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DaviddTech
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bunie33 williams opusdt 1h 30.07

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CONFIRMATION BASED 1 hour @bunie33
● Live

Williams by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fb21b29a]

🛡️ WILLIAMS OPUSDT 1H 30.07

Trading Pair
OP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.25% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
159.22%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
70.76%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.069
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-144.93%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1546
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 7, 2022
1,299
Days
1546
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 27, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-06-07 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.27
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.48
  • Calmar: -0.19
  • Longest DD Days: 700.00
  • Volatility: 0.07
  • Skew: -2.24
  • Kurtosis: 8.87
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.00
  • Expected Yearly: 0.03
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-27 16:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 18
  • Number Winning Trades 1,094
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 452
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.19
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.07
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.44
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.07
  • Tail Ratio: 0.47
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.93
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.45
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.45

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-26.64%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-13.27%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-12.39%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-27.28%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.25%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-8.97%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+136.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+103.65%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+357.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
70.7%
Total Trades
1547
Cumulative
159.29%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
4,038.54%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+6.97%
+133.30%
Simple P&L
+24.18%
+279.93%
Simple P&L
-4.53%
+115.79%
Simple P&L
+4.54%
+88.07%
Simple P&L
+10.04%
+127.19%
Simple P&L
+18.18%
+86.36%
Simple P&L
+0.95%
+38.64%
Simple P&L
2023
+15.67%
+157.82%
Simple P&L
+30.84%
+170.95%
Simple P&L
+29.83%
+171.27%
Simple P&L
+7.54%
+58.04%
Simple P&L
+19.62%
+134.96%
Simple P&L
+2.27%
+94.52%
Simple P&L
+30.00%
+83.24%
Simple P&L
+11.66%
+80.22%
Simple P&L
-2.08%
+47.16%
Simple P&L
+10.13%
+79.28%
Simple P&L
+19.41%
+56.64%
Simple P&L
+42.56%
+146.46%
Simple P&L
2024
-10.61%
+88.71%
Simple P&L
+9.42%
+58.54%
Simple P&L
+1.84%
+63.22%
Simple P&L
+22.63%
+116.63%
Simple P&L
+26.26%
+82.88%
Simple P&L
+7.47%
+69.66%
Simple P&L
-22.52%
+95.21%
Simple P&L
-25.83%
+84.38%
Simple P&L
-8.01%
+56.44%
Simple P&L
-5.34%
+64.90%
Simple P&L
+66.83%
+156.15%
Simple P&L
-88.82%
+40.94%
Simple P&L
2025
-39.94%
+52.00%
Simple P&L
-47.55%
+58.14%
Simple P&L
-4.85%
+64.92%
Simple P&L
-1.93%
+107.71%
Simple P&L
+20.48%
+190.52%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1547

Number of Trades

159.29%

Cumulative Returns

70.72%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-8.97%

30 Days

103.65%

60 Days

136.62%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l-2.63-0.64
Net Profit309.38309.38191.97191.97117.41117.41
Gross Profit1408.471408.47704.32704.32704.15704.15
Gross Loss1099.091099.09512.35512.35586.74586.74
Expected Payoff0.350.450.26
Commission Paid55.6426.7228.93
Buy & Hold Return25.5725.57
Buy & Hold % Gain25.57
Strategy Outperformance283.81
Max Contracts Held178146.0178.0
Annualized Return (cagr)91.6963.9943.12
Return On Initial Capital309.38191.97117.41
Account Size Required71.21
Return On Account Size Required434.49269.6164.89
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)12 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)21.2721.27
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)75.1775.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)381.7579.84
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)381.75
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21.121.1
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.312.661.61
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)68.2368.23
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)71.2118.21
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)71.21
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss944.321140.39358.37
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.620.991.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.983.295.58
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades877.0428.0449.0
Number Winning Trades639.0316.0323.0
Number Losing Trades238.0112.0126.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable72.8673.8371.94
Avg P&l0.353.10.453.340.262.88
Avg Winning Trade2.26.112.236.32.185.92
Avg Losing Trade4.624.964.575.034.664.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4770.4870.468
Largest Winning Trade8.686.958.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.2623.4635.26
Largest Losing Trade32.7616.8332.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent20.9720.9714.95
Avg # Bars In Trades32.027.036.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.024.034.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.035.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.684
Sortino Ratio1.901
Profit Factor1.2811.3751.2
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l0.090.03
Net Profit159.22159.22105.95105.9553.2753.27
Gross Profit2468.32468.31171.961171.961296.341296.34
Gross Loss2309.082309.081066.011066.011243.071243.07
Expected Payoff0.10.140.07
Commission Paid108.9553.2655.69
Buy & Hold Return-78.93-78.93
Buy & Hold % Gain-78.93
Strategy Outperformance238.15
Max Contracts Held472442.0472.0
Annualized Return (cagr)30.5222.3912.68
Return On Initial Capital159.22105.9553.27
Account Size Required239.39
Return On Account Size Required66.5144.2622.25
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)21.6921.69
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)75.1775.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)381.7579.84
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)381.75
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)29.0329.03
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.670.440.22
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)234.9234.9
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)239.3950.67
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)239.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss463.25629.42154.98
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.681.430.69
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.491.582.77
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades1546.0750.0796.0
Number Winning Trades1094.0526.0568.0
Number Losing Trades452.0224.0228.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.7670.1371.36
Avg P&l0.12.610.142.580.072.64
Avg Winning Trade2.265.682.235.632.285.73
Avg Losing Trade5.114.834.764.585.455.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4420.4680.419
Largest Winning Trade16.8116.818.96
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.2623.4635.26
Largest Losing Trade34.3716.8334.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent22.2320.9722.23
Avg # Bars In Trades28.025.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.022.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades34.031.037.0
Sharpe Ratio0.265
Sortino Ratio0.478
Profit Factor1.0691.0991.043
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 159.22%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 4%
Sharpe Ratio 0.265
Profit Factor 1.069
Maximum Drawdown 50.67%
Volatility 7%

The strategy demonstrates a net profit of 159.22% and a respectable win rate of 70.76%. Although the Sharpe Ratio is below the desired 0.5 benchmark, indicating lower risk-adjusted returns, the strategy’s consistent performance and profitability are evident. The maximum drawdown of 50.67% is higher than ideal, suggesting an area of concern for capital preservation.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential viability in real-world trading due to its profitable outcome and high win rate. However, there are notable challenges, particularly with risk-adjusted returns as indicated by a Sharpe Ratio below the ideal threshold and a high maximum drawdown. The market conditions favoring this strategy should be analyzed to ensure sustainability.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach needs enhancement to reduce vulnerability. The observed drawdown suggests excessive exposure, which can be curtailed by:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease drawdown levels significantly.
  • Employing stricter stop-loss mechanisms to cap losses at acceptable levels.
  • Incorporating risk metrics like Tail Risk to better anticipate extreme market moves.

Improvement Suggestions

To augment the strategy’s robustness and effectiveness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters to find a better balance between trade-offs concerning profit and drawdowns.
  • Implement more sophisticated technical indicators for refined entry and exit strategies.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting over different market phases to assess strategy adaptability to varied conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has foundation strength with good profitability but requires improvement in managing drawdowns and boosting its risk-adjusted performance. Particular attention should be paid to optimizing leverage and risk controls to better align with capital preservation goals.

Recommendation: Modify the strategy by incorporating the suggested risk management enhancements and improvement strategies. With additional testing and optimization, this strategy holds promise for effective utilization in crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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