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fishyink trendhooV5 ethusdt 4h 07.01.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 4 hours @fishyink
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4879456d]

🛡️ TRENDHOOV5 ETHUSDT 4H 07.01.2025

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +2371.78% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
393.23%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.87%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.536
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.99%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
359
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 18, 2019
2,586
Days
359
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-02-18 17:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.32
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.99
  • Calmar: -1.68
  • Longest DD Days: 29.00
  • Volatility: 0.26
  • Skew: 0.13
  • Kurtosis: -0.80
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.07
  • Expected Yearly: 0.82
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.60
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-18 17:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 197
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 162
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.68
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.26
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
  • Tail Ratio: 1.29
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.23
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 7.71

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.93%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.72%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.22%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.86%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+2,371.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+8,353.89%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+19,197.85%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+16,832.11%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+32,454.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
359
Cumulative
-4.05%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
265,381.04%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.50%
+47.39%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+53.21%
Simple P&L
-3.39%
+328.10%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+758.93%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+371.03%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+343.34%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+256.16%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+499.16%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
+390.83%
Simple P&L
+1.41%
+362.16%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
+607.67%
Simple P&L
2020
+0.59%
+521.48%
Simple P&L
-3.45%
+1,518.46%
Simple P&L
-1.73%
+2,275.35%
Simple P&L
+3.32%
+2,204.05%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+814.45%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
+2,141.66%
Simple P&L
-1.59%
+3,042.99%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+829.04%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+3,054.22%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+1,970.69%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+4,156.52%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+1,609.53%
Simple P&L
2021
-0.03%
+2,363.51%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,186.98%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+1,170.68%
Simple P&L
-0.12%
+1,730.94%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
+3,249.42%
Simple P&L
+1.77%
+1,211.22%
Simple P&L
-3.23%
+1,181.27%
Simple P&L
+3.33%
+1,193.22%
Simple P&L
+1.38%
+3,767.99%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
+1,982.02%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+674.96%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+2,012.74%
Simple P&L
2022
-2.39%
+5,108.08%
Simple P&L
+5.01%
+785.35%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+803.72%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
+2,427.99%
Simple P&L
-1.37%
+5,638.09%
Simple P&L
-1.03%
+4,088.69%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,247.44%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+1,732.65%
Simple P&L
+5.29%
+2,593.01%
Simple P&L
-3.96%
+4,462.74%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+4,520.01%
Simple P&L
+4.37%
+1,793.69%
Simple P&L
2023
-3.48%
+3,680.63%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+4,680.33%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+4,811.54%
Simple P&L
+0.96%
+2,943.93%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+3,840.18%
Simple P&L
-0.76%
+4,743.17%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+1,867.40%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+5,642.02%
Simple P&L
+1.74%
+2,812.17%
Simple P&L
-3.02%
+3,786.78%
Simple P&L
+1.77%
+2,893.59%
Simple P&L
-1.31%
+3,909.94%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.82%
+5,766.03%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
+4,928.36%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+3,114.89%
Simple P&L
+5.00%
+5,075.39%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
+4,066.51%
Simple P&L
-2.44%
+4,147.37%
Simple P&L
-0.96%
+5,171.13%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+7,268.90%
Simple P&L
+3.39%
+2,025.86%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+5,104.86%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
+3,149.80%
Simple P&L
-1.72%
+6,409.20%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.82%
+4,243.12%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+8,387.83%
Simple P&L
+5.22%
+3,136.79%
Simple P&L
-3.11%
+3,198.48%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+4,459.77%
Simple P&L
+3.19%
+5,732.08%
Simple P&L
-1.40%
+3,566.35%
Simple P&L
-2.98%
+4,855.58%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

