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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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chibuku aininjaturtle aaveusdt 45m 27.08

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @chibuku
● Live

AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b61cfc79]

🛡️ AININJATURTLE AAVEUSDT 45M 27.08

Trading Pair
AAVE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - September 6, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 week ago
Total Return Primary
99.7%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
74.18%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.089
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.48%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
643
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 20, 2024
802
Days
643
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-20 02:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.25
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.54
  • Calmar: -0.97
  • Longest DD Days: 174.00
  • Volatility: 40.52
  • Skew: -0.98
  • Kurtosis: 0.48
  • Expected Daily: 0.15
  • Expected Monthly: 3.11
  • Expected Yearly: 44.43
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.79
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.99
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.08
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 11:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 21
  • Number Winning Trades 477
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 166
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.97
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.10
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.38
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.10
  • Tail Ratio: 0.69
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.71
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 2.57

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-2.06%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-3.86%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.63%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+8.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+107.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+60.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+213.29%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
74.2%
Total Trades
643
Cumulative
-4.88%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,415.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-0.24%
+6.24%
Simple P&L
-4.54%
+10.69%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+70.20%
Simple P&L
+2.42%
+77.85%
Simple P&L
-2.07%
+30.60%
Simple P&L
+1.65%
+54.01%
Simple P&L
-2.87%
+94.55%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+85.65%
Simple P&L
+1.64%
+37.31%
Simple P&L
+2.84%
+22.21%
Simple P&L
-1.35%
+110.03%
Simple P&L
-0.45%
+126.52%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.40%
+60.39%
Simple P&L
-0.35%
+22.59%
Simple P&L
+1.84%
+23.14%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+59.87%
Simple P&L
+1.98%
+67.05%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+82.97%
Simple P&L
-0.73%
+34.46%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+106.30%
Simple P&L
-2.13%
+14.63%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

643

Number of Trades

-4.88%

Cumulative Returns

74.18%

Win Rate

2024-08-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

8.75%

30 Days

60.45%

60 Days

107.6%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit99699.4899.798143.6598.141555.831.56
Gross Profit1214192.261214.19631742.29631.74582449.96582.45
Gross Loss1114492.781114.49533598.65533.6580894.13580.89
Expected Payoff155.05292.975.05
Commission Paid45451.6123611.8121839.8
Buy & Hold Return15836.1215.84
Buy & Hold % Gain15.84
Strategy Outperformance83863.36
Max Contracts Held25722190.02572.0
Annualized Return (cagr)36.4936.010.7
Return On Initial Capital99.798.141.56
Account Size Required93552.39
Return On Account Size Required106.57104.911.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)24121.5724.12
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)99203.5599.2
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)194318.1270.2
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)194.32
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27944.7727.94
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.071.050.02
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)91829.7191.83
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)93552.3939.73
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)93.55
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss451.66444.618.27
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.91.381.87
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.984.143.24
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades643.0335.0308.0
Number Winning Trades477.0251.0226.0
Number Losing Trades166.084.082.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable74.1874.9373.38
Avg P&l155.052.2292.972.285.052.12
Avg Winning Trade2545.484.272516.94.222577.214.32
Avg Losing Trade6713.813.746352.363.517084.073.97
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3790.3960.364
Largest Winning Trade10878.538724.2710878.53
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.737.727.73
Largest Losing Trade22073.8922073.8918809.27
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.578.578.33
Avg # Bars In Trades23.024.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.024.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.025.020.0
Sharpe Ratio0.247
Sortino Ratio0.535
Profit Factor1.0891.1841.003
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit99699.4899.798143.6598.141555.831.56
Gross Profit1214192.261214.19631742.29631.74582449.96582.45
Gross Loss1114492.781114.49533598.65533.6580894.13580.89
Expected Payoff155.05292.975.05
Commission Paid45451.6123611.8121839.8
Buy & Hold Return15836.1215.84
Buy & Hold % Gain15.84
Strategy Outperformance83863.36
Max Contracts Held25722190.02572.0
Annualized Return (cagr)36.4936.010.7
Return On Initial Capital99.798.141.56
Account Size Required93552.39
Return On Account Size Required106.57104.911.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)24121.5724.12
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)99203.5599.2
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)194318.1270.2
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)194.32
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27944.7727.94
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.071.050.02
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)91829.7191.83
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)93552.3939.73
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)93.55
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss451.66444.618.27
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.91.381.87
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.984.143.24
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades643.0335.0308.0
Number Winning Trades477.0251.0226.0
Number Losing Trades166.084.082.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable74.1874.9373.38
Avg P&l155.052.2292.972.285.052.12
Avg Winning Trade2545.484.272516.94.222577.214.32
Avg Losing Trade6713.813.746352.363.517084.073.97
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3790.3960.364
Largest Winning Trade10878.538724.2710878.53
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.737.727.73
Largest Losing Trade22073.8922073.8918809.27
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.578.578.33
Avg # Bars In Trades23.024.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.024.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.025.020.0
Sharpe Ratio0.247
Sortino Ratio0.535
Profit Factor1.0891.1841.003
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics deserve attention to gauge the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 36.49%
Sharpe Ratio 0.247
Profit Factor 1.089
Maximum Drawdown 39.73%
Volatility (Annualized) 40.52%
Percent Profitable 74.18%

The strategy shows a solid annualized return of 36.49%, which is impressive. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.247 indicates room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. While the maximum drawdown of 39.73% is below the acceptable threshold of 40%, it highlights the need for tighter risk management given the inherent volatility of crypto markets. The drawdown can be decreased by managing leverage usage effectively. Despite these challenges, a high win rate of 74.18% underscores the strategy's profitability potential.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data, the strategy displays potential for real-world trading. It operates well under current market conditions, which are typified by high volatility and rapid price movements in the cryptocurrency sector. However, the Sharpe ratio and lower-than-desired profit factor suggest that improvements are necessary to align closer with industry benchmarks. The strategy's high annualized return compared to the benchmark highlights its capability to capture gains effectively.

Risk Management

The strategy requires adjustment in its risk management techniques to secure its vibrant returns. Key areas for improvement could include:

  • Implementing stricter position sizing controls to reduce excessive exposure during volatile periods.
  • Enhancing stop-loss mechanisms to limit downside risk, particularly during unfavorable market conditions.
  • Employing diversification strategies to mitigate sector-specific risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Optimize leverage usage to reduce the maximum drawdown percentage further and stabilize returns.
  • Integrate additional technical and fundamental indicators to refine trade entry and exit points.
  • Conduct further testing, including back and forward testing, to ensure it holds up under diverse market scenarios.
  • Incorporate scenario analysis and stress testing to adapt better to extreme market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a high potential return with a robust win rate, it falls short in terms of risk-adjusted returns. With the proposed risk management and optimization changes, it can become more viable and reliable across various market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining the strategy, focusing on risk management and parameter optimization. By doing so, the probability of enhancing profitability while reducing exposure to downside risks looks promising. Further testing and adaptation to market trends remain critical to the strategy's ongoing success.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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