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Traders should know
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BTC Trendhoo 45min

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5ac259f5]

🛡️ BTC TRENDHOO 45MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by will1310 - May 6, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
571.51%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.81%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.679
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.06%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
233
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 3, 2020
2,138
Days
233
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 15, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 00:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.10
  • Calmar: -1.43
  • Longest DD Days: 28.00
  • Volatility: 45.02
  • Skew: 0.15
  • Kurtosis: 0.99
  • Expected Daily: 0.84
  • Expected Monthly: 19.20
  • Expected Yearly: 722.60
  • Kelly Criterion: 25.72
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.27
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.80
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-15 01:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 151
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 82
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.43
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.66
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.90
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.66
  • Tail Ratio: 1.51
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.02
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.99
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 17.36

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.75%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.18%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.12%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.09%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.36%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+4.82%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
64.8%
Total Trades
233
Cumulative
-0.87%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
143.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+12.13%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
-3.76%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
-0.71%
Simple P&L
+0.47%
+0.81%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
-4.07%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
-0.22%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+5.88%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+3.54%
Simple P&L
+2.39%
+4.08%
Simple P&L
2021
-2.41%
+1.32%
Simple P&L
+2.29%
+12.87%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
-1.73%
Simple P&L
+0.42%
+1.73%
Simple P&L
-2.05%
-1.46%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
+1.45%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+5.83%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+4.85%
Simple P&L
-1.08%
-3.24%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+7.29%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+2.22%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
+2.95%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.70%
+6.98%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+6.41%
Simple P&L
-2.44%
-1.99%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+1.17%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+2.07%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
+4.78%
Simple P&L
-1.62%
-4.55%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+3.02%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
+1.99%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+2.10%
Simple P&L
2023
+0.41%
+10.83%
Simple P&L
-0.81%
+9.24%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+8.03%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+4.04%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
-3.45%
Simple P&L
+1.62%
+3.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
+2.69%
Simple P&L
-1.06%
+0.52%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+11.36%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+4.29%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+3.33%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+3.69%
Simple P&L
+0.73%
+8.67%
Simple P&L
-1.40%
+1.02%
Simple P&L
+0.20%
-4.06%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
+0.95%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
+1.28%
Simple P&L
-0.78%
-5.69%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
+0.40%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
+9.89%
Simple P&L
+0.14%
+0.41%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.95%
-6.79%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
-2.32%
Simple P&L
+2.15%
-3.76%
Simple P&L
-1.50%
-2.28%
Simple P&L
+0.66%
-5.43%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.72%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

233

Number of Trades

-0.87%

Cumulative Returns

64.81%

Win Rate

2024-05-06

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.44%

30 Days

3.36%

60 Days

5.62%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit601962.81601.96601962.81601.960.00.0
Gross Profit955646.29955.65955646.29955.650.00.0
Gross Loss353683.48353.68353683.48353.680.00.0
Expected Payoff3381.813381.810.0
Commission Paid71600.2471600.240.0
Buy & Hold Return866464.91866.46
Buy & Hold % Gain866.46
Strategy Outperformance-264502.1
Max Contracts Held2626.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)60.5460.540.0
Return On Initial Capital601.96601.960.0
Account Size Required59766.72
Return On Account Size Required1007.191007.190.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)50 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44378.8444.38
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)143416.56143.42
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)657496.7386.81
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)657.5
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)19580.3119.58
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.0710.070.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)56514.456.51
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)59766.7213.88
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)59.77
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss3200.413200.410.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit6.356.350.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.325.320.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades178.0178.00.0
Number Winning Trades124.0124.00.0
Number Losing Trades54.054.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable69.6669.66
Avg P&l3381.810.813381.810.81
Avg Winning Trade7706.821.937706.821.93
Avg Losing Trade6549.691.766549.691.76
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1771.177
Largest Winning Trade60662.7460662.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.018.01
Largest Losing Trade18808.9218808.92
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.084.08
Avg # Bars In Trades19.019.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades21.021.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.016.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.622
Sortino Ratio1.997
Profit Factor2.7022.702
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit571512.92571.51571512.92571.510.00.0
Gross Profit1412696.271412.71412696.271412.70.00.0
Gross Loss841183.34841.18841183.34841.180.00.0
Expected Payoff2452.852452.850.0
Commission Paid123366.81123366.810.0
Buy & Hold Return957435.96957.44
Buy & Hold % Gain957.44
Strategy Outperformance-385923.04
Max Contracts Held2626.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)38.2438.240.0
Return On Initial Capital571.51571.510.0
Account Size Required226876.07
Return On Account Size Required251.91251.910.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)60 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)50749.4650.75
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)143416.56143.42
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)707581.7487.63
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)707.58
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)49 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)41266.8541.27
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.522.520.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)219584.19219.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)226876.0728.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)226.88
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1098.21098.20.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.294.290.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss6.196.190.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades233.0233.00.0
Number Winning Trades151.0151.00.0
Number Losing Trades82.082.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.8164.81
Avg P&l2452.850.622452.850.62
Avg Winning Trade9355.61.919355.61.91
Avg Losing Trade10258.331.7610258.331.76
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9120.912
Largest Winning Trade60662.7460662.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.018.01
Largest Losing Trade52041.0752041.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.944.94
Avg # Bars In Trades20.020.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.020.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.020.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.436
Sortino Ratio1.101
Profit Factor1.6791.679
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics highlight the strategy's effectiveness and areas for improvement:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 571.51%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 38.28%
Sharpe Ratio 0.436
Profit Factor 1.679
Maximum Drawdown 28.20%
Volatility (Annualized) 45.02%

The strategy demonstrates a significant cumulative return of 571.51% over the analyzed period, reflecting its potential for high returns in crypto markets. The annualized return of 38.28% also suggests consistent performance, albeit with a Sharpe ratio of 0.436, slightly below the ideal threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improved risk-adjusted returns. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 28.20% is within acceptable limits, showing good downside protection.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy shows promising returns, there is potential to enhance its viability for real-world trading. The current Sharpe ratio, although slightly below the desired level, suggests the strategy is reasonably risk-adjusted. Performance could be further improved through optimization, particularly in managing volatility and drawdowns.

Risk Management

The risk management approach appears effective, with a maximum drawdown of 28.20% showing resilience. However, opportunities for improvement include:

  • Reviewing and potentially reducing leverage to lower drawdowns.
  • Employing dynamic stop-loss mechanisms tailored to market conditions.
  • Incorporating diversification to mitigate unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and risk management, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters to boost returns and improve the Sharpe ratio closer to or above 0.5.
  • Integrate advanced technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct further testing under diverse market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptive capacity.
  • Develop a framework to evaluate and adjust leverage dynamically, thereby lowering drawdowns.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents a strong foundation with impressive returns but requires further refinement to enhance its risk-adjusted performance. Despite the slightly lower Sharpe ratio, the drawdown management is commendable. Continued optimization and comprehensive testing could align the strategy more closely with ideal performance metrics.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications aimed at boosting the Sharpe ratio and monitoring leverage use to reduce drawdowns. Implement suggested improvements for increased robustness and adaptability across varied market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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