TRENDHOO BTCUSD 1D - @
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 5 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-08 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 0.65
- Calmar: -1.32
- Longest DD Days: 33.00
- Volatility: 27.37
- Skew: -0.07
- Kurtosis: -1,259.28
- Expected Daily: 0.45
- Expected Monthly: 9.80
- Expected Yearly: 207.05
- Kelly Criterion: 22.45
- Risk of Ruin: 80.88
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.52
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.76
- Last Trade Date: 2024-09-05 00:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 67
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 56
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.32
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.68
- Payoff Ratio: 1.36
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.68
- Tail Ratio: 1.44
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 7.73
- Ulcer Index: 0.25
- Serenity Index: 3.62
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 73.87% |
Annualized Return | 220.89% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.345 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.696 |
Maximum Drawdown | 9.73% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 27.34% |
The strategy demonstrates a respectable net profit of 73.87% and an impressive annualized return of 220.89%. The maximum drawdown of 9.73% is low, showing the strategy's ability to manage downside risk effectively. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.345 and the Sortino Ratio of 0.696 reflect moderate risk-adjusted returns, indicating some room for improvement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading. It exhibits solid performance even during volatile periods, as indicated by its robust annualized return and manageable drawdown. However, the Sharpe and Sortino ratios suggest that there's room for optimizing risk-adjusted returns. Evaluating the market conditions where the strategy performs best and anticipating the persistence of these conditions will be critical for continued success.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management is commendable, as demonstrated by the relatively low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, analyzing volatility and the Gain/Pain Ratio (1.7429828093015136) reveals opportunities for further enhancement:
- Implement dynamic position sizing to adjust risk exposure in response to market volatility.
- Introduce additional stop-loss settings to further curtail potential losses.
- Diversify the tradeable asset pool to reduce unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To boost the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to enhance performance metrics while keeping drawdowns low.
- Integrate more technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
- Perform out-of-sample and forward-testing to confirm the strategy’s robustness under diverse market conditions.
- Refine the risk management framework by adopting sophisticated techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases solid performance with strong absolute returns and efficient drawdown management. Nonetheless, moderate risk-adjusted performance metrics indicate areas for enhancement. By optimizing and validating the strategy further, it is possible to elevate its robustness and performance in various market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to elevate robustness and adapt the risk management framework to better handle market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 2.09% | 2.79% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 2.03% | 0.59% | 2.96% | -0.79% | -1.47% | -1.41% | 0.00% | -1.41% | 0.00% | 2.36% | 2.14% | 0.58% |
2022 | 2.79% | 4.13% | -2.88% | 0.66% | 4.05% | 4.09% | -5.88% | 0.00% | -1.62% | 0.00% | 0.31% | -1.42% |
2021 | 1.35% | 7.22% | -0.74% | 1.35% | 6.77% | -0.27% | 1.70% | 4.18% | -0.92% | 4.06% | 2.84% | 2.18% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.14% | 2.15% | -1.53% | -1.41% | -1.42% | 2.27% | -2.71% | 1.96% | 0.88% | 6.38% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
11
Number of Trades
-3.22%
Cumulative Returns
36.36%
Win Rate
2024-04-13
🟠 Incubation started
-1.41%
7 Days
-0.76%
30 Days
-3.97%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 78,420.19 USD | 78.42 | 51,991.95 USD | 51.99 | 26,428.25 USD | 26.43 |
Gross Profit | 176,412.87 | 176.41 | 102,066.77 | 102.07 | 74,346.09 | 74.35 |
Gross Loss | 97,992.67 | 97.99 | 50,074.82 | 50.07 | 47,917.85 | 47.92 |
Max Run-up | 81,895.68 | 45.03 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 17,204.99 | 10.02 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 648,393.43 | 648.39 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.395 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.823 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.8 | 2.038 | 1.552 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 4 | 3 | 4 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,545.40 | 1,438.87 | 1,106.53 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 112 | 64 | 48 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 63 | 37 | 26 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 49 | 27 | 22 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.25 | 57.81 | 54.17 | |||
Avg Trade | 700.18 | 2.63 | 812.37 | 2.98 | 550.59 | 2.17 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2,800.20 | 10.04 | 2,758.56 | 9.97 | 2,859.47 | 10.13 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,999.85 | 6.88 | 1,854.62 | 6.60 | 2,178.08 | 7.23 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.4 | 1.487 | 1.313 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3,684.09 | 10.77 | 3,684.09 | 10.56 | 3,492.98 | 10.77 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,413.31 | 10.38 | 2,569.84 | 7.12 | 3,413.31 | 10.38 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 9 | 8 | 10 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 9 | 9 | 10 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 9 | 7 | 11 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 72,507.36 USD | 72.51 | 44,462.07 USD | 44.46 | 28,045.29 USD | 28.05 |
Gross Profit | 189,835.82 | 189.84 | 102,066.77 | 102.07 | 87,769.05 | 87.77 |
Gross Loss | 117,328.46 | 117.33 | 57,604.70 | 57.60 | 59,723.75 | 59.72 |
Max Run-up | 83,483.29 | 45.50 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 17,204.99 | 10.02 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 557,485.09 | 557.49 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.649 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.618 | 1.772 | 1.47 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 4 | 3 | 4 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,852.68 | 1,520.78 | 1,331.91 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 123 | 67 | 56 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 67 | 37 | 30 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 56 | 30 | 26 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.47 | 55.22 | 53.57 | |||
Avg Trade | 589.49 | 2.26 | 663.61 | 2.53 | 500.81 | 1.95 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2,833.37 | 10.01 | 2,758.56 | 9.97 | 2,925.63 | 10.05 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2,095.15 | 7.00 | 1,920.16 | 6.65 | 2,297.07 | 7.39 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.352 | 1.437 | 1.274 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3,786.63 | 10.77 | 3,684.09 | 10.56 | 3,786.63 | 10.77 |
Largest Losing Trade | 4,204.09 | 12.01 | 2,569.84 | 7.13 | 4,204.09 | 12.01 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 9 | 9 | 10 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 9 | 9 | 10 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 9 | 8 | 10 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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