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chrismop hacolt xmrusdt 15m 10.02.2026

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @chrismop
● Live

HACOLT by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7482bc63]

🛡️ HACOLT XMRUSDT 15M 10.02.2026

Trading Pair
XMR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 22, 2026
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
105.51%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.68%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.452
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
201
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 4, 2025
254
Days
201
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 20, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-04 15:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.30
  • Calmar: -4.99
  • Longest DD Days: 30.00
  • Volatility: 0.06
  • Skew: -0.04
  • Kurtosis: 1.42
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.14
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-20 01:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 130
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 71
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.99
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.47
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.80
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.47
  • Tail Ratio: 1.06
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.86
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 9.11

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.34%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.11%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3.80%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+10.21%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-7.14%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+37.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
64.7%
Total Trades
201
Cumulative
-1.66%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
62.92%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.24%
+17.60%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
Login to see results
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

201

Number of Trades

-1.66%

Cumulative Returns

64.68%

Win Rate

2026-10-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-3.8%

30 Days

-7.14%

60 Days

10.21%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit105.51105.5159.459.446.1146.11
Gross Profit338.73338.73137.18137.18201.55201.55
Gross Loss233.22233.2277.7977.79155.43155.43
Expected Payoff0.520.770.37
Commission Paid24.710.614.1
Buy & Hold Return14.2214.22
Buy & Hold % Gain14.22
Strategy Outperformance91.29
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)208.25107.2280.87
Return On Initial Capital105.5159.446.11
Account Size Required36.47
Return On Account Size Required289.27162.84126.42
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)12.9612.96
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42.1842.18
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)145.5360.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)145.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)13.2413.24
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.891.631.26
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)35.8235.82
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)36.4715.11
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)36.47
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss927.05626.6405.17
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.227.437.1
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.8812.197.32
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades201.077.0124.0
Number Winning Trades130.055.075.0
Number Losing Trades71.022.049.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.6871.4360.48
Avg P&l0.520.310.770.40.370.26
Avg Winning Trade2.611.582.491.352.691.75
Avg Losing Trade3.282.03.541.973.172.02
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.7930.7050.847
Largest Winning Trade14.310.214.3
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.784.246.78
Largest Losing Trade11.389.4811.38
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.232.674.23
Avg # Bars In Trades20.016.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.014.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.728
Sortino Ratio2.298
Profit Factor1.4521.7641.297
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit105.51105.5159.459.446.1146.11
Gross Profit338.73338.73137.18137.18201.55201.55
Gross Loss233.22233.2277.7977.79155.43155.43
Expected Payoff0.520.770.37
Commission Paid24.710.614.1
Buy & Hold Return14.2214.22
Buy & Hold % Gain14.22
Strategy Outperformance91.29
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)208.25107.2280.87
Return On Initial Capital105.5159.446.11
Account Size Required36.47
Return On Account Size Required289.27162.84126.42
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)12.9612.96
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42.1842.18
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)145.5360.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)145.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)13.2413.24
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.891.631.26
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)35.8235.82
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)36.4715.11
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)36.47
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss927.05626.6405.17
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.227.437.1
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.8812.197.32
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades201.077.0124.0
Number Winning Trades130.055.075.0
Number Losing Trades71.022.049.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.6871.4360.48
Avg P&l0.520.310.770.40.370.26
Avg Winning Trade2.611.582.491.352.691.75
Avg Losing Trade3.282.03.541.973.172.02
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.7930.7050.847
Largest Winning Trade14.310.214.3
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.784.246.78
Largest Losing Trade11.389.4811.38
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.232.674.23
Avg # Bars In Trades20.016.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.014.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.728
Sortino Ratio2.298
Profit Factor1.4521.7641.297
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 105.51%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 208.25%
Sharpe Ratio 0.728
Profit Factor 1.452
Maximum Drawdown 35.82%
Volatility (Annualized) 6%

The strategy presents solid returns with a significant cumulative gain of 105.51% and a robust annualized return of 208.25%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.728 implies good risk-adjusted performance, especially considering the crypto market context. The maximum drawdown of 35.82% remains within an acceptable range for crypto trading, indicating a relatively strong downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world crypto trading. With a strong annualized return and a Sharpe ratio above the critical threshold, the strategy shows promise in terms of risk-reward balance. It is crucial, however, to understand the specific market conditions—such as volatility and trends—under which the strategy performs optimally, ensuring those conditions align with future market behavior.

Risk Management

The strategy employs fairly adequate risk management techniques, as suggested by the manageable drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, improvements can be considered in the following areas:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to manage exposure in varying market conditions and reduce potential losses.
  • Adopting tighter stop-loss measures to further control downside risk.
  • Utilizing a diversified asset pool to mitigate unsystematic risk across the trading portfolio.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following improvements:

  • Optimize parameter settings to balance risk and reward, particularly to further mitigate drawdowns.
  • Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points, potentially increasing win rates and payoff ratios.
  • Conduct further testing, including out-of-sample and forward-testing, to ensure strategy durability across various market states.
  • Integrate advanced risk management tools like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis for more comprehensive risk control.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy demonstrates commendable performance with excellent returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. The drawdown, while relatively controlled, suggests room for improvement in volatility management. Yet, the strategy's overall strength and adaptability make it a promising candidate for further refinement and testing.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy, focusing on optimization and validation across various market environments. Implement recommended improvements to fortify the risk management framework and adapt to higher market volatility more effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Intact
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--
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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