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DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
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Cr3eps Stiffsurge ATOMusdt 45m 01.10.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @cr3eps
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [021e417f]

🛡️ CR3EPS STIFFSURGE ATOMUSDT 45M 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
ATOM
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
5414.38%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.46%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.094
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.72%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
285
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 3, 2024
829
Days
285
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-03 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.51
  • Calmar: -1.52
  • Longest DD Days: 126.00
  • Volatility: 138.58
  • Skew: 0.79
  • Kurtosis: 0.40
  • Expected Daily: 1.02
  • Expected Monthly: 23.84
  • Expected Yearly: 1,200.90
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.34
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -12.05
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -13.21
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 20:20:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 121
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 164
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.52
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.09
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.48
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.09
  • Tail Ratio: 1.60
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.42
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.45
  • Serenity Index: 5.92

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.92%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.43%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+10.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+33.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+15.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+51.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
42.7%
Total Trades
286
Cumulative
-1.06%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
135.78%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-3.28%
+5.19%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+11.48%
Simple P&L
+2.22%
-1.25%
Simple P&L
-1.36%
+19.99%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+11.52%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
-8.25%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
+10.42%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+21.44%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+29.81%
Simple P&L
+0.32%
+8.68%
Simple P&L
-2.30%
+30.64%
Simple P&L
-0.24%
+2.28%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.55%
-16.52%
Simple P&L
+2.58%
-9.08%
Simple P&L
-2.12%
+20.65%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
-4.60%
Simple P&L
-0.16%
+6.76%
Simple P&L
-2.49%
-4.95%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
-7.69%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
-19.41%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-10.29%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

286

Number of Trades

-1.06%

Cumulative Returns

42.66%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

10.93%

30 Days

15.27%

60 Days

33.44%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l4481.160.81
Net Profit541438.495414.38135599.731356.0405838.774058.39
Gross Profit6316209.8263162.13531157.4135311.572785052.427850.52
Gross Loss5774771.3257747.713395557.6833955.582379213.6423792.14
Expected Payoff1899.78961.72818.32
Commission Paid242801.67135004.51107797.17
Buy & Hold Return-8388.48-83.88
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.88
Strategy Outperformance549826.97
Max Contracts Held14020511402051.01136300.0
Annualized Return (cagr)506.77233.42434.46
Return On Initial Capital5414.381356.04058.39
Account Size Required1506118.16
Return On Account Size Required35.959.026.95
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)197303.951973.04
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)977642.79776.43
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1773385.2399.55
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)17733.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)178467.591784.68
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.360.090.27
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1495239.8514952.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1506118.1692.5
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)15061.18
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss226.9956.85230.6
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.6610.126.83
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.137.027.4
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades285.0141.0144.0
Number Winning Trades121.054.067.0
Number Losing Trades164.087.077.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.4638.346.53
Avg P&l1899.780.47961.70.262818.320.69
Avg Winning Trade52200.085.1465391.85.541567.954.85
Avg Losing Trade35212.022.9739029.43.030898.882.93
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4821.6751.345
Largest Winning Trade357268.85357268.85190121.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.916.915.66
Largest Losing Trade238534.81238534.81175993.38
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.223.564.22
Avg # Bars In Trades47.048.046.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades55.053.057.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades41.045.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.498
Sortino Ratio1.509
Profit Factor1.0941.041.171
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l4481.160.81
Net Profit541438.495414.38135599.731356.0405838.774058.39
Gross Profit6316209.8263162.13531157.4135311.572785052.427850.52
Gross Loss5774771.3257747.713395557.6833955.582379213.6423792.14
Expected Payoff1899.78961.72818.32
Commission Paid242801.67135004.51107797.17
Buy & Hold Return-8388.48-83.88
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.88
Strategy Outperformance549826.97
Max Contracts Held14020511402051.01136300.0
Annualized Return (cagr)506.77233.42434.46
Return On Initial Capital5414.381356.04058.39
Account Size Required1506118.16
Return On Account Size Required35.959.026.95
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)197303.951973.04
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)977642.79776.43
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1773385.2399.55
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)17733.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)178467.591784.68
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.360.090.27
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1495239.8514952.4
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1506118.1692.5
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)15061.18
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss226.9956.85230.6
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.6610.126.83
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.137.027.4
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades285.0141.0144.0
Number Winning Trades121.054.067.0
Number Losing Trades164.087.077.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.4638.346.53
Avg P&l1899.780.47961.70.262818.320.69
Avg Winning Trade52200.085.1465391.85.541567.954.85
Avg Losing Trade35212.022.9739029.43.030898.882.93
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4821.6751.345
Largest Winning Trade357268.85357268.85190121.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.916.915.66
Largest Losing Trade238534.81238534.81175993.38
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.223.564.22
Avg # Bars In Trades47.048.046.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades55.053.057.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades41.045.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.498
Sortino Ratio1.509
Profit Factor1.0941.041.171
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 5414.38%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 506.77%
Sharpe Ratio 0.498
Profit Factor 1.09
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar %) 92.50%
Volatility (Annualized) 138.58%

The strategy demonstrates robust returns with a cumulative net profit of 5414.38% despite a highly volatile environment. It shows a remarkable annualized return of 506.77%. The Sharpe ratio is slightly below the threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.09, while positive, suggests more profits are needed relative to losses. The maximum drawdown is notably high, which suggests a substantial risk factor that requires attention.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential due to its high profitability metrics; however, the significant drawdown and modest Sharpe ratio urge caution. It's paramount to understand the specific market conditions where the strategy excels and assess if those conditions are likely to continue. Compared to industry standards, the strategy does demonstrate ambitious profit targets, yet faces challenges in maintaining a favorable risk-adjusted return.

Risk Management

While the strategy seems to succeed in generating profits, its risk metrics show considerable exposure. Specific improvements could include:

  • Adjusting leverage to reduce maximum drawdown and enhance the Calmar ratio, critical for sustaining the position across varying market conditions.
  • Incorporating more dynamic stop-loss measures and adaptable position sizing to mitigate risk from significant adverse market moves.
  • Evaluating potential risk-reduction through diversifying the asset base tracked by the strategy.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s overall effectiveness and sustainability, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimizing leverage strategies to ensure acceptable drawdown levels and improve the Calmar ratio.
  • Utilizing advanced volatility management techniques to address high volatility and further stabilize returns.
  • Exploring additional technical indicators or artificial intelligence methods to refine entry and exit points.
  • Expanding backtesting across diverse market conditions to better gauge robustness and market adaptability.

Final Opinion

The strategy displays compelling profitability but requires further refinement, particularly in risk management to handle high volatility better and drawdown levels. Despite the notable net profit and annual returns, adapting the strategy to reduce drawdown and enhance the Sharpe ratio will be crucial for long-term viability.

Recommendation: Proceed with adjustments to enhance robustness, emphasizing risk management improvements. Implement optimizations suggested to minimize risk exposure during volatile market phases, thus strengthening strategy resilience and reliability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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