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bunie33 williams opusdt 1h 30.07

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CONFIRMATION BASED 1 hour @bunie33
● Live

Williams by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fb21b29a]

🛡️ WILLIAMS OPUSDT 1H 30.07

Trading Pair
OP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
186.56%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
71.26%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
49.34%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.082
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1437
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 7, 2022
1,218
Days
1437
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-06-07 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.57
  • Calmar: -0.31
  • Longest DD Days: 591.00
  • Volatility: 5.75
  • Skew: -2.13
  • Kurtosis: 7.60
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.27
  • Expected Yearly: 3.30
  • Kelly Criterion: 5.44
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.74
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.05
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 18
  • Number Winning Trades 1,024
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 413
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.31
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.08
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.44
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.08
  • Tail Ratio: 0.47
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.47
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.31
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 1.02

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+8.95%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-22.87%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-43.70%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+26.80%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+31.90%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+148.69%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+44.67%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+509.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
71.3%
Total Trades
1438
Cumulative
187.60%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
3,886.19%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+7.10%
+133.83%
Simple P&L
+24.60%
+281.41%
Simple P&L
-4.23%
+116.90%
Simple P&L
+4.88%
+89.04%
Simple P&L
+10.53%
+128.51%
Simple P&L
+18.49%
+86.79%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+39.69%
Simple P&L
2023
+17.75%
+159.22%
Simple P&L
+31.86%
+172.05%
Simple P&L
+31.59%
+172.38%
Simple P&L
+8.11%
+58.74%
Simple P&L
+20.78%
+136.24%
Simple P&L
+2.96%
+95.48%
Simple P&L
+31.21%
+83.91%
Simple P&L
+19.72%
+81.23%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
+48.22%
Simple P&L
+6.36%
+80.61%
Simple P&L
+20.55%
+57.34%
Simple P&L
+45.32%
+147.84%
Simple P&L
2024
-10.15%
+89.76%
Simple P&L
+17.63%
+59.36%
Simple P&L
+2.83%
+64.29%
Simple P&L
+13.48%
+118.03%
Simple P&L
+24.53%
+83.73%
Simple P&L
+8.44%
+70.32%
Simple P&L
-24.44%
+96.54%
Simple P&L
-28.54%
+85.85%
Simple P&L
-9.87%
+57.79%
Simple P&L
+4.63%
+65.96%
Simple P&L
+75.68%
+157.32%
Simple P&L
-93.84%
+42.10%
Simple P&L
2025
-41.81%
+53.35%
Simple P&L
-56.98%
+59.34%
Simple P&L
-4.42%
+66.18%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1438

Number of Trades

187.6%

Cumulative Returns

71.28%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

31.9%

30 Days

44.67%

60 Days

148.69%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l106.380.37
Net Profit18655.85186.5614527.55145.284128.341.28
Gross Profit246646.982466.47119434.111194.34127212.871272.13
Gross Loss227991.132279.91104906.561049.07123084.571230.85
Commission Paid7748.463793.113955.35
Buy & Hold Return-3954.75-39.55
Max Equity Run-up40843.880.9
Max Drawdown24612.8849.34
Max Contracts Held30542.027379.030542.0
Total Closed Trades1437.0701.0736.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades1024.0499.0525.0
Number Losing Trades413.0202.0211.0
Percent Profitable71.2671.1871.33
Avg P&l12.982.720.722.765.612.65
Avg Winning Trade240.875.78239.355.77242.315.78
Avg Losing Trade552.044.92519.344.7583.345.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4360.4610.415
Largest Winning Trade1800.731800.73962.81
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.2923.535.29
Largest Losing Trade3696.81762.333696.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent22.220.9422.2
Avg # Bars In Trades29.025.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.022.031.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades34.031.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.305
Sortino Ratio0.57
Profit Factor1.0821.1381.034
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l106.380.37
Net Profit18655.85186.5614527.55145.284128.341.28
Gross Profit246646.982466.47119434.111194.34127212.871272.13
Gross Loss227991.132279.91104906.561049.07123084.571230.85
Commission Paid7748.463793.113955.35
Buy & Hold Return-3954.75-39.55
Max Equity Run-up40843.880.9
Max Drawdown24612.8849.34
Max Contracts Held30542.027379.030542.0
Total Closed Trades1437.0701.0736.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades1024.0499.0525.0
Number Losing Trades413.0202.0211.0
Percent Profitable71.2671.1871.33
Avg P&l12.982.720.722.765.612.65
Avg Winning Trade240.875.78239.355.77242.315.78
Avg Losing Trade552.044.92519.344.7583.345.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4360.4610.415
Largest Winning Trade1800.731800.73962.81
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.2923.535.29
Largest Losing Trade3696.81762.333696.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent22.220.9422.2
Avg # Bars In Trades29.025.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.022.031.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades34.031.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.305
Sortino Ratio0.57
Profit Factor1.0821.1381.034
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 5.41%
Sharpe Ratio 0.305
Profit Factor 1.08
Maximum Drawdown -49.34%
Volatility (Annualized) 5.75%
Percent Profitable 71.26%

The strategy exhibits a moderate annualized return of 5.41%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.305, while below our target of 0.5, indicates some room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of -49.34% is notably high, surpassing the acceptable threshold, which requires attention to risk management although the Percent Profitable is a promising 71.26%.

Strategy Viability

The strategy's viability for real-world trading is mixed under the current conditions. It shows a good profit factor of 1.08, suggesting more profits than losses, but the higher drawdown presents significant risk. The strategy may perform best in stable market conditions, considering its high win rate but requires improvement in risk management to enhance stability under volatile conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach shows a need for development, particularly to manage large drawdowns and low Sharpe Ratio. Recommendations include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower maximum drawdown and improve stability.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss strategies to protect gains and cap losses.
  • Enhancing position sizing methodologies to dynamically adjust exposures based on changing volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following:

  • Optimize trading parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and overall returns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit points, thus potentially improving the average return per trade.
  • Conduct further testing and analysis on different market conditions to understand where the strategy excels or falters.
  • Enhance the risk management framework, perhaps exploring scenario analysis to assess impact during unprecedented market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has an impressive win rate and reasonable returns but faces challenges with higher drawdowns and lower risk-adjusted performance. Its strengths lie in profitability despite tough conditions, yet it requires substantial adjustments and testing before proceeding further.

Recommendation: Modify and test the strategy further, focusing on risk management improvements and parameter optimization. Aim for greater consistency in returns with attempts to lower drawdowns sustainably, unlocking the strategy's full potential for robust performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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