THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [41bacf56]
🛡️ THE DEADLINE XRP 15M
@hawkenase
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-06-07 20:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.58
- Sortino Ratio: 1.87
- Calmar: -3.11
- Longest DD Days: 31.00
- Volatility: 0.76
- Skew: -0.04
- Kurtosis: -1.51
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.21
- Expected Yearly: 2.59
- Kelly Criterion: 21.43
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.06
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.06
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-13 21:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 165
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 134
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.11
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.63
- Payoff Ratio: 1.30
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.63
- Tail Ratio: 1.25
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 12.94
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 54.39% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.58 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.873 |
Profit Factor | 1.593 |
Maximum Drawdown | 3.49% |
Volatility | 76% |
Percent Profitable | 55.18% |
Annualized Return (CAGR) | 0.85% |
The strategy demonstrates a reasonable net profit of 54.39% and maintains an acceptable Sharpe Ratio of 0.58, indicating good risk-adjusted returns given the crypto market's volatility. The maximum drawdown of 3.49% is exceptionally low, suggesting robust downside risk management. A profit factor of 1.593 is satisfactory, reflecting more gains than losses per unit of risk.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading. It is capable of generating returns with an efficient risk management element, signified by the low drawdown in comparison to the volatility. While the annualized return (CAGR) is relatively modest, the stability offered is a positive aspect. It's important to monitor whether the market conditions under which the strategy has been successful continue to persist.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management appears effective as evidenced by the low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, given the high volatility, there are several areas where risk management can be enhanced:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease volatility impact.
- Implement additional stop-loss strategies to protect against unexpected market moves.
- Incorporate more dynamic position sizing that adapts to market conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, the following recommendations are suggested:
- Explore optimizing parameters for better capital growth while maintaining low drawdowns.
- Incorporate alternative technical indicators or models to refine entry and exit points.
- Conduct extensive out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure robustness in diverse market conditions.
- Enhance the risk management framework by integrating advanced methods, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis or scenario testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy presents solid profitability with a commendable Sharpe Ratio and outstanding drawdown management. Given the inherent high volatility of the crypto market, these results are quite promising. However, there remains space for optimization and enhancement, specifically concerning the strategy’s risk and return metrics.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and strategic optimization. Implement suggested improvements to bolster the strategy’s effectiveness and ensure it can handle varying market volatility successfully.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -0.08% | -0.52% | 0.52% | 0.18% | 0.61% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 1.43% | -1.25% | 0.69% | 1.30% | 2.19% | 0.27% | -1.11% | 2.35% | 1.45% | 2.49% | 0.32% | 0.17% |
2022 | 0.55% | 2.77% | 0.06% | 4.68% | 2.80% | -0.08% | 2.58% | 1.33% | 1.08% | 2.31% | 2.72% | 4.38% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.93% | 0.94% | 0.79% | 0.12% | -0.79% | 1.87% | 0.94% |
Live Trades Stats
XRP
Base Currency
67
Number of Trades
2.73%
Cumulative Returns
47.76%
Win Rate
2024-02-27
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.39%
30 Days
-0.31%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,916.31 USD | 51.16 | 773.32 USD | 13.57 | 2,142.98 USD | 37.60 |
Gross Profit | 6,687.43 | 117.32 | 2,200.12 | 38.60 | 4,487.30 | 78.72 |
Gross Loss | 3,771.12 | 66.16 | 1,426.80 | 25.03 | 2,344.32 | 41.13 |
Max Run-up | 3,167.83 | 35.81 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 268.75 | 3.04 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −2,140.37 | −37.55 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.732 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.554 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.773 | 1.542 | 1.914 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 4,814 | 4,686 | 4,814 | |||
Open PL | 21.73 | 0.25 | ||||
Commission Paid | 257.68 | 93.99 | 163.69 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 233 | 86 | 147 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 134 | 47 | 87 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 99 | 39 | 60 | |||
Percent Profitable | 57.51 | 54.65 | 59.18 | |||
Avg Trade | 12.52 | 0.83 | 8.99 | 0.61 | 14.58 | 0.96 |
Avg Winning Trade | 49.91 | 3.53 | 46.81 | 3.38 | 51.58 | 3.61 |
Avg Losing Trade | 38.09 | 2.82 | 36.58 | 2.72 | 39.07 | 2.88 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.32 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89.03 | 6.95 | 82.99 | 5.36 | 89.03 | 6.95 |
Largest Losing Trade | 65.89 | 4.28 | 65.33 | 4.25 | 65.89 | 4.28 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 120 | 93 | 135 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 129 | 96 | 147 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 107 | 90 | 118 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 3,100.40 USD | 54.39 | 816.73 USD | 14.33 | 2,283.67 USD | 40.06 |
Gross Profit | 8,327.84 | 146.10 | 2,926.89 | 51.35 | 5,400.95 | 94.75 |
Gross Loss | 5,227.44 | 91.71 | 2,110.15 | 37.02 | 3,117.28 | 54.69 |
Max Run-up | 3,336.26 | 37.01 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 314.42 | 3.49 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 14,155.40 | 248.34 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.58 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.873 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.593 | 1.387 | 1.733 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 4,814 | 4,686 | 4,814 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 331.69 | 127.12 | 204.57 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 299 | 116 | 183 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 165 | 61 | 104 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 134 | 55 | 79 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.18 | 52.59 | 56.83 | |||
Avg Trade | 10.37 | 0.70 | 7.04 | 0.50 | 12.48 | 0.83 |
Avg Winning Trade | 50.47 | 3.57 | 47.98 | 3.46 | 51.93 | 3.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 39.01 | 2.83 | 38.37 | 2.79 | 39.46 | 2.87 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.294 | 1.251 | 1.316 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89.03 | 6.95 | 82.99 | 5.36 | 89.03 | 6.95 |
Largest Losing Trade | 65.89 | 4.28 | 65.65 | 4.27 | 65.89 | 4.28 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 123 | 97 | 139 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 134 | 103 | 152 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 109 | 90 | 122 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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