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DaviddTech
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davidec29 explosivetrend btcusdt 1h 04.06

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @davidec29
● Live

Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [473348dc]

🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND BTCUSDT 1H 04.06

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +90.59% Updated 20 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
90.59%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.54%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.07
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
324
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 4, 2023
1,166
Days
324
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 8, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-04 19:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.17
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.39
  • Calmar: -0.12
  • Longest DD Days: 156.00
  • Volatility: 0.16
  • Skew: -0.25
  • Kurtosis: 0.05
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.07
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.69
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-08 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 167
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 157
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.12
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.08
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.01
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.08
  • Tail Ratio: 1.02
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.70
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.06
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.07

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+4.47%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.64%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.88%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+90.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+667.65%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2,274.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1,606.06%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+6,196.14%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
324
Cumulative
-0.93%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
47,904.84%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.03%
+201.03%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
+275.25%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+758.39%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
+579.74%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+654.06%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+816.88%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+556.76%
Simple P&L
+0.49%
+653.70%
Simple P&L
-0.71%
+404.09%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+859.83%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+945.93%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+1,497.49%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.22%
+1,136.18%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+1,670.80%
Simple P&L
-1.84%
+1,480.89%
Simple P&L
+1.34%
+1,472.07%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
+2,671.19%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+1,847.12%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+1,916.94%
Simple P&L
-0.65%
+2,720.66%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+1,689.77%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+1,643.07%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+1,719.86%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+2,460.38%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.09%
+1,409.57%
Simple P&L
-2.47%
+1,536.66%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+843.14%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+1,371.42%
Simple P&L
+1.36%
+1,840.90%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
+1,450.86%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+969.49%
Simple P&L
-1.45%
+1,368.48%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

324

Number of Trades

-0.93%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

667.65%

30 Days

1606.06%

60 Days

2274.94%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit90.5990.5956.156.134.4934.49
Gross Profit1381.841381.84946.49946.49435.34435.34
Gross Loss1291.241291.24890.39890.39400.85400.85
Expected Payoff0.280.320.23
Commission Paid143.53105.6237.9
Buy & Hold Return325.14325.14
Buy & Hold % Gain325.16
Strategy Outperformance-234.55
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.2914.919.69
Return On Initial Capital90.5956.134.49
Account Size Required242.13
Return On Account Size Required37.4223.1714.25
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)47.1947.19
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)151.38151.38
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)311.5775.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)311.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)125 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70.0370.03
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.370.230.14
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)236.4236.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)242.1359.04
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)242.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss286.54177.45138.05
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.862.715.03
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.453.556.23
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades324.0176.0148.0
Number Winning Trades167.097.070.0
Number Losing Trades157.079.078.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.5455.1147.3
Avg P&l0.280.120.320.170.230.06
Avg Winning Trade8.272.139.761.866.222.52
Avg Losing Trade8.222.0311.271.95.142.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0060.8661.21
Largest Winning Trade25.6825.6821.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.834.715.83
Largest Losing Trade31.6231.6224.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.165.467.16
Avg # Bars In Trades18.016.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.016.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.016.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.165
Sortino Ratio0.392
Profit Factor1.071.0631.086
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit90.5990.5956.156.134.4934.49
Gross Profit1381.841381.84946.49946.49435.34435.34
Gross Loss1291.241291.24890.39890.39400.85400.85
Expected Payoff0.280.320.23
Commission Paid143.53105.6237.9
Buy & Hold Return325.14325.14
Buy & Hold % Gain325.16
Strategy Outperformance-234.55
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.2914.919.69
Return On Initial Capital90.5956.134.49
Account Size Required242.13
Return On Account Size Required37.4223.1714.25
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)47.1947.19
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)151.38151.38
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)311.5775.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)311.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)125 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70.0370.03
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.370.230.14
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)236.4236.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)242.1359.04
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)242.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss286.54177.45138.05
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.862.715.03
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.453.556.23
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades324.0176.0148.0
Number Winning Trades167.097.070.0
Number Losing Trades157.079.078.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.5455.1147.3
Avg P&l0.280.120.320.170.230.06
Avg Winning Trade8.272.139.761.866.222.52
Avg Losing Trade8.222.0311.271.95.142.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0060.8661.21
Largest Winning Trade25.6825.6821.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.834.715.83
Largest Losing Trade31.6231.6224.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.165.467.16
Avg # Bars In Trades18.016.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.016.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.016.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.165
Sortino Ratio0.392
Profit Factor1.071.0631.086
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics present significant opportunity for growth:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 86.53%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 21.63%
Sharpe Ratio 0.163
Profit Factor 1.067
Maximum Drawdown 59.04%
Volatility (Annualized) 16%
Percent Profitable 51.39%

The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 86.53% with a respectable annualized return of 21.63%. The maximum drawdown at 59.04% is an area of concern and exceeds the preferred maximum of 40%. However, the strategy displays promise through its ability to generate positive overall returns and maintain a profitability rate over 50%.

Strategy Viability

The strategy presents some viable aspects for real-world trading, particularly under the right market conditions. However, given the Sharpe ratio of 0.163, which is below the ideal threshold of 0.5, the risk-adjusted return is not as strong as it could be. While the strategy does outperform in specific conditions, aligning its robustness across varied markets is crucial for long-term viability.

Risk Management

Despite delivering returns, the strategy encounters significant drawdowns. Effective management of these drawdowns is crucial for ensuring sustainability. Key improvements could include:

  • Reducing leverage usage to lower the maximum drawdown closer to 40%.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss rules to finely tune loss limits.
  • Exploring diversification of asset classes within the crypto space to mitigate concentrated risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To heighten the strategy's overall effectiveness and robustness, consider the following:

  • Refine trading parameters to enhance the Sharpe Ratio above 0.5, thereby improving risk-adjusted returns.
  • Incorporate additional volatility-adjusted indicators to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
  • Conduct more comprehensive backtesting across diverse market conditions to ensure the strategy's adaptability and resilience.
  • Stress test the current risk management protocols to evaluate their effectiveness under extreme market scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy generates positive returns and maintains a decent win rate, it exhibits substantial drawbacks in risk management particularly with drawdown levels and risk-adjusted returns. The performance metrics suggest potential, but optimizing and refining the approach is essential before stepping into a live trading environment.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and rigorously testing the strategy. Implement suggested optimizations, with a clear focus on reducing drawdown through strategic leverage adjustments and enhanced risk management protocols to ensure a more balanced risk-return profile.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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