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davidec29 explosivetrend btcusdt 1h 04.06

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @davidec29
● Live

Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [473348dc]

🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND BTCUSDT 1H 04.06

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 months ago
Total Return Primary
94.02%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.69%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.073
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.73%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
325
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 4, 2023
1,282
Days
325
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-04 19:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.17
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.40
  • Calmar: -0.12
  • Longest DD Days: 157.00
  • Volatility: 0.16
  • Skew: -0.25
  • Kurtosis: 0.06
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.07
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.53
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 13:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 168
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 157
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.12
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.07
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.00
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.07
  • Tail Ratio: 1.02
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.71
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.06
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.07

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.47%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1,876.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
325
Cumulative
-1.20%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
47,998.86%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.03%
+201.03%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
+275.25%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+758.39%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
+579.74%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+654.06%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+816.88%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+556.76%
Simple P&L
+0.49%
+653.70%
Simple P&L
-0.71%
+404.09%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+859.83%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+945.93%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+1,497.49%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.22%
+1,136.18%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+1,670.80%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+1,480.89%
Simple P&L
+1.34%
+1,472.07%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+2,671.19%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+1,847.12%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+1,916.94%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+2,720.66%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+1,689.77%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+1,643.07%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+1,719.86%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+2,460.38%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.09%
+1,409.57%
Simple P&L
-2.47%
+1,536.66%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+843.14%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+1,371.42%
Simple P&L
+1.36%
+1,840.90%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
+1,450.86%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+969.49%
Simple P&L
-1.45%
+1,368.48%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+1,020.85%
Simple P&L
-1.23%
+1,483.81%
Simple P&L
+1.54%
+949.55%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+955.79%
Simple P&L
2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

325

Number of Trades

-1.2%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit94.0294.0256.156.137.9137.91
Gross Profit1385.261385.26946.49946.49438.77438.77
Gross Loss1291.241291.24890.39890.39400.85400.85
Expected Payoff0.290.320.25
Commission Paid143.68105.6238.06
Buy & Hold Return302.2302.2
Buy & Hold % Gain302.22
Strategy Outperformance-208.18
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.8214.8110.48
Return On Initial Capital94.0256.137.91
Account Size Required242.13
Return On Account Size Required38.8323.1715.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)47.4647.46
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)151.38151.38
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)311.5775.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)311.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)125 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70.0370.03
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.390.230.16
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)236.4236.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)242.1359.04
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)242.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss297.36177.45151.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.852.714.99
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.453.556.23
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades325.0176.0149.0
Number Winning Trades168.097.071.0
Number Losing Trades157.079.078.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.6955.1147.65
Avg P&l0.290.130.320.170.250.07
Avg Winning Trade8.252.149.761.866.182.52
Avg Losing Trade8.222.0311.271.95.142.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0030.8661.202
Largest Winning Trade25.6825.6821.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.834.715.83
Largest Losing Trade31.6231.6224.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.165.467.16
Avg # Bars In Trades18.016.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.016.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.016.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.168
Sortino Ratio0.399
Profit Factor1.0731.0631.095
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit94.0294.0256.156.137.9137.91
Gross Profit1385.261385.26946.49946.49438.77438.77
Gross Loss1291.241291.24890.39890.39400.85400.85
Expected Payoff0.290.320.25
Commission Paid143.68105.6238.06
Buy & Hold Return302.2302.2
Buy & Hold % Gain302.22
Strategy Outperformance-208.18
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.8214.8110.48
Return On Initial Capital94.0256.137.91
Account Size Required242.13
Return On Account Size Required38.8323.1715.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)47.4647.46
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)151.38151.38
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)311.5775.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)311.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)125 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70.0370.03
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.390.230.16
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)236.4236.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)242.1359.04
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)242.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss297.36177.45151.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.852.714.99
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.453.556.23
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades325.0176.0149.0
Number Winning Trades168.097.071.0
Number Losing Trades157.079.078.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.6955.1147.65
Avg P&l0.290.130.320.170.250.07
Avg Winning Trade8.252.149.761.866.182.52
Avg Losing Trade8.222.0311.271.95.142.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0030.8661.202
Largest Winning Trade25.6825.6821.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.834.715.83
Largest Losing Trade31.6231.6224.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.165.467.16
Avg # Bars In Trades18.016.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.016.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.016.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.168
Sortino Ratio0.399
Profit Factor1.0731.0631.095
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 94.02%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 22.82%
Sharpe Ratio 0.168
Profit Factor 1.073
Maximum Drawdown 242.13% (intraday)
Volatility (Annualized) 16%

The strategy shows moderate performance with a cumulative return of 94.02% and an annualized return of 22.82%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.168 suggests that the strategy's risk-adjusted returns are below the desired threshold. The Profit Factor of 1.073 indicates that the strategy barely makes more in gross profit than it loses in gross losses, which is a sign of tight risk-reward mechanics. The intraday maximum drawdown of 242.13% suggests significant potential losses, which is a major concern.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy encounters challenges in sustaining viability for real-world trading under the observed conditions. The maximum drawdown and relatively low Sharpe Ratio are key indicators of high risk without adequate returns. It performs best under low volatility conditions but may not be able to adapt well to higher volatility environments typical in crypto markets.

Risk Management

The strategy's high maximum drawdown indicates a need for better risk management practices. The following insights could help mitigate risk:

  • Reduce leverage to help decrease the maximum drawdown and stabilize returns.
  • Implement stop-loss mechanisms to limit larger losses and protect gains.
  • Consider dynamic position sizing to adapt to market volatility, potentially reducing risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy's parameters to improve the risk-return profile.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators and fundamentals to refine entry and exit criteria.
  • Conduct stress testing to gauge strategy performance across extreme market scenarios.
  • Test with lower leverage to manage downside risk while maintaining steady returns.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy, while providing some positive returns, shows limitations in its risk-adjusted performance and risk management framework. The high drawdown and low Sharpe Ratio are significant concerns that need addressing. While improvements are necessary, the strategy could be molded into a more robust system with the recommended adjustments.

Recommendation: Prioritize enhancing risk management and optimizing strategy parameters before considering real-world deployment. Conduct further testing and adjustments to ensure the strategy can handle diverse market conditions effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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