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cryptogellan t3nexus+stiff runeusdt 1h 29.10.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @cryptogellan
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [ae486885]

🛡️ T3NEXUS+STIFF RUNEUSDT 1H 29.10.2024

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 6 months ago
Total Return Primary
490.53%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
67.58%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.452
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.58%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
219
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 20, 2023
1,340
Days
219
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-20 23:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.42
  • Calmar: -1.28
  • Longest DD Days: 45.00
  • Volatility: 2.10
  • Skew: -0.56
  • Kurtosis: -0.72
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.46
  • Expected Yearly: 5.68
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.54
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.22
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.23
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 11:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 15
  • Number Winning Trades 148
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 71
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.28
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.69
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
  • Tail Ratio: 0.82
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.14
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 2.90

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
67.6%
Total Trades
219
Cumulative
-0.91%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
155.19%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-2.95%
-0.51%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+1.98%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
-4.54%
Simple P&L
+2.10%
+1.64%
Simple P&L
+0.70%
+11.98%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+2.50%
Simple P&L
-1.68%
+16.21%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
+20.00%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+2.88%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+22.18%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.51%
+1.97%
Simple P&L
+2.05%
+19.24%
Simple P&L
-2.05%
+6.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.01%
Simple P&L
+0.75%
+6.51%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
-6.02%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+3.47%
Simple P&L
+1.80%
+12.50%
Simple P&L
-1.80%
+8.98%
Simple P&L
+1.84%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+9.49%
Simple P&L
-2.52%
-12.04%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.82%
+10.00%
Simple P&L
-2.83%
-0.32%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.09%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-0.51%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
-7.04%
Simple P&L
+1.81%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
+1.95%
-4.03%
Simple P&L
-2.57%
-1.27%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-1.01%
Simple P&L
+0.49%
-3.05%
Simple P&L
2026
+0.17%
+9.79%
Simple P&L
+2.26%
+2.00%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

219

Number of Trades

-0.91%

Cumulative Returns

67.58%

Win Rate

2024-10-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4905.28490.534742.26474.23163.0216.3
Gross Profit15759.831575.9815008.861500.89750.9775.1
Gross Loss10854.561085.4610266.61026.66587.9658.8
Expected Payoff22.422.6916.3
Commission Paid1099.531043.8955.64
Buy & Hold Return-770.07-77.01
Buy & Hold % Gain-77.01
Strategy Outperformance5675.35
Max Contracts Held1826718267.016478.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.4571.954.79
Return On Initial Capital490.53474.2316.3
Account Size Required1319.03
Return On Account Size Required371.88359.5312.36
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)29 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)491.1749.12
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1198.71119.87
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)5933.3386.5
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)593.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)427.842.78
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.723.60.12
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1260.32126.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1319.0319.57
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)131.9
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1868.521806.4373.75
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.332.4422.84
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.422.5637.6
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades219.0209.010.0
Number Winning Trades148.0142.06.0
Number Losing Trades71.067.04.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable67.5867.9460.0
Avg P&l22.40.7122.690.7316.30.22
Avg Winning Trade106.492.47105.72.47125.162.39
Avg Losing Trade152.882.97153.232.96146.993.03
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6970.690.852
Largest Winning Trade366.45366.45171.5
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.42.51
Largest Losing Trade262.52262.52221.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.463.463.06
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.09.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.014.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.504
Sortino Ratio1.417
Profit Factor1.4521.4621.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4905.28490.534742.26474.23163.0216.3
Gross Profit15759.831575.9815008.861500.89750.9775.1
Gross Loss10854.561085.4610266.61026.66587.9658.8
Expected Payoff22.422.6916.3
Commission Paid1099.531043.8955.64
Buy & Hold Return-770.07-77.01
Buy & Hold % Gain-77.01
Strategy Outperformance5675.35
Max Contracts Held1826718267.016478.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.4571.954.79
Return On Initial Capital490.53474.2316.3
Account Size Required1319.03
Return On Account Size Required371.88359.5312.36
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)29 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)491.1749.12
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1198.71119.87
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)5933.3386.5
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)593.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)427.842.78
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.723.60.12
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1260.32126.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1319.0319.57
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)131.9
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1868.521806.4373.75
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.332.4422.84
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.422.5637.6
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades219.0209.010.0
Number Winning Trades148.0142.06.0
Number Losing Trades71.067.04.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable67.5867.9460.0
Avg P&l22.40.7122.690.7316.30.22
Avg Winning Trade106.492.47105.72.47125.162.39
Avg Losing Trade152.882.97153.232.96146.993.03
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6970.690.852
Largest Winning Trade366.45366.45171.5
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.42.51
Largest Losing Trade262.52262.52221.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.463.463.06
Avg # Bars In Trades10.010.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.09.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.014.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.504
Sortino Ratio1.417
Profit Factor1.4521.4621.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 73.45%
Sharpe Ratio 0.504
Profit Factor 1.452
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 19.57%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.1
Win Rate 67.58%

The strategy demonstrates a respectable annualized return of 73.45%, with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.504, which is good for the crypto market indicating decent risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.452 suggests that the strategy earns $1.452 for every $1 lost, making it a potentially profitable endeavor. The maximum drawdown of 19.57% is well within acceptable limits, implying effective downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading. It outperforms the buy-and-hold benchmark substantially with a -77.01% return, illustrating its robust nature in varying market conditions. The high win rate further accentuates its potential success rate. However, market conditions conducive to this strategy should be analyzed to ascertain if they will endure.

Risk Management

The strategy exhibits strong risk management attributes, reflected in its 19.57% maximum drawdown and lack of margin calls. Yet, given the high volatility, optimizing for further risk reduction is prudent. Suggested improvements include:

  • Adopting dynamic leverage adjustments to scale back exposure during volatile periods.
  • Strengthening stop-loss parameters to manage adverse market moves.
  • Expanding diversification across different crypto assets to avoid concentration risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy’s performance and ensure its resilience, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine parameter settings to maximize returns while minimizing drawdowns further.
  • Integrate additional market sentiment indicators to boost trade timing accuracy.
  • Conduct comprehensive backtesting across various market regimes to validate the strategy’s robustness.
  • Explore advanced risk management solutions like drawing down leverage prudently during high-risk intervals.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy reveals commendable performance with solid returns and a good risk-adjusted metric. Despite its relatively high variance, the strategy maintains reasonable drawdowns and limited risk exposure, suggesting sound risk management practices. Further enhancements and rigorous testing are crucial to ascertain its robustness across different market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional optimization and validation of the strategy. Efforts should be focused on refining risk management tactics to encompass a wider range of market scenarios while sustaining promising returns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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