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DaviddTech
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cryptogellan runeusdt 1h T3Nexus+stiff 01.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @cryptogellan
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [c49b3fda]

🛡️ RUNEUSDT 1H T3NEXUS+STIFF 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1006.11%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
57.41%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.467
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.94%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
263
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 22, 2021
1,509
Days
263
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-22 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.39
  • Calmar: -0.55
  • Longest DD Days: 54.00
  • Volatility: 4.34
  • Skew: 0.47
  • Kurtosis: 4.30
  • Expected Daily: 0.04
  • Expected Monthly: 0.78
  • Expected Yearly: 9.74
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.26
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.23
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.52
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-17 22:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 151
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 112
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.55
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.47
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.09
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.47
  • Tail Ratio: 2.04
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.56
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 1.24

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.53%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.95%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.95%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.94%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+5.11%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.64%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+5.64%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.20%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
57.4%
Total Trades
263
Cumulative
-1.11%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
207.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
+4.47%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+1.36%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+8.94%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+21.82%
Simple P&L
-2.64%
-5.37%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
+19.68%
Simple P&L
+1.42%
+0.17%
Simple P&L
-1.59%
-2.76%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-3.11%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4.47%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-1.04%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+2.34%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.02%
+1.37%
Simple P&L
+2.86%
+7.26%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+5.57%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
-6.17%
Simple P&L
+0.59%
-4.18%
Simple P&L
-1.02%
+12.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+3.79%
Simple P&L
-1.68%
+21.47%
Simple P&L
+0.65%
+21.86%
Simple P&L
-1.30%
+9.11%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+22.49%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+7.58%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.40%
+16.44%
Simple P&L
-2.01%
+12.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+14.14%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
+0.68%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+9.25%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
-5.85%
Simple P&L
-0.73%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
+2.77%
+8.26%
Simple P&L
-2.77%
+9.62%
Simple P&L
+1.94%
+5.83%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
-1.75%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-15.55%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+8.26%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-7.16%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-6.22%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.64%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+8.42%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-9.23%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-4.69%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

263

Number of Trades

-1.11%

Cumulative Returns

57.41%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

5.11%

30 Days

5.64%

60 Days

5.64%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit12198.051219.812198.051219.80.00.0
Gross Profit190711907.119071.01907.10.00.0
Gross Loss6872.95687.36872.95687.30.00.0
Expected Payoff65.5865.580.0
Commission Paid829.57829.570.0
Buy & Hold Return-290.79-29.08
Buy & Hold % Gain-29.08
Strategy Outperformance12488.84
Max Contracts Held76027602.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)148.07148.070.0
Return On Initial Capital1219.81219.80.0
Account Size Required951.84
Return On Account Size Required1281.521281.520.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)775.9277.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2386.62238.66
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)12586.3192.64
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1258.63
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)312.4231.24
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown12.8212.820.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)880.8888.09
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)951.8417.23
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.18
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1738.421738.420.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.575.570.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss10.2110.210.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades186.0186.00.0
Number Winning Trades119.0119.00.0
Number Losing Trades67.067.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable63.9863.98
Avg P&l65.581.2365.581.23
Avg Winning Trade160.263.57160.263.57
Avg Losing Trade102.582.92102.582.92
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5621.562
Largest Winning Trade1061.671061.67
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.4
Largest Losing Trade701.67701.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.123.12
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.671
Sortino Ratio2.963
Profit Factor2.7752.775
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit10061.111006.1110061.111006.110.00.0
Gross Profit31614.513161.4531614.513161.450.00.0
Gross Loss21553.42155.3421553.42155.340.00.0
Expected Payoff38.2638.260.0
Commission Paid1750.471750.470.0
Buy & Hold Return-942.54-94.25
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.25
Strategy Outperformance11003.64
Max Contracts Held3388233882.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)77.2577.250.0
Return On Initial Capital1006.111006.110.0
Account Size Required5021.02
Return On Account Size Required200.38200.380.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)911.1191.11
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3847.77384.78
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)14539.8393.57
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1453.98
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)763.0676.31
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown22.00.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4964.59496.46
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)5021.0232.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)502.1
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss884.96884.960.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.024.020.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.275.270.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades263.0263.00.0
Number Winning Trades151.0151.00.0
Number Losing Trades112.0112.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.4157.41
Avg P&l38.260.7938.260.79
Avg Winning Trade209.373.56209.373.56
Avg Losing Trade192.442.95192.442.95
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0881.088
Largest Winning Trade1270.261270.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.4
Largest Losing Trade1136.891136.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.123.12
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.013.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.454
Sortino Ratio1.389
Profit Factor1.4671.467
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1006.11%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 77.39%
Sharpe Ratio 0.454
Profit Factor 1.467
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 32.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 4.34%

The strategy presents an impressive cumulative return of 1006.11% over the evaluated period with a notable annualized return of 77.39%. Although the Sharpe ratio of 0.454 is slightly below the preferred threshold of 0.5 for the crypto market, the strategy's profitability (Profit Factor: 1.467) demonstrates its potential to generate gains. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 32.62% is comfortably below 40%, showing effective downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows robust potential for real-world trading. The profitability indicates a substantial edge in trading performance under the given market conditions. Although the Sharpe ratio is marginally lower than desired, the low maximum drawdown reflects effective capital preservation, which is critical for long-term success. Continuing to monitor market conditions and the strategy's adaptability will be key in maintaining its viability.

Risk Management

The strategy employs adequate risk management, as seen by the maximum drawdown figures. However, there is room for improvement, especially in optimizing risk-adjusted returns. Recommendations for enhancing risk management include:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to better adapt to market volatility and adjust risk exposure accordingly.
  • Exploring advanced stop-loss mechanisms to further safeguard capital during adverse market conditions.
  • Reducing leverage usage to potentially lower drawdowns, offering more stability across market cycles.

Improvement Suggestions

To further strengthen the strategy, consider the following actionable improvements:

  • Refining strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe ratio and optimize the balance between risk and reward.
  • Integrating additional technical indicators to enhance entry and exit precision, potentially boosting the win rate.
  • Conducting out-of-sample stability testing to verify the strategy's effectiveness across diverse market conditions.
  • Enhancing the risk management framework with elements like VaR calculations, providing deeper insights into potential risks.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy displays strong performance metrics with substantial returns and manageable drawdown levels. While there is a need to improve the Sharpe ratio, the strategy presents a promising option for active crypto trading, given its solid execution in adverse conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and comprehensive testing. Focus on enhancing the Sharpe ratio and expanding risk management capabilities to bolster resilience and optimize performance across various market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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