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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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gentlesir hacelsma arbusdt 45m 17.12.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [548acc2a]

🛡️ HACELSMA ARBUSDT 45M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
ARB
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
176.36%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.3%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.588
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.51%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
154
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 6, 2024
767
Days
154
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-02-06 04:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.49
  • Calmar: -1.05
  • Longest DD Days: 36.00
  • Volatility: 0.95
  • Skew: 0.41
  • Kurtosis: -0.05
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.24
  • Expected Yearly: 2.96
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.50
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-19 03:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 79
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 75
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.05
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.61
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.53
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.61
  • Tail Ratio: 1.70
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.56
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 1.91

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.41%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.12%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.97%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-11.78%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+2.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-26.33%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
51.3%
Total Trades
154
Cumulative
-1.98%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
69.09%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4.21%
-4.27%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.54%
-0.54%
Simple P&L
-1.63%
+11.25%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
+21.60%
Simple P&L
-1.35%
+10.86%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
+9.85%
Simple P&L
-0.35%
+9.98%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
-2.63%
Simple P&L
+1.65%
+2.88%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.62%
+11.08%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+10.05%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
-10.42%
Simple P&L
+1.65%
+3.11%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+15.14%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
-2.39%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

154

Number of Trades

-1.98%

Cumulative Returns

51.3%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.97%

30 Days

2.6%

60 Days

-11.78%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1763.62176.36662.266.221101.41110.14
Gross Profit4764.73476.471718.12171.813046.61304.66
Gross Loss3001.11300.111055.92105.591945.19194.52
Expected Payoff11.4516.569.66
Commission Paid593.34188.84404.49
Buy & Hold Return-942.98-94.3
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.3
Strategy Outperformance2706.59
Max Contracts Held2576512422.025765.0
Annualized Return (cagr)58.7125.9740.13
Return On Initial Capital176.3666.22110.14
Account Size Required859.55
Return On Account Size Required205.1877.04128.14
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)232.0623.21
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)704.4270.44
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2632.4774.82
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)263.25
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)159.4615.95
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.050.771.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)837.2983.73
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)859.5524.96
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)85.95
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1565.04587.641073.67
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.7810.484.22
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.7510.675.27
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades154.040.0114.0
Number Winning Trades79.018.061.0
Number Losing Trades75.022.053.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.345.053.51
Avg P&l11.450.4516.560.399.660.47
Avg Winning Trade60.312.9195.453.649.942.71
Avg Losing Trade40.012.1448.02.2436.72.1
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5071.9891.361
Largest Winning Trade179.99179.99128.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.173.888.17
Largest Losing Trade112.69112.69102.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.772.772.4
Avg # Bars In Trades16.020.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.020.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.019.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.449
Sortino Ratio1.491
Profit Factor1.5881.6271.566
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1763.62176.36662.266.221101.41110.14
Gross Profit4764.73476.471718.12171.813046.61304.66
Gross Loss3001.11300.111055.92105.591945.19194.52
Expected Payoff11.4516.569.66
Commission Paid593.34188.84404.49
Buy & Hold Return-942.98-94.3
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.3
Strategy Outperformance2706.59
Max Contracts Held2576512422.025765.0
Annualized Return (cagr)58.7125.9740.13
Return On Initial Capital176.3666.22110.14
Account Size Required859.55
Return On Account Size Required205.1877.04128.14
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)232.0623.21
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)704.4270.44
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2632.4774.82
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)263.25
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)159.4615.95
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.050.771.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)837.2983.73
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)859.5524.96
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)85.95
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1565.04587.641073.67
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.7810.484.22
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.7510.675.27
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades154.040.0114.0
Number Winning Trades79.018.061.0
Number Losing Trades75.022.053.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.345.053.51
Avg P&l11.450.4516.560.399.660.47
Avg Winning Trade60.312.9195.453.649.942.71
Avg Losing Trade40.012.1448.02.2436.72.1
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5071.9891.361
Largest Winning Trade179.99179.99128.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.173.888.17
Largest Losing Trade112.69112.69102.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.772.772.4
Avg # Bars In Trades16.020.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.020.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.019.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.449
Sortino Ratio1.491
Profit Factor1.5881.6271.566
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 59.87%
Sharpe Ratio 0.449
Profit Factor 1.588
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) 83.73%
Volatility (Annualized) 95%
Percent Profitable 51.3%

The strategy demonstrates a solid annualized return of 59.87%, indicating strong return potential compared to traditional benchmarks. The profit factor of 1.588 suggests decent efficiency as gains are outpacing losses. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.449 is slightly below the desirable level of 0.5, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 83.73% is considerably high, highlighting significant risks that need addressing.

Strategy Viability

Despite the remarkable return figures, the strategy's current drawdown levels and volatility present concerns that need to be mitigated for real-world application. The moderately positive skew (0.41) and low kurtosis (-0.05) suggest favorable but risky opportunity spreads. Given these insights, the strategy has promise but requires risk management enhancements to increase reliability and reduce exposure during unfavorable conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy's considerable drawdown indicates a crucial area for enhancement:

  • Reduce leverage to decrease maximum drawdown, making the strategy more sustainable over time.
  • Incorporate tighter stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses on adverse trades.
  • Explore risk mitigation techniques such as dynamic hedging or diversifying underlying assets.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and risk management, consider:

  • Optimizing parameter settings to improve the Sharpe ratio and reduce drawdowns.
  • Incorporating additional indicators or technical analysis methods to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conducting backtests with varying market conditions to further assess strategy resilience.
  • Exploring alternative position sizing techniques to handle varying market volatilities more effectively.

Final Opinion

This strategy shows promise with a high annualized return and self-sufficient gain ratios, though it faces challenges due to high volatility and drawdowns. The strategy's strengths lie in its profit factor and ability to outperform the market. By addressing its weaknesses, particularly in risk management and volatility control, it could become viable for real-world implementation.

Recommendation: Focus on refining risk management strategies and parameter optimizations. Moreover, additional testing is advised to ensure robustness, particularly in diverse market conditions, before proceeding with broader deployment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Loss
Win
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Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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