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fishyink trendhooV5 ethusdt 4h 07.01.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 4 hours @fishyink
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4879456d]

🛡️ TRENDHOOV5 ETHUSDT 4H 07.01.2025

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 month ago
Total Return Primary
393.23%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.87%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.536
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.99%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
359
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 18, 2019
2,627
Days
359
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-02-18 17:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.32
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.99
  • Calmar: -1.68
  • Longest DD Days: 29.00
  • Volatility: 0.26
  • Skew: 0.13
  • Kurtosis: -0.80
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.07
  • Expected Yearly: 0.82
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.60
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-18 17:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 197
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 162
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.68
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.26
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
  • Tail Ratio: 1.29
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.23
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 7.71

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.02%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.91%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+13,260.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3,549.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+26,401.63%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
359
Cumulative
-4.05%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
265,381.04%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.50%
+47.39%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+53.21%
Simple P&L
-3.39%
+328.10%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+758.93%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+371.03%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+343.34%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+256.16%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+499.16%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
+390.83%
Simple P&L
+1.41%
+362.16%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
+607.67%
Simple P&L
2020
+0.59%
+521.48%
Simple P&L
-3.45%
+1,518.46%
Simple P&L
-1.73%
+2,275.35%
Simple P&L
+3.32%
+2,204.05%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+814.45%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
+2,141.66%
Simple P&L
-1.59%
+3,042.99%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+829.04%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+3,054.22%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+1,970.69%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+4,156.52%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+1,609.53%
Simple P&L
2021
-0.03%
+2,363.51%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,186.98%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+1,170.68%
Simple P&L
-0.12%
+1,730.94%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
+3,249.42%
Simple P&L
+1.77%
+1,211.22%
Simple P&L
-3.23%
+1,181.27%
Simple P&L
+3.33%
+1,193.22%
Simple P&L
+1.38%
+3,767.99%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
+1,982.02%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+674.96%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+2,012.74%
Simple P&L
2022
-2.39%
+5,108.08%
Simple P&L
+5.01%
+785.35%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+803.72%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
+2,427.99%
Simple P&L
-1.37%
+5,638.09%
Simple P&L
-1.03%
+4,088.69%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,247.44%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+1,732.65%
Simple P&L
+5.29%
+2,593.01%
Simple P&L
-3.96%
+4,462.74%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+4,520.01%
Simple P&L
+4.37%
+1,793.69%
Simple P&L
2023
-3.48%
+3,680.63%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+4,680.33%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+4,811.54%
Simple P&L
+0.96%
+2,943.93%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+3,840.18%
Simple P&L
-0.76%
+4,743.17%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+1,867.40%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+5,642.02%
Simple P&L
+1.74%
+2,812.17%
Simple P&L
-3.02%
+3,786.78%
Simple P&L
+1.77%
+2,893.59%
Simple P&L
-1.31%
+3,909.94%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.82%
+5,766.03%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
+4,928.36%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+3,114.89%
Simple P&L
+5.00%
+5,075.39%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
+4,066.51%
Simple P&L
-2.44%
+4,147.37%
Simple P&L
-0.96%
+5,171.13%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+7,268.90%
Simple P&L
+3.39%
+2,025.86%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+5,104.86%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
+3,149.80%
Simple P&L
-1.72%
+6,409.20%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.82%
+4,243.12%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+8,387.83%
Simple P&L
+5.22%
+3,136.79%
Simple P&L
-3.11%
+3,198.48%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+4,459.77%
Simple P&L
+3.19%
+5,732.08%
Simple P&L
-1.40%
+3,566.35%
Simple P&L
-2.98%
+4,855.58%
Simple P&L
+0.96%
+4,850.60%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

