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DaviddTech
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gentlesir glitchytrend nearusdt 1h 21.01.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @gentlesir
● Live

GLITCHYTREND NEARUSDT 1H 21.01.2025

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.73% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
494.43%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
45.91%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.217
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.24%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
379
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 12, 2023
1,176
Days
379
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-12 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.87
  • Calmar: -2.27
  • Longest DD Days: 44.00
  • Volatility: 69.77
  • Skew: 0.75
  • Kurtosis: 0.74
  • Expected Daily: 0.55
  • Expected Monthly: 12.31
  • Expected Yearly: 302.63
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.34
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.67
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.55
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 12:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 174
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 205
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.27
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.44
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
  • Tail Ratio: 1.74
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.34
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 16.76

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.40%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.79%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.87%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.20%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-6.18%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+6.46%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-3.11%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.37%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
45.9%
Total Trades
379
Cumulative
-2.17%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
156.12%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-3.28%
+17.13%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
-8.82%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
-4.67%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+11.24%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+2.98%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+10.27%
Simple P&L
+2.84%
+1.41%
Simple P&L
-0.22%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
-5.20%
Simple P&L
-1.15%
+1.62%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+2.92%
Simple P&L
+1.80%
+0.17%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.08%
+3.78%
Simple P&L
-2.74%
-0.65%
Simple P&L
+1.15%
+29.55%
Simple P&L
-0.93%
+21.08%
Simple P&L
+0.93%
-13.45%
Simple P&L
-0.76%
-1.25%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+11.42%
Simple P&L
-1.14%
+19.33%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+7.64%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
+8.79%
Simple P&L
-1.77%
+0.81%
Simple P&L
+0.65%
+3.66%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.35%
+7.31%
Simple P&L
-0.88%
+9.08%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
-0.93%
Simple P&L
+1.95%
+3.55%
Simple P&L
-0.73%
+11.34%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+11.18%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
-0.12%
Simple P&L
-1.69%
-0.21%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

379

Number of Trades

-2.17%

Cumulative Returns

45.91%

Win Rate

2025-01-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-6.18%

30 Days

-3.11%

60 Days

6.46%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit494427.16494.4338835.1938.84455591.98455.59
Gross Profit2769988.522769.991182139.261182.141587849.261587.85
Gross Loss2275561.362275.561143304.071143.31132257.291132.26
Expected Payoff1304.56187.612648.79
Commission Paid158493.286428.2872064.93
Buy & Hold Return-28000-28.0
Buy & Hold % Gain-28.0
Strategy Outperformance522427.16
Max Contracts Held866621866621.0839754.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.8610.7270.25
Return On Initial Capital494.4338.84455.59
Account Size Required263677.61
Return On Account Size Required187.5114.73172.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57951.857.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)158625.81158.63
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)900989.5390.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)900.99
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)52978.5352.98
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.880.151.73
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)262670262.67
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)263677.6133.25
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)263.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss929.0272.971317.51
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.954.068.64
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.344.653.05
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades379.0207.0172.0
Number Winning Trades174.097.077.0
Number Losing Trades205.0110.095.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.9146.8644.77
Avg P&l1304.560.41187.610.162648.790.72
Avg Winning Trade15919.473.8412187.03.0520621.424.83
Avg Losing Trade11100.32.4910393.672.3911918.52.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4341.1731.73
Largest Winning Trade137178.947982.79137178.9
Largest Winning Trade Percent16.325.3316.32
Largest Losing Trade53220.4153220.4134579.7
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.844.843.98
Avg # Bars In Trades10.07.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.07.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.07.012.0
Sharpe Ratio0.424
Sortino Ratio0.872
Profit Factor1.2171.0341.402
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit494427.16494.4338835.1938.84455591.98455.59
Gross Profit2769988.522769.991182139.261182.141587849.261587.85
Gross Loss2275561.362275.561143304.071143.31132257.291132.26
Expected Payoff1304.56187.612648.79
Commission Paid158493.286428.2872064.93
Buy & Hold Return-28000-28.0
Buy & Hold % Gain-28.0
Strategy Outperformance522427.16
Max Contracts Held866621866621.0839754.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.8610.7270.25
Return On Initial Capital494.4338.84455.59
Account Size Required263677.61
Return On Account Size Required187.5114.73172.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57951.857.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)158625.81158.63
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)900989.5390.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)900.99
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)52978.5352.98
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.880.151.73
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)262670262.67
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)263677.6133.25
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)263.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss929.0272.971317.51
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.954.068.64
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.344.653.05
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades379.0207.0172.0
Number Winning Trades174.097.077.0
Number Losing Trades205.0110.095.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.9146.8644.77
Avg P&l1304.560.41187.610.162648.790.72
Avg Winning Trade15919.473.8412187.03.0520621.424.83
Avg Losing Trade11100.32.4910393.672.3911918.52.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4341.1731.73
Largest Winning Trade137178.947982.79137178.9
Largest Winning Trade Percent16.325.3316.32
Largest Losing Trade53220.4153220.4134579.7
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.844.843.98
Avg # Bars In Trades10.07.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.07.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.07.012.0
Sharpe Ratio0.424
Sortino Ratio0.872
Profit Factor1.2171.0341.402
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are noteworthy for assessment:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 494.43%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 73.86%
Sharpe Ratio 0.42
Profit Factor 1.22
Maximum Drawdown 33.25%
Volatility (Annualized) 69.77%
Win Rate 45.91%

The strategy exhibits strong cumulative returns of 494.43%. The maximum drawdown of 33.25% is within acceptable limits, showcasing proficient management of downside risk compared to the benchmark set at 40%. However, the Sharpe ratio falls slightly below the ideal threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance.

Strategy Viability

Based on the metrics provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially given the competitive annualized return of 73.86%. Although below the ideal threshold, the Sharpe ratio is close enough that modest enhancements could elevate the strategy markedly. It outperforms the Buy & Hold return, highlighting its strength in routine market conditions. It's vital to analyze if these market conditions will sustain the strategy's superior performance.

Risk Management

The strategy successfully keeps the maximum drawdown under 40%, suggesting effective risk management practices. However, given the relatively high volatility, actions could be taken to bolster daily risk controls, such as:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing to modulate exposure as per market volatility.
  • Implementing additional stop-loss strategies to limit potential losses more effectively.
  • Reducing leverage could further mitigate drawdown risks.

Improvement Suggestions

Consider the following recommendations to optimize the strategy’s performance and resilience:

  • Enhance strategy parameters to strive for a higher Sharpe ratio and risk-adjusted returns.
  • Broaden the scope of technical indicators to refine entry and exit decisions.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to confirm robustness across different market environments.
  • Evaluate and fine-tune the risk management framework with techniques like VaR adjustments and stress testing.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy delivers robust performance with notable returns and commendable risk metrics. Despite the Sharpe ratio being slightly below ideal levels, it effectively maintains a maximum drawdown within targeted boundaries. Implementing suggested improvements can enhance its risk-adjusted performance significantly.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy by focusing on optimization and robust testing to improve risk-adjusted returns. Consider incorporating sophisticated risk management techniques to maximize the value of the strategy under varying market volatilities.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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