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cryptogellan williams ethusdt 1h 25.06

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CONFIRMATION BASED 1 hour @cryptogellan
● Live

Williams by @DaviddTech 🤖 [409716c5]

🛡️ WILLIAMS ETHUSDT 1H 25.06

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
457.55%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.09%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.223
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.01%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
449
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 4, 2023
1,184
Days
449
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 23, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-04 15:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.41
  • Calmar: -0.78
  • Longest DD Days: 105.00
  • Volatility: 2.10
  • Skew: 0.63
  • Kurtosis: 0.59
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.21
  • Expected Yearly: 2.58
  • Kelly Criterion: 7.46
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.19
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.23
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-23 04:27:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 189
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 260
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.78
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.68
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
  • Tail Ratio: 1.41
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.57
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.95
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 1.69

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.79%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.69%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.25%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+5.63%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.57%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+3.05%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
42.2%
Total Trades
450
Cumulative
-2.66%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
130.29%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.29%
+4.76%
Simple P&L
-0.75%
-2.96%
Simple P&L
+1.25%
+20.31%
Simple P&L
-2.59%
+9.16%
Simple P&L
+1.96%
-0.02%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
-2.83%
Simple P&L
+2.57%
-5.81%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
+12.52%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+0.94%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+12.45%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
-8.29%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
-0.04%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.52%
-9.42%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+36.71%
Simple P&L
-1.09%
+8.26%
Simple P&L
+2.56%
-0.56%
Simple P&L
-3.09%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
+1.78%
+2.67%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
-0.99%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
-2.63%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
-5.37%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+8.59%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+25.78%
Simple P&L
-0.46%
-9.96%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.53%
-13.56%
Simple P&L
+1.32%
-6.93%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
-11.29%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+2.55%
Simple P&L
-1.31%
+4.09%
Simple P&L
+1.64%
-1.91%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+37.80%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
+13.53%
Simple P&L
+1.48%
+0.69%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

450

Number of Trades

-2.66%

Cumulative Returns

42.22%

Win Rate

2024-06-25

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

5.63%

30 Days

-0.57%

60 Days

5.27%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l78.51.41
Net Profit4575.52457.554577.35457.74-1.83-0.18
Gross Profit25094.122509.4114186.311418.6310907.811090.78
Gross Loss20518.62051.869608.96960.910909.641090.96
Expected Payoff10.1921.49-0.01
Commission Paid1542.99744.94798.05
Buy & Hold Return654.4865.45
Buy & Hold % Gain65.45
Strategy Outperformance3921.04
Max Contracts Held85.08.0
Annualized Return (cagr)70.3970.41-0.06
Return On Initial Capital457.55457.74-0.18
Account Size Required2006.06
Return On Account Size Required228.09228.18-0.09
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)493.2649.33
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1964.59196.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)5523.9284.69
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)552.39
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)427.242.72
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.322.320.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1933.78193.38
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2006.0632.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)200.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1354.021864.76-0.54
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.893.353.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.652.553.1
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades449.0213.0236.0
Number Winning Trades189.093.096.0
Number Losing Trades260.0120.0140.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.0943.6640.68
Avg P&l10.190.2821.490.61-0.01-0.01
Avg Winning Trade132.774.28152.544.69113.623.88
Avg Losing Trade78.922.6380.072.5677.932.68
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6821.9051.458
Largest Winning Trade474.73474.73424.57
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.896.895.85
Largest Losing Trade337.92245.47337.92
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.623.613.62
Avg # Bars In Trades39.040.038.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades43.047.040.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.034.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.368
Sortino Ratio1.41
Profit Factor1.2231.4761.0
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l77.371.39
Net Profit4575.52457.554577.35457.74-1.83-0.18
Gross Profit25094.122509.4114186.311418.6310907.811090.78
Gross Loss20518.62051.869608.96960.910909.641090.96
Expected Payoff10.1921.49-0.01
Commission Paid1542.99744.94798.05
Buy & Hold Return655.4665.55
Buy & Hold % Gain65.55
Strategy Outperformance3920.06
Max Contracts Held85.08.0
Annualized Return (cagr)70.3970.41-0.06
Return On Initial Capital457.55457.74-0.18
Account Size Required2006.06
Return On Account Size Required228.09228.18-0.09
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)493.2649.33
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1964.59196.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)5523.9284.69
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)552.39
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)427.242.72
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.322.320.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1933.78193.38
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2006.0632.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)200.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1354.021864.76-0.54
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.893.353.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.652.553.1
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades449.0213.0236.0
Number Winning Trades189.093.096.0
Number Losing Trades260.0120.0140.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.0943.6640.68
Avg P&l10.190.2821.490.61-0.01-0.01
Avg Winning Trade132.774.28152.544.69113.623.88
Avg Losing Trade78.922.6380.072.5677.932.68
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6821.9051.458
Largest Winning Trade474.73474.73424.57
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.896.895.85
Largest Losing Trade337.92245.47337.92
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.623.613.62
Avg # Bars In Trades39.040.038.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades43.047.040.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.034.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.368
Sortino Ratio1.41
Profit Factor1.2231.4761.0
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 451.77%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 71.46%
Sharpe Ratio 0.369
Profit Factor 1.222
Maximum Drawdown 193.38%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.11%

The strategy shows a cumulative return of 451.77% and an annualized return of 71.46%, suggesting strong absolute performance over the evaluated period. However, the Sharpe Ratio at 0.369 indicates sub-optimal risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.222 suggests that the strategy is profitable, but improvements could enhance profitability further. The Maximum Drawdown significantly exceeds ideal thresholds, signaling potential risk exposure that needs to be managed.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy has potential, but there are crucial areas that require attention. Its ability to achieve substantial returns is promising, yet the high maximum drawdown poses a challenge to its viability in real-world trading. This strategy performs in environments allowing for strong gains but may struggle during market downturns, thus necessitating a focus on risk management optimization.

Risk Management

The strategy needs an enhanced risk management approach:

  • Reduce maximum drawdown by adjusting leverage or using smarter position sizing techniques.
  • Implement robust stop-loss approaches to limit potential downside risk efficiently.
  • Leverage dynamic volatility management tools to mitigate risks during high market fluctuation periods.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy's effectiveness, consider:

  • Optimizing trade entry and exit parameters by integrating additional market sentiment or momentum indicators.
  • Performing rigorous out-of-sample testing to ascertain strategy robustness across different market conditions.
  • Exploring alternative risk management frameworks such as dynamic hedging and portfolio diversification.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy exhibits potential for high returns but is currently hindered by a lower Sharpe Ratio and substantial drawdown. While it shows promise, particularly in favorable market conditions, action is needed to improve risk management and optimize for consistent, sustainable results across different scenarios.

Recommendation: Continue refining the strategy by incorporating suggested improvements. Emphasize enhancement of the risk management framework, particularly focusing on reducing drawdown and improving the Sharpe Ratio for better risk-adjusted performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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