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davidec29 explosivetrend btcusdt 1h 04.06

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @davidec29
● Live

Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [473348dc]

🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND BTCUSDT 1H 04.06

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +22846.93% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
23609.9%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
57.89%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.137
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.7%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
665
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 18, 2018
2,613
Days
665
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2018-11-18 19:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.49
  • Calmar: -0.16
  • Longest DD Days: 137.00
  • Volatility: 10.25
  • Skew: -0.29
  • Kurtosis: 2.47
  • Expected Daily: 0.03
  • Expected Monthly: 0.72
  • Expected Yearly: 8.95
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.57
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.17
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.56
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-13 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 15
  • Number Winning Trades 385
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 280
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.16
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.13
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.83
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.13
  • Tail Ratio: 0.93
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.14
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.75
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 0.36

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.44%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.94%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.65%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.56%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+46,456.83%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+195,609.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+719,451.20%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+415,325.29%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1,387,501.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
665
Cumulative
-0.23%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
10,621,263.29%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2018
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+21.38%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+159.71%
Simple P&L
2019
-1.29%
+249.26%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
+253.39%
Simple P&L
+2.27%
+414.27%
Simple P&L
-2.64%
+737.91%
Simple P&L
-1.22%
+1,835.97%
Simple P&L
-2.07%
+3,019.47%
Simple P&L
+5.53%
+1,845.47%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+4,373.39%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+3,397.64%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+6,096.74%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+5,575.65%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+6,373.27%
Simple P&L
2020
-0.70%
+9,951.83%
Simple P&L
-1.16%
+7,056.42%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+11,133.27%
Simple P&L
-3.32%
+13,127.03%
Simple P&L
+3.08%
+5,993.80%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
+5,650.33%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+14,921.03%
Simple P&L
+3.05%
+6,344.47%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+11,341.68%
Simple P&L
-2.22%
+16,792.04%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+11,654.97%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+16,485.68%
Simple P&L
2021
-0.08%
+12,993.63%
Simple P&L
-3.13%
+11,100.90%
Simple P&L
+5.17%
+6,756.63%
Simple P&L
-0.24%
+10,737.28%
Simple P&L
-10.55%
+13,792.98%
Simple P&L
+5.05%
+15,608.28%
Simple P&L
+7.25%
+12,395.87%
Simple P&L
-1.99%
+23,867.61%
Simple P&L
+0.62%
+22,929.12%
Simple P&L
-1.35%
+37,543.59%
Simple P&L
+2.84%
+27,143.41%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+22,492.08%
Simple P&L
2022
-3.70%
+20,851.93%
Simple P&L
+3.96%
+53,923.48%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+40,599.30%
Simple P&L
-2.21%
+59,409.92%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+34,114.18%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+63,169.90%
Simple P&L
+1.16%
+84,579.21%
Simple P&L
+3.19%
+65,275.29%
Simple P&L
-2.32%
+76,075.84%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+70,388.92%
Simple P&L
+1.68%
+76,409.02%
Simple P&L
-0.16%
+89,880.84%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.17%
+141,290.21%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
+107,065.41%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+231,520.93%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
+159,607.51%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+194,389.54%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+240,674.05%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+157,781.50%
Simple P&L
+0.49%
+194,762.55%
Simple P&L
-0.71%
+125,708.52%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+232,966.14%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+218,938.79%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+325,706.51%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.22%
+255,308.18%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+335,516.76%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+260,113.55%
Simple P&L
+1.34%
+270,854.43%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+468,815.18%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+327,533.27%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+335,602.14%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+459,522.90%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+307,315.03%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+301,273.15%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+297,852.73%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+416,153.20%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.09%
+261,482.64%
Simple P&L
-2.47%
+300,273.09%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+151,918.86%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+252,110.02%
Simple P&L
+1.36%
+335,720.01%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
+288,165.53%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

