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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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BTC Trendhoo 45min

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5ac259f5]

🛡️ BTC TRENDHOO 45MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by will1310 - May 6, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 6 months ago
Total Return Primary
4.38%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.32%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.043
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
76
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2024
985
Days
76
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-09 20:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.02
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.04
  • Calmar: -0.07
  • Longest DD Days: 32.00
  • Volatility: 44.36
  • Skew: -0.12
  • Kurtosis: -0.43
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.87
  • Expected Yearly: 40.48
  • Kelly Criterion: 5.61
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.71
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.46
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 08:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 39
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 37
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.07
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.12
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.01
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.12
  • Tail Ratio: 1.18
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.16
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.13
  • Serenity Index: 0.02

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
51.3%
Total Trades
76
Cumulative
-2.93%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
5.62%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-0.98%
+0.27%
Simple P&L
+0.73%
+8.67%
Simple P&L
-1.40%
+1.02%
Simple P&L
+0.20%
-4.06%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+0.83%
+0.95%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
+1.28%
Simple P&L
-0.78%
-5.69%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
+0.40%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
+9.89%
Simple P&L
+0.14%
+0.41%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.95%
-6.79%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
-2.32%
Simple P&L
+2.15%
-3.76%
Simple P&L
-1.50%
-2.28%
Simple P&L
+0.66%
-5.43%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.72%
Simple P&L
-0.33%
-1.34%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
-1.05%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
+2.91%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+1.86%
Simple P&L
2026
-0.75%
+2.44%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+1.64%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

76

Number of Trades

-2.93%

Cumulative Returns

51.32%

Win Rate

2024-05-06

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4380.794.384380.794.380.00.0
Gross Profit106106.32106.11106106.32106.110.00.0
Gross Loss101725.53101.73101725.53101.730.00.0
Expected Payoff57.6457.640.0
Commission Paid11232.4211232.420.0
Buy & Hold Return47189.447.19
Buy & Hold % Gain47.19
Strategy Outperformance-42808.61
Max Contracts Held33.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)1.951.950.0
Return On Initial Capital4.384.380.0
Account Size Required36396.03
Return On Account Size Required12.0412.040.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)79 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)11365.2411.37
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)18243.1618.24
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)32450.9925.05
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)32.45
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)94 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)20191.7420.19
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.120.120.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)35226.2535.23
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)36396.0328.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)36.4
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss52.4852.480.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit6.086.080.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.218.210.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades76.076.00.0
Number Winning Trades39.039.00.0
Number Losing Trades37.037.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.3251.32
Avg P&l57.640.0757.640.07
Avg Winning Trade2720.671.842720.671.84
Avg Losing Trade2749.341.782749.341.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.990.99
Largest Winning Trade6447.856447.85
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.04.0
Largest Losing Trade8347.798347.79
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.944.94
Avg # Bars In Trades20.020.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.025.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.024
Sortino Ratio0.039
Profit Factor1.0431.043
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4380.794.384380.794.380.00.0
Gross Profit106106.32106.11106106.32106.110.00.0
Gross Loss101725.53101.73101725.53101.730.00.0
Expected Payoff57.6457.640.0
Commission Paid11232.4211232.420.0
Buy & Hold Return47189.447.19
Buy & Hold % Gain47.19
Strategy Outperformance-42808.61
Max Contracts Held33.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)1.951.950.0
Return On Initial Capital4.384.380.0
Account Size Required36396.03
Return On Account Size Required12.0412.040.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)79 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)11365.2411.37
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)18243.1618.24
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)32450.9925.05
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)32.45
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)94 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)20191.7420.19
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.120.120.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)35226.2535.23
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)36396.0328.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)36.4
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss52.4852.480.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit6.086.080.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.218.210.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades76.076.00.0
Number Winning Trades39.039.00.0
Number Losing Trades37.037.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.3251.32
Avg P&l57.640.0757.640.07
Avg Winning Trade2720.671.842720.671.84
Avg Losing Trade2749.341.782749.341.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.990.99
Largest Winning Trade6447.856447.85
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.04.0
Largest Losing Trade8347.798347.79
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.944.94
Avg # Bars In Trades20.020.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.016.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.025.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.024
Sortino Ratio0.039
Profit Factor1.0431.043
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 4.38%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 1.95%
Sharpe Ratio 0.024
Profit Factor 1.043
Maximum Drawdown 35.23%
Volatility (Annualized) 44.36%

The strategy displays a moderate cumulative return of 4.38% and a low annualized return of 1.95%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.024 indicates that the risk-adjusted returns are currently not ideal based on typical Crypto standards of over 0.5. The maximum drawdown of 35.23% is within acceptable bounds for crypto strategies, but there is room for improvement. The profit factor above 1 suggests that the strategy does have potential profitability.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy requires careful consideration before deploying in real-world trading. While it showcases some positive aspects, the performance is not currently at an optimal level for consistent profitability. The Sharpe ratio is low, suggesting that risk-adjusted returns need improvement. However, with some adjustments, especially in volatility and drawdown management, there is potential for enhanced viability.

Risk Management

The strategy's current risk management reflects a balanced approach due to the acceptably low maximum drawdown below 40%. However, the relatively high volatility and moderate performance imply potential for refining the risk management tactics. Consider the following enhancements:

  • Introduce tighter position sizing and leverage control to withstand volatile market conditions more effectively.
  • Implement more aggressive stop-loss strategies.
  • Examine trading frequency to identify if fewer trades could reduce volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance, several adjustments can be considered:

  • Optimize the parameters and conduct sensitivity analysis to assess their impact on performance.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
  • Explore different market conditions and asset diversification to bolster resilience.
  • Conduct thorough backtesting across different time periods to enhance out-of-sample predictive power.

Final Opinion

In summary, although the strategy has shown a fair level of profitability and a manageable drawdown, significant improvements are needed in risk-adjusted performance and Sharpe ratio. These refinements could enhance both the security and profitability of this trading strategy.

Recommendation: Before proceeding with real-world implementation, it is recommended to execute further optimization and test enhancements suggested above. Aim to improve Sharpe ratio and overall stability to achieve stronger, more resilient performance in varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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