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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
  • Docs & Tools
    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

PRECISION TREND BTC 30MIN

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @Gentle_sir
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [61cab6aa]

🛡️ PRECISION TREND BTC 30MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 months ago
Total Return Primary
-9.74%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.28%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.938
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.19%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
197
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2025
516
Days
197
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-09 23:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.06
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.10
  • Calmar: 0.34
  • Longest DD Days: 130.00
  • Volatility: 30.65
  • Skew: -0.22
  • Kurtosis: -1.20
  • Expected Daily: -0.03
  • Expected Monthly: -0.55
  • Expected Yearly: -6.35
  • Kelly Criterion: -3.49
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.00
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.61
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 103
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 94
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.34
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.94
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.86
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.94
  • Tail Ratio: 0.87
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.27
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.15
  • Serenity Index: -0.12

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.70%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.30%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.74%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-4.26%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
52.3%
Total Trades
197
Cumulative
-1.19%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-11.39%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-1.41%
-8.94%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+0.67%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
-6.51%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
-7.84%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+1.46%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
-0.38%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
-0.36%
Simple P&L
+0.80%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
-0.91%
-0.27%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
-2.39%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
+17.82%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

197

Number of Trades

-1.19%

Cumulative Returns

52.28%

Win Rate

2024-04-16

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

2.74%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-9735.64-9.74-23301.86-23.313566.2213.57
Gross Profit147794.16147.7946596.3246.6101197.83101.2
Gross Loss157529.8157.5369898.1969.987631.6187.63
Expected Payoff-49.42-291.27115.95
Commission Paid17582.816712.3110870.5
Buy & Hold Return-26066.48-26.07
Buy & Hold % Gain-26.07
Strategy Outperformance16330.84
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-8.05-19.5310.98
Return On Initial Capital-9.74-23.313.57
Account Size Required25586.5
Return On Account Size Required-38.05-91.0753.02
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)58 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9575.819.58
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)27744.3127.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)31659.2429.54
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)31.66
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)96 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21927.5821.93
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.38-0.910.53
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24510.3224.51
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)25586.525.57
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)25.59
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-213.52-511.06384.81
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.235.033.26
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.896.524.02
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades197.080.0117.0
Number Winning Trades103.035.068.0
Number Losing Trades94.045.049.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.2843.7558.12
Avg P&l-49.42-0.06-291.27-0.33115.950.13
Avg Winning Trade1434.891.251331.321.191488.21.29
Avg Losing Trade1675.851.491553.291.511788.41.48
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8560.8570.832
Largest Winning Trade3296.512342.133296.51
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.391.772.39
Largest Losing Trade4559.494559.493525.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.093.092.57
Avg # Bars In Trades16.019.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.019.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.019.019.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.057
Sortino Ratio-0.103
Profit Factor0.9380.6671.155
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-9735.64-9.74-23301.86-23.313566.2213.57
Gross Profit147794.16147.7946596.3246.6101197.83101.2
Gross Loss157529.8157.5369898.1969.987631.6187.63
Expected Payoff-49.42-291.27115.95
Commission Paid17582.816712.3110870.5
Buy & Hold Return-26066.48-26.07
Buy & Hold % Gain-26.07
Strategy Outperformance16330.84
Max Contracts Held22.02.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-8.05-19.5310.98
Return On Initial Capital-9.74-23.313.57
Account Size Required25586.5
Return On Account Size Required-38.05-91.0753.02
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)58 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9575.819.58
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)27744.3127.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)31659.2429.54
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)31.66
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)96 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21927.5821.93
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.38-0.910.53
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24510.3224.51
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)25586.525.57
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)25.59
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-213.52-511.06384.81
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.235.033.26
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.896.524.02
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades197.080.0117.0
Number Winning Trades103.035.068.0
Number Losing Trades94.045.049.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.2843.7558.12
Avg P&l-49.42-0.06-291.27-0.33115.950.13
Avg Winning Trade1434.891.251331.321.191488.21.29
Avg Losing Trade1675.851.491553.291.511788.41.48
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8560.8570.832
Largest Winning Trade3296.512342.133296.51
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.391.772.39
Largest Losing Trade4559.494559.493525.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.093.092.57
Avg # Bars In Trades16.019.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.019.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.019.019.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.057
Sortino Ratio-0.103
Profit Factor0.9380.6671.155
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics indicate areas for consideration:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return -9.74%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -8.05%
Sharpe Ratio -0.057
Profit Factor 0.94
Maximum Drawdown 25.59%
Volatility (Annualized) 30.65%

The strategy demonstrates a negative performance with a cumulative return of -9.74% and an annualized return of -8.05%. The Sharpe Ratio of -0.057 indicates negative risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of 25.59% remains below the desirable 40% threshold, suggesting some potential for adjustment in risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy currently appears non-viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions due to negative returns and risk-adjusted metrics. The consistent volatility presents further challenges in maintaining steady outcomes.

Risk Management

The maximum drawdown indicates some level of control in downside risk, albeit amidst negative overall performance. The following recommendations can be considered to enhance risk management:

  • Implement better risk-adjusted positioning by using less leverage to lower max drawdown.
  • Adjust stop-loss mechanisms to reduce drawdown's impact more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To optimize the strategy’s performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Experiment with optimizing strategy parameters, especially focusing on reducing the magnitude of losses.
  • Integrate other technical or fundamental indicators to improve trade selection and management.
  • Increase testing with out-of-sample data and perform further robustness checks under varied market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the current strategy exhibits inadequate performance metrics, negative returns, and negligible risk-adjusted returns, indicating areas of improvement. While the drawdown remains below the critical level, suggesting some strengths in handling risk, key refinements are necessary.

Recommendation: It is imperative to pursue further testing and optimization notably through risk management techniques and strategy parameter optimizations. Progress should be assessed after incorporating these adaptations to determine long-term viability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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