359

Number of Trades

-4.05%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2025-01-07

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

3549.22%

60 Days

13260.73%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1179.69393.23600.87200.29578.82192.94
Gross Profit3380.351126.781599.19533.061781.16593.72
Gross Loss2200.66733.55998.32332.771202.34400.78
Expected Payoff3.293.343.23
Commission Paid86.2344.4841.75
Buy & Hold Return4221.341407.11
Buy & Hold % Gain1407.17
Strategy Outperformance-3041.65
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)24.9716.616.2
Return On Initial Capital393.23200.29192.94
Account Size Required113.22
Return On Account Size Required1041.92530.7511.22
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)67.3622.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)192.0664.02
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1254.8980.71
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)418.3
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.415.47
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.425.315.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)99.3633.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)113.2221.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)37.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4645.342366.082584.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.971.613.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.152.541.86
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades359.0180.0179.0
Number Winning Trades197.0102.095.0
Number Losing Trades162.078.084.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8756.6753.07
Avg P&l3.291.13.341.093.231.11
Avg Winning Trade17.165.7315.685.0918.756.4
Avg Losing Trade13.584.5312.84.1514.314.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2631.2251.31
Largest Winning Trade66.7425.6766.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.697.7222.69
Largest Losing Trade25.425.422.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.147.578.14
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades11.010.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.319
Sortino Ratio0.989
Profit Factor1.5361.6021.481
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1179.69393.23600.87200.29578.82192.94
Gross Profit3380.351126.781599.19533.061781.16593.72
Gross Loss2200.66733.55998.32332.771202.34400.78
Expected Payoff3.293.343.23
Commission Paid86.2344.4841.75
Buy & Hold Return4221.341407.11
Buy & Hold % Gain1407.17
Strategy Outperformance-3041.65
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)24.9716.616.2
Return On Initial Capital393.23200.29192.94
Account Size Required113.22
Return On Account Size Required1041.92530.7511.22
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)67.3622.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)192.0664.02
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1254.8980.71
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)418.3
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.415.47
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.425.315.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)99.3633.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)113.2221.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)37.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4645.342366.082584.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.971.613.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.152.541.86
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades359.0180.0179.0
Number Winning Trades197.0102.095.0
Number Losing Trades162.078.084.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8756.6753.07
Avg P&l3.291.13.341.093.231.11
Avg Winning Trade17.165.7315.685.0918.756.4
Avg Losing Trade13.584.5312.84.1514.314.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2631.2251.31
Largest Winning Trade66.7425.6766.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.697.7222.69
Largest Losing Trade25.425.422.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.147.578.14
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades11.010.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.319
Sortino Ratio0.989
Profit Factor1.5361.6021.481
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 393.23%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 24.97%
Sharpe Ratio 0.319
Profit Factor 1.536
Maximum Drawdown 33.12%
Volatility (Annualized) 26%

The strategy yields a cumulative return of 393.23% with an annualized return of 24.97%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.319 is below the desired threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, the maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits at 33.12%, which is below the 40% threshold. The profit factor of 1.536 suggests moderate profitability, indicating that the strategy earns $1.536 for every $1 lost in trading.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential but requires refinement for real-world trading. Although the maximum drawdown is satisfactory, the risk-adjusted returns are not yet optimized. It is crucial to analyze the market conditions under which the strategy performs best and evaluate whether these are likely to persist, particularly given that the strategy's outperformance to the benchmark is negative.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach ensures a controlled drawdown level, which is commendable. However, the Sharpe ratio suggests room for enhancement in risk management. To fortify the strategy's risk control, the following adjustments could be considered:

  • Incorporating volatility-adjusted position sizing to enhance earnings consistency.
  • Implementing more sophisticated stop-loss techniques to further reduce potential losses.
  • Exploring asset diversification to smooth returns and manage unsystematic risk more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To further refine the strategy and potentially enhance performance, consider these recommendations:

  • Recalibrate the strategy parameters to achieve better alignment between risk and return.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to optimize trading signals for entry and exit.
  • Conduct rigorous out-of-sample testing to ensure robustness across varied market conditions.
  • Alter leverage usage to decrease max drawdown and increase Sharpe ratio.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates good return potential but lacks in optimal risk-adjusted performance, as indicated by the Sharpe ratio. Despite its robust control over drawdown, enhancements in risk management and strategy optimization are necessary to fully harness its potential.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategy optimization and further testing. Implement the suggested improvements to balance risk and return better and ensure resilience across different market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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