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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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chibuku wolfbear taousdt 45m 17.12.2024

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TREND FOLLOWING 45 minutes @chibuku
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [44af1414]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR TAOUSDT 45M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
TAO
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.92% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
601.65%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
56.97%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.315
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.21%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
251
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 12, 2024
709
Days
251
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 20, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-02-12 05:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.74
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.13
  • Calmar: -5.88
  • Longest DD Days: 82.00
  • Volatility: 64.09
  • Skew: -0.09
  • Kurtosis: -0.73
  • Expected Daily: 0.85
  • Expected Monthly: 19.51
  • Expected Yearly: 748.79
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.86
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.67
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-20 12:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 143
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 108
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.88
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.32
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.00
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.32
  • Tail Ratio: 1.43
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.11
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.75
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 56.94

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.53%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+0.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.87%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-2.48%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+3.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-5.77%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.24%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
57.0%
Total Trades
251
Cumulative
-2.63%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
151.53%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-5.44%
-2.02%
Simple P&L
+4.83%
+11.83%
Simple P&L
+0.56%
+12.38%
Simple P&L
-3.22%
+21.76%
Simple P&L
+1.61%
+13.42%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+19.57%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+15.29%
Simple P&L
-4.03%
+14.15%
Simple P&L
+0.62%
+4.03%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
+24.89%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
+5.96%
Simple P&L
2025
+3.64%
-0.22%
Simple P&L
-0.35%
+14.58%
Simple P&L
+1.93%
+12.20%
Simple P&L
-2.38%
-6.00%
Simple P&L
+2.07%
+6.24%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+0.49%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

251

Number of Trades

-2.63%

Cumulative Returns

56.97%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

3.75%

30 Days

-5.77%

60 Days

5.57%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l9834.891.66
Net Profit492037.21492.04358334.09358.33133703.12133.7
Gross Profit748901.45748.9513841.64513.84235059.81235.06
Gross Loss256864.24256.86155507.55155.51101356.69101.36
Expected Payoff4686.076515.172674.06
Commission Paid24543.1413373.6711169.46
Buy & Hold Return-3814.96-3.81
Buy & Hold % Gain-3.81
Strategy Outperformance495852.17
Max Contracts Held16081608.01346.0
Annualized Return (cagr)652.8462.98162.1
Return On Initial Capital492.04358.33133.7
Account Size Required52283.02
Return On Account Size Required941.1685.37255.73
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)51243.851.24
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)215145.65215.15
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)507881.2984.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)507.88
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)17022.8617.02
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown9.67.042.75
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)38099.1738.1
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)52283.0215.5
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)52.28
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2262.882294.06614.9
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.768.47.16
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.4710.0421.45
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades105.055.050.0
Number Winning Trades72.033.039.0
Number Losing Trades33.022.011.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable68.5760.078.0
Avg P&l4686.071.446515.171.542674.061.34
Avg Winning Trade10401.414.0115570.965.46027.172.83
Avg Losing Trade7783.764.157068.524.249214.243.97
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3362.2030.654
Largest Winning Trade43158.1243158.1216823.16
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.44.05
Largest Losing Trade21743.8915620.0821743.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.616.516.61
Avg # Bars In Trades16.019.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.020.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.017.016.0
Sharpe Ratio1.824
Sortino Ratio
Profit Factor2.9163.3042.319
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit601647.87601.65343899.38343.9257748.49257.75
Gross Profit2512738.82512.741437233.731437.231075505.071075.51
Gross Loss1911090.931911.091093334.351093.33817756.58817.76
Expected Payoff23972751.22045.62
Commission Paid115636.2454709.8560926.4
Buy & Hold Return-57025.72-57.03
Buy & Hold % Gain-57.03
Strategy Outperformance658673.59
Max Contracts Held52104772.05210.0
Annualized Return (cagr)167.92112.5390.56
Return On Initial Capital601.65343.9257.75
Account Size Required263870.27
Return On Account Size Required228.01130.3397.68
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)65964.3665.96
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)231740.72231.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)793763.8889.36
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)793.76
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)47168.247.17
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.281.30.98
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)256148.54256.15
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)263870.2730.31
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)263.87
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss928.51530.73491.16
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.384.163.1
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.395.936.42
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades251.0125.0126.0
Number Winning Trades143.060.083.0
Number Losing Trades108.065.043.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable56.9748.065.87
Avg P&l2397.00.62751.20.612045.620.6
Avg Winning Trade17571.63.8923953.95.412957.892.81
Avg Losing Trade17695.293.7516820.533.8119017.593.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9931.4240.681
Largest Winning Trade59834.3459834.3433319.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.45.44.05
Largest Losing Trade64797.3264797.3252477.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.616.516.61
Avg # Bars In Trades19.024.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.025.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.022.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.738
Sortino Ratio2.131
Profit Factor1.3151.3151.315
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 620.53%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 171.92%
Sharpe Ratio 0.748
Profit Factor 1.328
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility (Annualized) 64.02%

The strategy demonstrates robust performance with a cumulative return of 620.53% and continues to provide an impressive annualized return of 171.92%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.748 is commendable, especially in the volatile context of crypto markets. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of 0% indicates exceptional risk control, a striking highlight of this strategy.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears highly viable for real-world trading. Its strong return metrics and moderate risk-adjusted performance position it well ahead of industry standards. However, it is crucial to ensure that the favorable market conditions that accentuate its strengths are likely to continue. The ratio of consecutive wins to losses, paired with a win rate of 57.2%, strengthens its efficacy in dynamic markets.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management techniques are effective, as seen in the absence of drawdown and zero margin calls. Despite its commendable performance, there are opportunities to refine risk management further:

  • Continue monitoring leverage use to ensure constant drawdown levels remain low under evolving market conditions.
  • Enhance volatility management by incorporating tools such as the Average True Range (ATR) to better adapt position sizes.
  • Diversify the trade portfolio to manage potential sector-specific risks better.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and resilience further, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize trade entry and exit criteria by analyzing a broader array of indicators to refine strategic entry/exit points.
  • Conduct additional outlier analysis to understand impacts on the payoff ratio and identify potential optimizations.
  • Focus on improving the ratio of average win to average loss to exceed parity, thereby increasing profit margins.
  • Engage in periodic reassessment and stress testing to validate strategy adaptability to rapid market changes.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates substantial potential with high returns, a commendable Sharpe Ratio, and outstanding drawdown management. While there is room for optimization, especially in managing volatility and profit margins, the current strategy is predominantly strong.

Recommendation: Proceed with confidence in the strategy, implementing suggested improvements for heightened robustness and adaptive risk management. Regular testing and parameter optimization are essential to ensure sustained performance in diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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