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Erki1972 t3nexusstiff solusdt 1h 13.08

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @erki1972
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [dd0215dd]

🛡️ ERKI1972 T3NEXUSSTIFF SOLUSDT 1H 13.08

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - September 6, 2024
0
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  • icon 1
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  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
488.52%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
49.62%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.167
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
2.76%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
786
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 6, 2023
1,182
Days
786
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-06 16:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.78
  • Calmar: -1.89
  • Longest DD Days: 97.00
  • Volatility: 41.88
  • Skew: 0.20
  • Kurtosis: -0.85
  • Expected Daily: 0.26
  • Expected Monthly: 5.64
  • Expected Yearly: 93.10
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.94
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.81
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.16
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 14:21:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 390
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 396
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.89
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.16
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.18
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.16
  • Tail Ratio: 1.24
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.28
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.13
  • Serenity Index: 22.07

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.08%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.37%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.11%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.90%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+9.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+28.29%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+31.89%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-2.55%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
49.7%
Total Trades
787
Cumulative
-0.09%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
198.94%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-3.73%
+0.27%
Simple P&L
+1.27%
+10.71%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+11.06%
Simple P&L
+1.43%
-6.59%
Simple P&L
-1.51%
+4.06%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+18.20%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+19.04%
Simple P&L
+2.27%
+18.60%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+8.53%
Simple P&L
+1.13%
+33.89%
Simple P&L
-1.54%
+9.50%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
+5.74%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.42%
+19.97%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
-12.57%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
-6.10%
Simple P&L
+1.60%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
-1.64%
-7.32%
Simple P&L
+1.13%
+22.07%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+18.98%
Simple P&L
-2.41%
-2.36%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
-18.34%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+24.31%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
+7.55%
Simple P&L
-1.65%
-5.14%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.95%
+20.24%
Simple P&L
+1.39%
+7.99%
Simple P&L
-2.69%
-7.59%
Simple P&L
+2.16%
-15.92%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+14.15%
Simple P&L
-0.73%
-10.25%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
-19.06%
Simple P&L
-0.92%
+8.50%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+15.10%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

787

Number of Trades

-0.09%

Cumulative Returns

49.68%

Win Rate

2024-08-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

9.13%

30 Days

31.89%

60 Days

28.29%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l4474.830.76
Net Profit488521.88488.5247942.1247.94440579.76440.58
Gross Profit3407773.523407.771636897.191636.91770876.331770.88
Gross Loss2919251.642919.251588955.071588.961330296.571330.3
Expected Payoff621.53121.991121.07
Commission Paid166837.0689465.8377371.23
Buy & Hold Return569591.97569.59
Buy & Hold % Gain569.59
Strategy Outperformance-81070.09
Max Contracts Held1234412344.011756.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.2812.9268.77
Return On Initial Capital488.5247.94440.58
Account Size Required298579.55
Return On Account Size Required163.6216.06147.56
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)41153.1341.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)190081.87190.08
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)661468.5387.33
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)661.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)40331.5240.33
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.650.181.49
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)292744.36292.74
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)298579.5539.97
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)298.58
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1614.0158.391480.86
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.081.942.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.041.92.24
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades786.0393.0393.0
Number Winning Trades390.0187.0203.0
Number Losing Trades396.0206.0190.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable49.6247.5851.65
Avg P&l621.530.25121.990.091121.070.41
Avg Winning Trade8737.883.338753.463.148723.533.5
Avg Losing Trade7371.852.787713.372.687001.562.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1851.1351.246
Largest Winning Trade36859.4131691.136859.41
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.717.716.19
Largest Losing Trade30267.7330267.7329751.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.083.894.08
Avg # Bars In Trades17.015.018.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.015.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.417
Sortino Ratio0.778
Profit Factor1.1671.031.331
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l4140.890.7
Net Profit488521.88488.5247942.1247.94440579.76440.58
Gross Profit3407773.523407.771636897.191636.91770876.331770.88
Gross Loss2919251.642919.251588955.071588.961330296.571330.3
Expected Payoff621.53121.991121.07
Commission Paid166837.0689465.8377371.23
Buy & Hold Return569976.88569.98
Buy & Hold % Gain569.98
Strategy Outperformance-81455
Max Contracts Held1234412344.011756.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.2812.9268.77
Return On Initial Capital488.5247.94440.58
Account Size Required298579.55
Return On Account Size Required163.6216.06147.56
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)41153.1341.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)190081.87190.08
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)661468.5387.33
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)661.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)40331.5240.33
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.650.171.49
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)292744.36292.74
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)298579.5539.97
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)298.58
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1614.0158.391480.86
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.081.942.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.041.92.24
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades786.0393.0393.0
Number Winning Trades390.0187.0203.0
Number Losing Trades396.0206.0190.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable49.6247.5851.65
Avg P&l621.530.25121.990.091121.070.41
Avg Winning Trade8737.883.338753.463.148723.533.5
Avg Losing Trade7371.852.787713.372.687001.562.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1851.1351.246
Largest Winning Trade36859.4131691.136859.41
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.717.716.19
Largest Losing Trade30267.7330267.7329751.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.083.894.08
Avg # Bars In Trades17.015.018.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.015.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.416
Sortino Ratio0.778
Profit Factor1.1671.031.331
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the strategy's performance metrics present a mixed picture:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 488.52%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 73.28%
Sharpe Ratio 0.416
Profit Factor 1.167
Maximum Drawdown 292.74%
Volatility (Annualized) 41.88%

The strategy achieves a significant cumulative return of 488.52% with an annualized return of 73.28%, which is commendable. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.416 falls short of the desired threshold of 0.5 for good risk-adjusted returns in the crypto domain. Meanwhile, the maximum drawdown of 292.74% is a significant concern, as it far exceeds the acceptable limit of 40%.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the viability of the strategy for real-world application is questionable, primarily due to the extremely high drawdown. The risk of substantial capital loss during unfavorable market movements overshadows the potential returns. Although the strategy does outperform Buy & Hold return at 569.98%, the lack of consistent winning trades (49.62% win rate) coupled with high drawdown presents challenges.

Risk Management

The current risk management framework appears inadequate in mitigating large drawdowns. To improve risk management, consider:

  • Limiting leverage usage to reduce drawdown significantly.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss rules for better loss containment.
  • Exploring hedging strategies to protect against adverse market movements.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and reliability, consider the following improvements:

  • Optimize leverage settings to ensure manageable risk exposure.
  • Analyze and refine entry and exit signals, possibly incorporating additional indicators to maximize profitability.
  • Conduct further testing including out-of-sample and stress testing to gauge performance under varying market scenarios.
  • Enhance the strategy's resilience with advanced risk management techniques such as dynamic position sizing and Value-at-Risk calculations.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy yields high returns, the exceedingly high drawdown and moderate Sharpe ratio indicate substantial risk and moderate efficiency of capital utilization. The stark imbalance between potential returns and risk necessitates a cautious approach.

Recommendation: Implement significant changes to the risk management framework while optimizing strategy parameters. Further testing is crucial to refine and ensure the strategy's robustness before considering real-world deployment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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