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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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EL PATRON BTC 1H

  • Homepage
EXTERNAL INDICATORS 1 hour @Igorek
● Live

BotifyX 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8e987cf1]

🛡️ EL PATRON BTC 1H

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 14, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 month ago
Total Return Primary
55.88%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.43%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.133
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.62%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
254
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 5, 2023
1,181
Days
254
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-02-05 17:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.19
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.33
  • Calmar: -0.32
  • Longest DD Days: 132.00
  • Volatility: 0.68
  • Skew: 0.02
  • Kurtosis: -0.76
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.05
  • Expected Yearly: 0.57
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.99
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.08
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 123
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 131
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.32
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.11
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.11
  • Tail Ratio: 1.04
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.33
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.22

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.57%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+1.52%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.34%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+10.16%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.38%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+9.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
48.4%
Total Trades
254
Cumulative
-0.96%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
26.95%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
-1.36%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+0.97%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-1.62%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.01%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-1.73%
Simple P&L
+0.31%
+7.20%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-5.94%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
-4.70%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
+1.84%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
+9.29%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
-4.28%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
-1.64%
Simple P&L
+0.81%
+7.22%
Simple P&L
-0.81%
+9.70%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
-2.04%
-1.71%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+6.17%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.44%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
-8.52%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
-7.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-4.28%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-8.96%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
-6.72%
Simple P&L
+1.80%
+1.26%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+1.47%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+11.87%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
+7.62%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
-2.19%
Simple P&L
+1.81%
+8.98%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
-8.78%
Simple P&L
-2.21%
-0.88%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

254

Number of Trades

-0.96%

Cumulative Returns

48.43%

Win Rate

2024-02-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

3.38%

60 Days

10.16%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit558.7655.88117.2211.72441.5344.15
Gross Profit4748.36474.842033.31203.332715.05271.51
Gross Loss4189.61418.961916.09191.612273.52227.35
Expected Payoff2.20.923.5
Commission Paid494.67216.83277.84
Buy & Hold Return1889.03188.9
Buy & Hold % Gain188.91
Strategy Outperformance-1330.28
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)14.763.512.01
Return On Initial Capital55.8811.7244.15
Account Size Required586.22
Return On Account Size Required95.3220.075.32
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)145.0314.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)440.5944.06
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)789.3945.46
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)72 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)141.9514.19
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.950.20.75
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)565.7656.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)586.2234.81
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)58.62
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss658.52145.37520.37
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.983.973.46
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.034.213.73
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades254.0128.0126.0
Number Winning Trades123.062.061.0
Number Losing Trades131.066.065.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.4348.4448.41
Avg P&l2.20.110.920.123.50.09
Avg Winning Trade38.62.932.82.9144.512.88
Avg Losing Trade31.982.5129.032.534.982.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2071.131.273
Largest Winning Trade94.0680.8294.06
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.972.962.97
Largest Losing Trade84.8580.6484.85
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.562.562.56
Avg # Bars In Trades39.040.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.049.039.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.032.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.187
Sortino Ratio0.333
Profit Factor1.1331.0611.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit558.7655.88117.2211.72441.5344.15
Gross Profit4748.36474.842033.31203.332715.05271.51
Gross Loss4189.61418.961916.09191.612273.52227.35
Expected Payoff2.20.923.5
Commission Paid494.67216.83277.84
Buy & Hold Return1889.03188.9
Buy & Hold % Gain188.91
Strategy Outperformance-1330.28
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)14.763.512.01
Return On Initial Capital55.8811.7244.15
Account Size Required586.22
Return On Account Size Required95.3220.075.32
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)145.0314.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)440.5944.06
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)789.3945.46
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)72 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)141.9514.19
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.950.20.75
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)565.7656.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)586.2234.81
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)58.62
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss658.52145.37520.37
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.983.973.46
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.034.213.73
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades254.0128.0126.0
Number Winning Trades123.062.061.0
Number Losing Trades131.066.065.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.4348.4448.41
Avg P&l2.20.110.920.123.50.09
Avg Winning Trade38.62.932.82.9144.512.88
Avg Losing Trade31.982.5129.032.534.982.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2071.131.273
Largest Winning Trade94.0680.8294.06
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.972.962.97
Largest Losing Trade84.8580.6484.85
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.562.562.56
Avg # Bars In Trades39.040.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.049.039.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.032.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.187
Sortino Ratio0.333
Profit Factor1.1331.0611.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 55.88%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 14.76%
Sharpe Ratio 0.187
Profit Factor 1.133
Maximum Drawdown 58.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 68%

The strategy shows a moderate cumulative return of 55.88% and an annualized return of 14.76%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.187 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.133 indicates that for every dollar lost, approximately $1.133 is gained, which is modest. A maximum drawdown of 58.62% suggests potential for significant losses, exceeding the generally accepted good threshold of 40% for crypto.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy provides a positive return, the high drawdown and low Sharpe Ratio indicate a need for substantial optimization before considering it viable for real-world trading. The market conditions suitable for this strategy may be volatile given its volatility measure, but improvement and adaptation are needed to achieve consistency in different market environments.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach may benefit from enhancements, as evidenced by the high maximum drawdown:

  • Reduce leverage usage to help decrease maximum drawdown.
  • Implement more robust stop-loss mechanisms for improved downside protection.
  • Incorporate diversification across different crypto assets to minimize unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters by backtesting using different time frames to enhance profitability while reducing drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or signals to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to confirm strategy robustness under various market conditions.
  • Strengthen risk management by adopting techniques such as dynamic position sizing and more sophisticated drawdown management strategies.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy currently shows moderate returns but significant drawdowns and low risk-adjusted performance metrics. With observed volatility and drawdown levels, it is crucial to focus on risk management and optimization.

Recommendation: It is advisable to make strategic modifications and enhancements to the risk management framework to increase the strategy's robustness. Consider further testing and fine-tuning of parameters to improve performance before deployment in live trading scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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