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Traders should know
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the deadline XRP 15m

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @hawkenase
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [41bacf56]

🛡️ THE DEADLINE XRP 15M

Trading Pair
XRP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 27, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-9.86% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
-9.02%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.46%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.776
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.01%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
82
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 7, 2025
239
Days
82
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 21, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-07 10:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.59
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.54
  • Calmar: 1.23
  • Longest DD Days: 82.00
  • Volatility: 0.82
  • Skew: 0.33
  • Kurtosis: -1.63
  • Expected Daily: -0.01
  • Expected Monthly: -0.12
  • Expected Yearly: -1.43
  • Kelly Criterion: -11.13
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.07
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-21 23:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 34
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 48
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 1.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.79
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.11
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.79
  • Tail Ratio: 1.12
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: -0.82

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.03%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.10%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2.28%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.09%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-6.08%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
41.5%
Total Trades
82
Cumulative
-1.01%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-29.62%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.91%
-13.31%
Simple P&L
+1.13%
-7.90%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

82

Number of Trades

-1.01%

Cumulative Returns

41.46%

Win Rate

2024-02-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.09%

30 Days

6.93%

60 Days

1.22%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital5700
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-514.31-9.02-452.69-7.94-61.61-1.08
Gross Profit1784.8531.31754.6113.241030.2418.07
Gross Loss2299.1540.341207.321.181091.8519.16
Expected Payoff-6.27-11.32-1.47
Commission Paid138.8168.8170.01
Buy & Hold Return-3030.19-53.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.16
Strategy Outperformance2515.88
Max Contracts Held11211109.01121.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-13.74-12.14-1.68
Return On Initial Capital-9.02-7.94-1.08
Account Size Required691.37
Return On Account Size Required-74.39-65.48-8.91
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)160.192.81
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)160.192.81
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)315.15.56
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)220 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)641.9211.26
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.74-0.65-0.09
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)641.9211.26
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)691.3712.13
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)12.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-776.17-686.03-92.98
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.779.868.26
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.885.476.07
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades82.040.042.0
Number Winning Trades34.015.019.0
Number Losing Trades48.025.023.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.4637.545.24
Avg P&l-6.27-0.36-11.32-0.77-1.470.03
Avg Winning Trade52.53.7850.313.4654.224.03
Avg Losing Trade47.93.2948.293.347.473.28
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0961.0421.142
Largest Winning Trade85.0874.4385.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.554.825.55
Largest Losing Trade66.2665.9966.26
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.314.34.31
Avg # Bars In Trades109.089.0129.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades105.068.0135.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades112.0102.0123.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.589
Sortino Ratio-0.539
Profit Factor0.7760.6250.944
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital5700
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-514.31-9.02-452.69-7.94-61.61-1.08
Gross Profit1784.8531.31754.6113.241030.2418.07
Gross Loss2299.1540.341207.321.181091.8519.16
Expected Payoff-6.27-11.32-1.47
Commission Paid138.8168.8170.01
Buy & Hold Return-3030.19-53.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.16
Strategy Outperformance2515.88
Max Contracts Held11211109.01121.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-13.74-12.14-1.68
Return On Initial Capital-9.02-7.94-1.08
Account Size Required691.37
Return On Account Size Required-74.39-65.48-8.91
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)160.192.81
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)160.192.81
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)315.15.56
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)220 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)641.9211.26
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.74-0.65-0.09
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)641.9211.26
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)691.3712.13
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)12.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-776.17-686.03-92.98
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.779.868.26
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.885.476.07
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades82.040.042.0
Number Winning Trades34.015.019.0
Number Losing Trades48.025.023.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.4637.545.24
Avg P&l-6.27-0.36-11.32-0.77-1.470.03
Avg Winning Trade52.53.7850.313.4654.224.03
Avg Losing Trade47.93.2948.293.347.473.28
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0961.0421.142
Largest Winning Trade85.0874.4385.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.554.825.55
Largest Losing Trade66.2665.9966.26
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.314.34.31
Avg # Bars In Trades109.089.0129.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades105.068.0135.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades112.0102.0123.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.589
Sortino Ratio-0.539
Profit Factor0.7760.6250.944
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, a detailed analysis has identified some key performance metrics:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return -9.02%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -13.74%
Sharpe Ratio -0.589
Profit Factor 0.776
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar) 12.13%
Volatility (Annualized) 82%

The strategy currently demonstrates a negative cumulative return of -9.02% and an annualized return of -13.74%. Notably, the Sharpe ratio sits below the benchmark at -0.589, indicating the returns are not favorable in relation to its risk. Despite this, the maximum drawdown remains at 12.13%, which is manageable within acceptable risk levels for crypto strategies.

Strategy Viability

Based on the analytics provided, the strategy appears to be struggling with negative outperformance. With a profit factor of 0.776 and a negative annualized return, sustaining long-term gains will be challenging. However, the manageable maximum drawdown presents potential. To boost strategy viability, focusing on parameter optimization could assist in adjusting to favorable market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy’s volatility of 82% demands further risk management enhancement. Although there are no margin calls, indicating optimal capital usage, incorporating improvements in risk management could aid in stabilizing returns. Recommendations include:

  • Lowering leverage to minimize downside risk and drawing down potential.
  • Refining stop-loss mechanisms to limit large trade losses.
  • Adopting volatility-based position sizing to enhance risk-adjusted returns.

Improvement Suggestions

To amplify strategy performance and ensure robustness, consider these enhancements:

  • Optimize parameters to target higher returns while maintaining low drawdowns.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Execute comprehensive out-of-sample and forward tests to ascertain strategy durability across various market conditions.
  • Consider modifying the strategy's underlying algorithm to incorporate machine learning techniques for predictive analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates controlled drawdown and manageable volatility, overall returns and risk-adjusted metrics suggest areas for improvement. Optimizing the strategy’s parameters and enhancing its risk management approach could lead to enhanced performance. There is a promising blueprint for potential success with adaptations.

Recommendation: Pursue further testing and refinement of the strategy with a focus on leveraging risk management tools and optimizing strategy parameters. Implement recommended enhancements to bolster strategy robustness in varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

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📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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