Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [473348dc]
🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND BTCUSDT 1H 04.06
@davidec29
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2018-11-18 19:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.60
- Sortino Ratio: 2.15
- Calmar: -0.61
- Longest DD Days: 45.00
- Volatility: 8.27
- Skew: -0.25
- Kurtosis: 3.89
- Expected Daily: 0.06
- Expected Monthly: 1.28
- Expected Yearly: 16.49
- Kelly Criterion: 20.40
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.77
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.28
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-05 20:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 15
- Number Winning Trades 336
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 216
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.50
- Payoff Ratio: 0.96
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.50
- Tail Ratio: 1.22
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.58
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.55
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 3.08
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $29,918.28 |
Gross Profit | $114,498 |
Gross Loss | $84,579.72 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.597 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.096 |
Profit Factor | 1.354 |
Maximum Drawdown | 31.12% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 7.88% |
Percent Profitable | 60.48% |
The strategy exhibits a respectable Sharpe ratio of 0.597, indicating a positive risk-adjusted return, just above the acceptable threshold. With a maximum drawdown of 31.12%, it stays clearly under the 40% mark, highlighting manageable risks, especially in the crypto markets. The profit factor of 1.354 suggests every $1 loss is offset by $1.354 in gains. Moreover, a win rate of 60.48% indicates a solid performance over a substantial number of trades.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, particularly in the current market environment. It shows the capacity to capitalize on favorable conditions with good consistency. The strategy's Sharpe ratio, profitability, and manageable drawdowns suggest it is well-suited to handle market volatility. The somewhat higher expected yearly return of 13.39% hints at robust potential.
Risk Management
The strategy utilizes decent risk management protocols, as evidenced by its satisfactory Sharpe and Sortino ratios and controlled drawdown levels. However, improvements can be made to refine its approach further:
- Consider implementing dynamic leverage adjustments to reduce drawdowns and manage exposure during volatile periods.
- Enhance position sizing techniques to align with the market's risk profile.
- Integrate enhanced stop-loss protection tailored to market behaviors.
Improvement Suggestions
To further bolster the strategy's performance, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize trading parameters, evaluating the effectiveness of different time frames or indicators.
- Incorporate additional or alternative technical indicators that could sharpen entry and exit timing.
- Conduct extensive forward-testing and simulation under varied conditions to confirm potential benefits.
- Enhance volatility management tactics to effectively adapt to rapid market shifts.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows promising performance metrics with solid profitability and acceptable risk-adjusted returns. While the volatility is commendably low for crypto, ongoing refinement is recommended. Focus should be on optimizing strategies and more sophisticated risk management to enhance returns while keeping drawdowns minimal.
Recommendation: Continue developing and testing the strategy. Implement suggested improvements and monitor results closely, particularly focusing on optimizing leverage and position sizing to minimize drawdowns while maintaining or increasing returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -2.07% | 39.07% | -3.53% | 4.12% | 2.23% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 28.94% | 17.19% | 18.23% | -1.77% | -3.27% | 17.10% | -13.94% | 4.91% | -11.41% | 38.40% | -8.98% | 10.75% |
2022 | 16.14% | 39.46% | 1.05% | 2.80% | 10.23% | 22.86% | 11.64% | -1.00% | 6.77% | -6.43% | -2.92% | 4.83% |
2021 | 9.79% | 8.93% | -7.48% | 9.36% | 11.58% | 19.22% | 20.81% | 18.85% | 13.74% | 3.94% | 5.06% | 13.98% |
2020 | 10.77% | 10.02% | 10.95% | 8.04% | -10.87% | -7.84% | 5.16% | 8.28% | 7.98% | 6.58% | -15.37% | 26.11% |
2019 | -8.90% | 6.08% | 4.31% | 38.80% | 41.70% | 8.48% | 16.41% | 16.67% | -1.02% | 44.76% | 1.47% | 13.74% |
2018 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.01% | 31.24% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
52
Number of Trades
15.38%
Cumulative Returns
55.77%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
10.33%
30 Days
19.14%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 34,336.97 USD | 34,336.97 | 29,989.68 USD | 29,989.68 | 4,347.29 USD | 4,347.29 |
Gross Profit | 94,749.83 | 94,749.83 | 74,376.89 | 74,376.89 | 20,372.94 | 20,372.94 |
Gross Loss | 60,412.86 | 60,412.86 | 44,387.21 | 44,387.21 | 16,025.65 | 16,025.65 |
Max Run-up | 40,250.79 | 99.75 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 9,663.86 | 30.32 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,147.06 | 1,147.06 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.654 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.455 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.568 | 1.676 | 1.271 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 5,763.28 | 4,629.93 | 1,133.35 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 500 | 295 | 205 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 307 | 198 | 109 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 193 | 97 | 96 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.40 | 67.12 | 53.17 | |||
Avg Trade | 68.67 | 0.71 | 101.66 | 0.80 | 21.21 | 0.58 |
Avg Winning Trade | 308.63 | 2.71 | 375.64 | 2.34 | 186.91 | 3.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 313.02 | 2.47 | 457.60 | 2.33 | 166.93 | 2.60 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.986 | 0.821 | 1.12 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2,788.88 | 11.97 | 2,788.88 | 11.97 | 1,966.04 | 10.74 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,431.07 | 7.87 | 3,431.07 | 5.67 | 1,771.39 | 7.87 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 18 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 20 | 18 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 22 | 18 | 26 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 38,569.44 USD | 38,569.44 | 29,965.64 USD | 29,965.64 | 8,603.80 USD | 8,603.80 |
Gross Profit | 128,034.19 | 128,034.19 | 93,514.34 | 93,514.34 | 34,519.84 | 34,519.84 |
Gross Loss | 89,464.75 | 89,464.75 | 63,548.70 | 63,548.70 | 25,916.05 | 25,916.05 |
Max Run-up | 42,042.53 | 99.76 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 13,059.75 | 31.12 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,669.87 | 1,669.87 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.602 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.15 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.431 | 1.472 | 1.332 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 8,002.58 | 6,158.02 | 1,844.56 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 552 | 319 | 233 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 336 | 210 | 126 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 216 | 109 | 107 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.87 | 65.83 | 54.08 | |||
Avg Trade | 69.87 | 0.67 | 93.94 | 0.75 | 36.93 | 0.57 |
Avg Winning Trade | 381.05 | 2.68 | 445.31 | 2.32 | 273.97 | 3.28 |
Avg Losing Trade | 414.19 | 2.46 | 583.02 | 2.29 | 242.21 | 2.63 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.92 | 0.764 | 1.131 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2,788.88 | 11.97 | 2,788.88 | 11.97 | 1,979.89 | 10.74 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,431.07 | 7.87 | 3,431.07 | 5.67 | 2,498.54 | 7.87 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 18 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 20 | 18 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 17 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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