359

Number of Trades

-4.05%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2025-01-07

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

8353.89%

30 Days

16832.11%

60 Days

19197.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1179.69393.23600.87200.29578.82192.94
Gross Profit3380.351126.781599.19533.061781.16593.72
Gross Loss2200.66733.55998.32332.771202.34400.78
Expected Payoff3.293.343.23
Commission Paid86.2344.4841.75
Buy & Hold Return4384.991461.66
Buy & Hold % Gain1461.72
Strategy Outperformance-3205.3
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)25.016.6216.22
Return On Initial Capital393.23200.29192.94
Account Size Required113.22
Return On Account Size Required1041.92530.7511.22
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)67.3622.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)192.0664.02
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1254.8980.71
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)418.3
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.415.47
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.425.315.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)99.3633.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)113.2221.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)37.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4645.342366.082584.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.971.613.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.152.541.86
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades359.0180.0179.0
Number Winning Trades197.0102.095.0
Number Losing Trades162.078.084.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8756.6753.07
Avg P&l3.291.13.341.093.231.11
Avg Winning Trade17.165.7315.685.0918.756.4
Avg Losing Trade13.584.5312.84.1514.314.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2631.2251.31
Largest Winning Trade66.7425.6766.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.697.7222.69
Largest Losing Trade25.425.422.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.147.578.14
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades11.010.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.319
Sortino Ratio0.989
Profit Factor1.5361.6021.481
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1179.69393.23600.87200.29578.82192.94
Gross Profit3380.351126.781599.19533.061781.16593.72
Gross Loss2200.66733.55998.32332.771202.34400.78
Expected Payoff3.293.343.23
Commission Paid86.2344.4841.75
Buy & Hold Return4384.991461.66
Buy & Hold % Gain1461.72
Strategy Outperformance-3205.3
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)25.016.6216.22
Return On Initial Capital393.23200.29192.94
Account Size Required113.22
Return On Account Size Required1041.92530.7511.22
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)67.3622.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)192.0664.02
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1254.8980.71
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)418.3
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.415.47
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.425.315.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)99.3633.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)113.2221.93
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)37.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4645.342366.082584.18
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.971.613.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.152.541.86
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades359.0180.0179.0
Number Winning Trades197.0102.095.0
Number Losing Trades162.078.084.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8756.6753.07
Avg P&l3.291.13.341.093.231.11
Avg Winning Trade17.165.7315.685.0918.756.4
Avg Losing Trade13.584.5312.84.1514.314.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2631.2251.31
Largest Winning Trade66.7425.6766.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.697.7222.69
Largest Losing Trade25.425.422.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.147.578.14
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades11.010.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.319
Sortino Ratio0.989
Profit Factor1.5361.6021.481
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 393.23%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 25.01%
Sharpe Ratio 0.319
Profit Factor 1.536
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 21.93%
Volatility 26%
Percent Profitable 54.87%

The strategy generates respectable returns with an overall Net Profit of 393.23% and an annualized return of 25.01%. Despite a Sharpe Ratio of 0.319, which is below the ideal level in the crypto sector, the strategy maintains a profit factor above 1.5, indicating that gains outweigh losses. Maximum drawdown is contained at 21.93%, demonstrating good downside protection relative to typical thresholds in volatile markets.

Strategy Viability

Based on the metrics, this strategy appears viable, though there's room for improvement. The positive performance and ability to maintain a maximum drawdown below 40% suggests this strategy withstands market volatility effectively. However, the risk-adjusted performance metrics, such as the Sharpe Ratio, could benefit from enhancements. It would be prudent to explore further improvements, especially if current market conditions change unpredictably.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates adequate risk management as indicated by the maximum drawdown and Gain/Pain ratio of 1.55. Its relatively low volatility implies a measure of stability. Nonetheless, the strategy might improve on daily risk management by considering the following areas:

  • Further leverage adjustments, which could reduce drawdown percentages even more.
  • Continuing to explore more granular volatility management methods such as adaptive position sizing.
  • Robust stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance performance and risk-adjusted returns, consider the following actionable recommendations:

  • Refine strategy parameters and actively monitor for market condition changes to keep the Sharpe Ratio aligned with expected standards.
  • Implement additional indicators to refine trade entries and exits, potentially boosting win rates.
  • Engage in comprehensive scenario testing to ensure the strategy remains resilient across different market fluctuations.
  • Incorporate advanced analytical tools such as stress testing to gauge potential scenario risks.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has demonstrated its ability to secure substantial gains with manageable risk levels, evidenced by the commendable maximum drawdown metrics. Despite a Sharpe Ratio that presents room for optimization, the overall performance is promising. Enhancements around risk management and further parameter optimization could elevate its risk-adjusted returns significantly.

Recommendation: Proceed with the current strategy, while focusing on testing and implementing suggested improvements. Such iterative optimizations could improve robustness and adaptability, better positioning the strategy to handle a range of market conditions effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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