)827217.4189.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)827.22
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)111075.38111.08
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.620.571.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)393354.2393.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)402366.6546.33
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)402.37
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss894.1314.7652.99
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.636.354.11
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.245.117.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades214.0112.0102.0
Number Winning Trades105.041.064.0
Number Losing Trades109.071.038.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable49.0736.6162.75
Avg P&l3047.940.822049.780.484143.951.19
Avg Winning Trade27628.136.5440402.39.4119444.684.7
Avg Losing Trade20630.234.6920097.444.6721625.694.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3392.010.899
Largest Winning Trade105176.24105176.2451174.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.0815.085.87
Largest Losing Trade72951.2172951.2164730.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.996.996.08
Avg # Bars In Trades50.066.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades54.083.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades47.056.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.425
Sortino Ratio1.239
Profit Factor1.291.1611.514
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, there are several performance metrics to consider:

Metric Value
Cumulative Net Profit 652.26%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 152.38%
Sharpe Ratio 0.425
Profit Factor 1.29
Maximum Drawdown 402.37% (Intrabar)
Volatility (Annualized) 121.33%
Percent Profitable 49.07%
Gain/Pain Ratio 1.27

The strategy demonstrates an impressive cumulative net profit of 652.26% and a strong annualized return of 152.38%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.425, while not above the preferred benchmark of 0.5, offers room for improvement through better risk management. The high maximum drawdown indicates significant risk, suggesting potential challenges in managing extreme market conditions.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential viability given its substantial return on capital; however, the underwhelming Sharpe ratio and high maximum drawdown are concerns. Despite these issues, the strategy significantly outperforms the buy-and-hold approach, which recorded a loss. Further optimization could enhance its viability in real-world trading, especially in managing drawdowns to cope with volatile cryptocurrency markets.

Risk Management

The observed maximum drawdown is a critical risk factor. Implementing a more robust risk management strategy is essential. Suggestions include:

  • Reducing leverage might help in controlling the drawdown effectively, thereby enhancing stability.
  • Dynamic position sizing and employing automated stop-loss mechanisms will help in managing risks better.
  • Considering diversification to spread risk across multiple instruments or strategies.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy’s robustness and risk-adjusted returns, consider the following enhancements:

  • Re-evaluate and optimize the strategy parameters to strike a balance between returns and risk.
  • Incorporate additional and varied technical indicators to fine-tune trade entries and exits.
  • Testing the strategy across different market conditions to ensure it performs consistently.
  • Enhancing the risk management protocol by integrating sophisticated stress and scenario testing.

Final Opinion

Overall, this strategy displays compelling returns and has the potential for further development. However, the high drawdown and moderate Sharpe ratio necessitate improvements in risk management and strategic enhancements.

Recommendation: Proceed with optimizing the strategy while implementing advanced risk controls. Additional testing and fine-tuning will ensure that the strategy can sustain its attractive returns while reducing downside risks effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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