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bunie33 williams opusdt 1h 30.07

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CONFIRMATION BASED 1 hour @bunie33
● Live

Williams by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fb21b29a]

🛡️ WILLIAMS OPUSDT 1H 30.07

Trading Pair
OP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 week ago
Total Return Primary
64.27%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
71.23%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.048
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
4.36%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1404
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 6, 2023
1,180
Days
1404
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-06 15:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.18
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.28
  • Calmar: -0.14
  • Longest DD Days: 792.00
  • Volatility: 0.04
  • Skew: -2.16
  • Kurtosis: 7.94
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.00
  • Expected Yearly: 0.01
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.32
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 20:54:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 17
  • Number Winning Trades 1,000
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 404
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.14
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.05
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.42
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.05
  • Tail Ratio: 0.48
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.71
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.36
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.22

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.35%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.94%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.87%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.16%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+63.23%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+268.48%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+214.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+391.02%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
71.2%
Total Trades
1405
Cumulative
-0.17%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
3,403.55%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-5.15%
+127.44%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
+170.89%
Simple P&L
+1.24%
+171.20%
Simple P&L
-1.69%
+58.00%
Simple P&L
+2.90%
+134.89%
Simple P&L
-5.36%
+94.42%
Simple P&L
+4.76%
+83.21%
Simple P&L
+5.36%
+80.11%
Simple P&L
-0.91%
+47.10%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+79.14%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+56.58%
Simple P&L
-23.20%
+146.40%
Simple P&L
2024
+23.72%
+88.67%
Simple P&L
+4.10%
+58.52%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+63.20%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+116.58%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+82.84%
Simple P&L
-2.39%
+69.61%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+95.07%
Simple P&L
+1.69%
+84.21%
Simple P&L
+2.11%
+56.38%
Simple P&L
+6.51%
+64.85%
Simple P&L
+2.01%
+156.09%
Simple P&L
-3.67%
+40.91%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.49%
+51.89%
Simple P&L
+0.64%
+58.03%
Simple P&L
-3.21%
+64.80%
Simple P&L
+2.82%
+107.46%
Simple P&L
-6.86%
+190.25%
Simple P&L
+6.33%
+79.63%
Simple P&L
+1.83%
+101.93%
Simple P&L
-3.62%
+54.25%
Simple P&L
+2.21%
+62.14%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1405

Number of Trades

-0.17%

Cumulative Returns

71.17%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

63.23%

30 Days

214.62%

60 Days

268.48%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l0.420.25
Net Profit64.2764.2731.6131.6132.6632.66
Gross Profit1397.251397.25642.46642.46754.78754.78
Gross Loss1332.981332.98610.86610.86722.12722.12
Expected Payoff0.050.050.04
Commission Paid63.5230.932.62
Buy & Hold Return-88.49-88.49
Buy & Hold % Gain-88.49
Strategy Outperformance152.76
Max Contracts Held699641.0699.0
Annualized Return (cagr)16.648.899.16
Return On Initial Capital64.2731.6132.66
Account Size Required144.7
Return On Account Size Required44.4121.8422.57
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14.3114.31
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44.5844.58
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)187.3866.09
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)187.38
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)50 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)23.1623.16
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.450.220.23
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)141.08141.08
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)144.751.65
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)144.7
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss315.57316.54160.38
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.711.550.7
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.531.632.82
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades1404.0671.0733.0
Number Winning Trades1000.0466.0534.0
Number Losing Trades404.0205.0199.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable71.2369.4572.85
Avg P&l0.052.420.052.280.042.55
Avg Winning Trade1.45.31.385.181.415.42
Avg Losing Trade3.34.72.984.33.635.12
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4230.4630.39
Largest Winning Trade9.969.965.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent19.817.1519.8
Largest Losing Trade20.379.9820.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent22.2311.1222.23
Avg # Bars In Trades29.026.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.024.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades33.031.034.0
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Sortino Ratio0.284
Profit Factor1.0481.0521.045
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l0.390.24
Net Profit64.2764.2731.6131.6132.6632.66
Gross Profit1397.251397.25642.46642.46754.78754.78
Gross Loss1332.981332.98610.86610.86722.12722.12
Expected Payoff0.050.050.04
Commission Paid63.5230.932.62
Buy & Hold Return-88.48-88.48
Buy & Hold % Gain-88.48
Strategy Outperformance152.75
Max Contracts Held699641.0699.0
Annualized Return (cagr)16.648.899.16
Return On Initial Capital64.2731.6132.66
Account Size Required144.7
Return On Account Size Required44.4121.8422.57
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14.3114.31
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44.5844.58
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)187.3866.09
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)187.38
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)50 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)23.1623.16
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.450.220.23
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)141.08141.08
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)144.751.65
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)144.7
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss315.57316.54160.38
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.711.550.7
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.531.632.82
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades1404.0671.0733.0
Number Winning Trades1000.0466.0534.0
Number Losing Trades404.0205.0199.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable71.2369.4572.85
Avg P&l0.052.420.052.280.042.55
Avg Winning Trade1.45.31.385.181.415.42
Avg Losing Trade3.34.72.984.33.635.12
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4230.4630.39
Largest Winning Trade9.969.965.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent19.817.1519.8
Largest Losing Trade20.379.9820.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent22.2311.1222.23
Avg # Bars In Trades29.026.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.024.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades33.031.034.0
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Sortino Ratio0.284
Profit Factor1.0481.0521.045
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 64.27%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 16.64%
Sharpe Ratio 0.18
Profit Factor 1.048
Maximum Drawdown 144.7%
Volatility (Annualized) 4%

While the strategy shows a positive cumulative return and decent annualized return, there are notable risks including a high maximum drawdown of 144.7%, which exceeds the acceptable threshold. The Sharpe ratio of 0.18 is significantly below the desired range for crypto investments, suggesting weak risk-adjusted returns. A profit factor of 1.048 indicates marginal profitability, where the gains are only slightly higher than the losses. However, the strategy does maintain a high win rate of 71.23%.

Strategy Viability

Currently, the strategy faces challenges in terms of viability for real-world trading, primarily due to its high drawdowns and low Sharpe ratio. While the market conditions could change, relying on such a strategy without adjustments may not be optimal due to its insufficient protection against downturns. The strategy's performance underperforms compared to industry benchmarks or similar successful strategies regarding drawdown management and risk-adjusted returns.

Risk Management

The strategy’s risk management approach requires improvement, particularly in managing high drawdowns and enhancing risk-adjusted returns. Recommendations include:

  • Reducing leverage to mitigate high drawdowns and exposure to market stress.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss mechanisms to prevent significant losses.
  • Exploring the use of position sizing tactics that adapt to market volatility, potentially balancing profit potential with risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Review and appropriately adjust leverage usage to manage drawdown scenarios better.
  • Incorporate more diverse indicators or signals that could aid in better entry and exit points.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting and stress testing under varied market conditions to ensure robustness.
  • Refine the risk management framework to tackle market fluctuations effectively and enhance the strategy's overall stability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy possesses some promising aspects such as a high win rate, but it is currently overshadowed by factors like high drawdowns and low risk-adjusted metrics. Improvements in risk management and strategic adjustments are crucial to transforming this strategy into a viable option for real-world trading.

Recommendation: Prioritize further testing and optimization by implementing the suggested improvements. With focused enhancement and a commitment to robust risk management, the strategy could potentially achieve a more sustainable and profitable performance profile.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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