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cryptogellan runeusdt 1h T3Nexus+stiff 01.10.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @cryptogellan
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [c49b3fda]

🛡️ RUNEUSDT 1H T3NEXUS+STIFF 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.91% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
383.94%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
55.66%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.326
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.54%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
212
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 21, 2023
1,152
Days
212
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-21 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.06
  • Calmar: -0.41
  • Longest DD Days: 63.00
  • Volatility: 2.70
  • Skew: 0.27
  • Kurtosis: 2.67
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.38
  • Expected Yearly: 4.61
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.34
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.13
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.37
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 118
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 94
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.41
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.34
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.05
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.34
  • Tail Ratio: 2.32
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.76
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.66
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 0.60

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.56%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.54%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.55%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.40%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.33%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3.68%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.15%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-6.79%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.24%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
55.7%
Total Trades
212
Cumulative
-2.51%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
144.88%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-2.97%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+2.86%
+7.26%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+5.57%
Simple P&L
-2.14%
-6.17%
Simple P&L
+0.59%
-4.18%
Simple P&L
-1.02%
+12.82%
Simple P&L
+2.33%
+3.79%
Simple P&L
-1.68%
+21.47%
Simple P&L
+0.65%
+21.86%
Simple P&L
-1.30%
+9.11%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+22.49%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+7.58%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.40%
+16.44%
Simple P&L
-2.01%
+12.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+14.14%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
+0.68%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+9.25%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
-5.85%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
+2.77%
+8.26%
Simple P&L
-2.77%
+9.62%
Simple P&L
+1.94%
+5.83%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
-1.75%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-15.55%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+8.26%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-7.16%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-6.22%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.64%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+8.42%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-9.23%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-4.69%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+0.23%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

212

Number of Trades

-2.51%

Cumulative Returns

55.66%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-3.68%

30 Days

-6.79%

60 Days

-1.15%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3839.39383.943839.39383.940.00.0
Gross Profit15620.711562.0715620.711562.070.00.0
Gross Loss11781.331178.1311781.331178.130.00.0
Expected Payoff18.1118.110.0
Commission Paid903.2903.20.0
Buy & Hold Return-758.08-75.81
Buy & Hold % Gain-75.81
Strategy Outperformance4597.47
Max Contracts Held3235732357.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)63.3463.340.0
Return On Initial Capital383.94383.940.0
Account Size Required3109.21
Return On Account Size Required123.48123.480.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)27 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)589.7758.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1979.21197.92
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)7003.3687.62
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)700.34
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)47 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)543.3554.34
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.231.230.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3101.61310.16
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3109.2139.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)310.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss656.54656.540.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.184.180.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.964.960.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades212.0212.00.0
Number Winning Trades118.0118.00.0
Number Losing Trades94.094.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.6655.66
Avg P&l18.110.6818.110.68
Avg Winning Trade132.383.59132.383.59
Avg Losing Trade125.332.96125.332.96
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0561.056
Largest Winning Trade653.39653.39
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.4
Largest Losing Trade584.79584.79
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.133.13
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.387
Sortino Ratio1.056
Profit Factor1.3261.326
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3839.39383.943839.39383.940.00.0
Gross Profit15620.711562.0715620.711562.070.00.0
Gross Loss11781.331178.1311781.331178.130.00.0
Expected Payoff18.1118.110.0
Commission Paid903.2903.20.0
Buy & Hold Return-758.08-75.81
Buy & Hold % Gain-75.81
Strategy Outperformance4597.47
Max Contracts Held3235732357.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)63.3463.340.0
Return On Initial Capital383.94383.940.0
Account Size Required3109.21
Return On Account Size Required123.48123.480.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)27 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)589.7758.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1979.21197.92
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)7003.3687.62
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)700.34
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)47 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)543.3554.34
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.231.230.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3101.61310.16
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3109.2139.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)310.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss656.54656.540.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.184.180.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.964.960.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades212.0212.00.0
Number Winning Trades118.0118.00.0
Number Losing Trades94.094.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.6655.66
Avg P&l18.110.6818.110.68
Avg Winning Trade132.383.59132.383.59
Avg Losing Trade125.332.96125.332.96
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0561.056
Largest Winning Trade653.39653.39
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.4
Largest Losing Trade584.79584.79
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.133.13
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.387
Sortino Ratio1.056
Profit Factor1.3261.326
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 391.39%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 64.25%
Sharpe Ratio 0.392
Profit Factor 1.334
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 39.27%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.7%
Percent Profitable 55.92%

The strategy showcases solid returns with a net profit of 391.39% and an annualized return of 64.25%. While the Sharpe Ratio of 0.392 falls slightly below the preferred threshold of 0.5, the Profit Factor of 1.334 is encouraging, indicating the strategy generates 1.334 times more profit than loss. The maximum drawdown remains acceptably low at 39.27%, which is safely within our risk tolerance. Furthermore, the percentage profitability at 55.92% reflects a tendency for winning trades to slightly outnumber losses, supporting overall positive performance.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears potentially viable for real-world trading. It significantly outperforms the buy-and-hold benchmark with an impressive strategy outperformance figure of 4652.4%. However, market conditions and execution costs will play critical roles in determining real-world viability. Given the maximum drawdown's adherence to our acceptable limits and the reasonable annualized return rate, the strategy holds promise. Yet, the need to improve the Sharpe Ratio should be considered for better risk-adjusted returns under volatile market scenarios.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management seems pragmatic, demonstrated through zero margin calls and a well-contained drawdown. However, the existing volatility data suggests that risk management could be further fortified by focusing on:

  • Adjusting leverage to reduce volatility and drawdown impact.
  • Implementing a more sophisticated stop-loss system beyond simple metrics to protect profits and limit losses.
  • Improving trade entry and exit rules to leverage the gain/pain ratio positively.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness sustainably, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine the parameters to enhance the Sharpe Ratio and improve win/loss consistency.
  • Introduce diverse technical indicators and data sources to boost signal accuracy and logistic efficiency.
  • Conduct expansive backtesting across various market conditions to gauge performance flexibility and consistency.
  • Optimize leverage to maintain efficient drawdown levels while potentially enhancing the Sharpe Ratio and other risk-measured returns.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates commendable performance with solid returns and robust drawdown metrics. Its execution profits and reliability indicate decent risk control, but improvement avenues exist for better risk-adjusted returns. The modest Sharpe Ratio implies enhancement opportunities in optimizing risk and volatility mannegement profiles. Moreover, testing strategies under varied conditions and incorporating the recommended enhancements will further secure the strategy’s robustness.

Recommendation: Engage in further testing and optimize the strategy to improve its Sharpe Ratio and robustness in different market scenarios. Implement proposed improvements to manage risk better and align with higher market volatility efficiently.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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