T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [ae486885]
🛡️ T3NEXUS+STIFF RUNEUSDT 1H 29.10.2024
@cryptogellan
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 31 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-21 10:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
- Sortino Ratio: 2.33
- Calmar: -2.28
- Longest DD Days: 19.00
- Volatility: 3.00
- Skew: -0.70
- Kurtosis: 0.34
- Expected Daily: 0.05
- Expected Monthly: 1.09
- Expected Yearly: 13.84
- Kelly Criterion: 34.58
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.32
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.42
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 11:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 15
- Number Winning Trades 166
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 68
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.28
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.95
- Payoff Ratio: 0.80
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.95
- Tail Ratio: 1.02
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.63
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.30
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 9.34
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1272.45% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 3.75% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.703 |
Profit Factor | 1.95 |
Maximum Drawdown | -16.66% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 3% |
The strategy demonstrates a notable cumulative return of 1272.45% with a moderate annualized return of 3.75%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.703 is encouraging as it surpasses the benchmark for crypto, signifying good risk-adjusted returns. A profit factor of 1.95 indicates a healthy profit margin relative to losses. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -16.66% remains well below the 40% threshold, suggesting sound drawdown management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. It demonstrates robustness by maintaining a reasonable drawdown while securing a high cumulative return. The favorable Sharpe ratio and profit factor highlight the strategy's potential to perform well in volatile markets, common in the crypto space. Further validation should be carried out on its adaptability across varying market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy incorporates effective risk management techniques, as indicated by the sustainable maximum drawdown and no margin calls. There remains an opportunity to enhance certain elements, notably:
- Implementing dynamic position sizing based on prevailing market volatility could further limit exposure.
- Exploring more sophisticated stop-loss techniques can also mitigate potential losses.
- Considering diversification of assets, which can reduce unsystematic risk exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize existing strategy parameters, particularly to enhance returns while maintaining low drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators that might improve decision making on trade entry and exits.
- Proceed with out-of-sample and forward-testing to affirm robustness across changing market scenarios.
- Max drawdown can potentially be decreased by reducing leverage, enhancing stability.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy capably delivers impressive returns and exhibits commendable risk-adjusted metrics, making it a strong candidate for real-world testing. There's room for optimization regarding volatility management, but it currently stands as a promising strategy, particularly adept for high-volatility environments like cryptocurrencies.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and comprehensive testing to bolster robustness. Enhancing existing risk management structures will facilitate better handling of market volatilities. This strategy shows significant potential with the right refinements.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.98% |
2022 | 8.76% | 5.48% | 26.25% | -1.90% | 14.00% | -4.38% | -4.67% | -3.67% | 5.08% | 5.97% | 5.25% | 2.59% |
2023 | 11.42% | 2.58% | 1.21% | -5.34% | 2.15% | 15.13% | 3.14% | 20.66% | 24.92% | 10.68% | 27.47% | 6.28% |
2024 | 2.72% | 23.82% | 8.91% | -3.66% | 8.20% | -7.26% | 4.64% | 15.51% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
24
Number of Trades
18.81%
Cumulative Returns
66.67%
Win Rate
2024-10-29
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-1.12%
30 Days
12.32%
60 Days
18.48%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 10876.93 | 1087.69 | 10926.39 | 1092.64 | -49.46 | -4.95 |
Gross Profit | 20377.2 | 2037.72 | 20009.4 | 2000.94 | 367.8 | 36.78 |
Gross Loss | 9500.26 | 950.03 | 9083.01 | 908.3 | 417.26 | 41.73 |
Commission Paid | 913.21 | 890.46 | 22.75 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -110.19 | -11.02 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 11166.56 | 91.78 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 913.1 | 15.43 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 3305.0 | 3305.0 | 1863.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 211.0 | 203.0 | 8.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 151.0 | 146.0 | 5.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 60.0 | 57.0 | 3.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 71.56 | 71.92 | 62.5 | |||
Avg P&l | 51.55 | 1.0 | 53.82 | 1.03 | -6.18 | 0.43 |
Avg Winning Trade | 134.95 | 2.56 | 137.05 | 2.56 | 73.56 | 2.5 |
Avg Losing Trade | 158.34 | 2.91 | 159.35 | 2.91 | 139.09 | 3.03 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.852 | 0.86 | 0.529 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 362.7 | 362.7 | 182.01 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.52 | 8.52 | 2.56 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 437.37 | 437.37 | 272.29 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.06 | 3.06 | 3.05 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 9.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 8.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.765 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.446 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.145 | 2.203 | 0.881 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 12724.45 | 1272.45 | 12773.91 | 1277.39 | -49.46 | -4.95 |
Gross Profit | 26095.53 | 2609.55 | 25727.73 | 2572.77 | 367.8 | 36.78 |
Gross Loss | 13371.08 | 1337.11 | 12953.82 | 1295.38 | 417.26 | 41.73 |
Commission Paid | 1203.39 | 1180.64 | 22.75 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -816.93 | -81.69 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 13556.64 | 93.13 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2220.7 | 16.66 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 13874.0 | 13874.0 | 1863.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 234.0 | 226.0 | 8.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 166.0 | 161.0 | 5.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 68.0 | 65.0 | 3.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 70.94 | 71.24 | 62.5 | |||
Avg P&l | 54.38 | 0.96 | 56.52 | 0.98 | -6.18 | 0.43 |
Avg Winning Trade | 157.2 | 2.55 | 159.8 | 2.55 | 73.56 | 2.5 |
Avg Losing Trade | 196.63 | 2.92 | 199.29 | 2.92 | 139.09 | 3.03 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.799 | 0.802 | 0.529 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 451.28 | 451.28 | 182.01 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.52 | 8.52 | 2.56 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 541.28 | 541.28 | 272.29 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.06 | 3.06 | 3.05 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 8.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 8.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 10.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.703 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.331 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.952 | 1.986 | 0.881 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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