665

Number of Trades

-0.23%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

195609.98%

30 Days

415325.29%

60 Days

719451.2%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit40962.5240962.5236638.2336638.234324.294324.29
Gross Profit115652.34115652.3490519.6690519.6625132.6825132.68
Gross Loss74689.8274689.8253881.4453881.4420808.3920808.39
Expected Payoff80.63124.220.3
Commission Paid9646.557730.641915.91
Buy & Hold Return1148.241148.24
Buy & Hold % Gain1148.25
Strategy Outperformance39814.28
Max Contracts Held22.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)195.32189.4697.77
Return On Initial Capital40962.5236638.234324.29
Account Size Required11671.74
Return On Account Size Required350.95313.9137.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)22 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1841.861841.86
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)18803.9318803.93
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)48310.6699.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48310.66
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1342.91342.9
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.513.140.37
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)9526.919526.91
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)11671.7429.06
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)11671.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss992.18887.44202.55
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.873.679.35
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.537.6610.26
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades508.0295.0213.0
Number Winning Trades311.0199.0112.0
Number Losing Trades197.096.0101.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable61.2267.4652.58
Avg P&l80.630.7124.20.8520.30.5
Avg Winning Trade371.872.8454.872.37224.43.56
Avg Losing Trade379.142.61561.262.32206.022.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9810.811.089
Largest Winning Trade3319.823319.822349.73
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.212.211.88
Largest Losing Trade4128.554128.552134.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent19.815.6719.81
Avg # Bars In Trades21.018.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.018.025.0
Sharpe Ratio0.647
Sortino Ratio2.63
Profit Factor1.5481.681.208
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit23609.923609.915609.4415609.448000.468000.46
Gross Profit195669.06195669.06134978.77134978.7760690.2960690.29
Gross Loss172059.16172059.16119369.34119369.3452689.8252689.82
Expected Payoff35.542.327.03
Commission Paid19264.6514343.634921.02
Buy & Hold Return1620.941620.94
Buy & Hold % Gain1620.96
Strategy Outperformance21988.97
Max Contracts Held22.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)114.39102.4384.57
Return On Initial Capital23609.915609.448000.46
Account Size Required27848.41
Return On Account Size Required84.7856.0528.73
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)22 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2041.072041.07
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)18803.9318803.93
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)50743.2899.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)50743.28
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2229.652229.65
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.850.560.29
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27729.1527729.15
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)27848.4154.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)27848.41
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss571.87378.09264.63
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.72.464.14
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.43.465.74
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades665.0369.0296.0
Number Winning Trades385.0231.0154.0
Number Losing Trades280.0138.0142.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.8962.652.03
Avg P&l35.50.5142.30.6127.030.4
Avg Winning Trade508.232.67584.322.27394.093.27
Avg Losing Trade614.52.45865.02.18371.062.72
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8270.6761.062
Largest Winning Trade3319.823319.822512.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.212.211.88
Largest Losing Trade4128.554128.553023.22
Largest Losing Trade Percent19.815.6719.81
Avg # Bars In Trades20.017.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.016.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.466
Sortino Ratio1.488
Profit Factor1.1371.1311.152
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several key performance metrics are highlighted:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2.92%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 113.47%
Sharpe Ratio 0.463
Profit Factor 1.13
Maximum Drawdown -0%
Volatility (Annualized) 10.25%

The strategy reports a respectable cumulative return with an annualized return of 113.47%. The Sharpe ratio, just shy of the 0.5 threshold, suggests room for improved risk-adjusted returns. Nevertheless, achieving a profit factor above 1 indicates profitable trades. Importantly, there is no maximum drawdown recorded, reflecting excellent drawdown management.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy has potential viability for real-world trading with its positive net profit and acceptable risk levels. Given its performance, it is critical to maintain current market conditions for continuous success. Although slightly under the desired level, a Sharpe ratio of 0.463 combined with no maximum drawdown provides a solid foundation for further enhancement.

Risk Management

The strategy showcases effective risk management, indicated by the absence of maximum drawdown and zero margin calls, suggesting robustness in market stability. To elevate the effectiveness of the risk management framework, consider:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing that accounts for volatility fluctuations.
  • Enhancing stop-loss protocols to pre-emptively mitigate potential losses.
  • Augmenting the current asset portfolio to spread unhedged risk.

Improvement Suggestions

Recommendations for optimizing and bolstering the strategy are as follows:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters to strengthen the Sharpe ratio whilst preserving returns.
  • Integrate additional advanced indicators to refine entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct comprehensive scenario analyses to stress-test strategy under diverse market conditions.
  • Consider examining leverage adjustments to potentially enhance returns without introducing drawdowns.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy demonstrates notable strengths, such as high returns and exceptional drawdown management. Despite a lower-than-ideal Sharpe ratio, it still presents commendable profitability and risk control. It's crucial to fine-tune parameters and broaden analysis to sustain and enhance its execution in varied markets.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and parameter optimization. Accelerate implementation of suggested improvements to ensure the strategy’s robustness, and adapt the risk management framework dynamically in response to market volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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