🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [33267e5d]
🛡️ TRENDHOO BTC 30MIN
@gentle_sir
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-13 06:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
- Sortino Ratio: 2.16
- Calmar: -7.09
- Longest DD Days: 36.00
- Volatility: 79.39
- Skew: -0.04
- Kurtosis: -1.18
- Expected Daily: 1.11
- Expected Monthly: 26.18
- Expected Yearly: 1,528.98
- Kelly Criterion: 17.44
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.35
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.45
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-10 05:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 15
- Number Winning Trades 280
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 228
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.09
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.46
- Payoff Ratio: 1.19
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.46
- Tail Ratio: 1.34
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.14
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 1,293.40
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 10999.22% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 183.4% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.551 |
Profit Factor | 1.46 |
Maximum Drawdown | 29.96% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 79.74% |
The strategy displays commendable performance with a cumulative return of 10999.22% and an annualized CAGR of 183.4%. Notably, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.551 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, especially within the volatile crypto market. The maximum drawdown of 29.96% is below the critical threshold of 40%, demonstrating decent downside protection. However, the profit factor of 1.46 suggests that for every dollar lost, the strategy gains $1.46, indicating room for improvement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading under the given conditions. It generates substantial returns, and its moderate maximum drawdown suggests resilience. The positive performance is achieved under conditions that might favor higher volatility, which is prevalent in crypto markets. Comparing to industry benchmarks, the performance metrics such as Sharpe Ratio and Maximum Drawdown are within acceptable ranges for the crypto space.
Risk Management
The strategy employs basic risk management techniques effectively, as evidenced by a reduced drawdown and a risk of ruin of 0%. However, volatility remains high, presenting an opportunity for enhancement. Consider the following improvements to better manage risk:
- Introduce dynamic leverage adjustments to decrease maximum drawdown potential.
- Incorporate additional stop-loss mechanisms to limit drawdowns further.
- Optimize position sizing to account for significant volatility fluctuations.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine strategy parameters to balance between return magnification and drawdown mitigation.
- Expand the technical toolbox by integrating new indicators for refined trade signals.
- Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness across diverse market scenarios.
- Implement advanced risk management strategies like stress testing and VaR adjustments.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns and risk-adjusted metrics that meet industry standards, given its context in the crypto market. While volatility remains a concern, the risk management elements in place offer a solid foundation for further enhancement.
Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and optimization. Focus on implementing suggested improvements to enhance robustness and refine the risk management framework for handling volatility more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 4.55% | 9.98% | 8.72% | 25.74% | -0.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | -11.24% | 11.50% | 53.40% | 4.89% | -7.63% | 3.48% | -6.13% | 28.26% | -1.83% | 1.10% | 3.32% | 26.58% |
2022 | 14.60% | 23.35% | 13.08% | -7.82% | 27.10% | 15.78% | 59.16% | -2.09% | 43.80% | 10.36% | 6.73% | -1.48% |
2021 | 20.08% | 19.23% | 8.26% | -0.13% | -2.86% | -15.44% | 6.92% | -6.57% | 3.44% | 22.38% | 43.86% | 14.20% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.72% | 8.27% | -15.73% | 7.82% | 0.87% | 10.05% | 2.00% | -13.95% | 28.23% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
105
Number of Trades
99.33%
Cumulative Returns
57.14%
Win Rate
2024-02-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
11.3%
30 Days
42.41%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 5,849,368.51 USD | 5,849.37 | 2,235,826.82 USD | 2,235.83 | 3,613,541.69 USD | 3,613.54 |
Gross Profit | 16,082,548.42 | 16,082.55 | 7,968,318.94 | 7,968.32 | 8,114,229.47 | 8,114.23 |
Gross Loss | 10,233,179.91 | 10,233.18 | 5,732,492.12 | 5,732.49 | 4,500,687.79 | 4,500.69 |
Max Run-up | 6,589,631.97 | 98.63 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 859,374.77 | 29.96 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 598,567.65 | 598.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.534 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.052 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.572 | 1.39 | 1.803 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 571 | 569 | 571 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 1,367,141.55 | 756,929.94 | 610,211.61 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 404 | 215 | 189 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 220 | 124 | 96 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 184 | 91 | 93 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.46 | 57.67 | 50.79 | |||
Avg Trade | 14,478.63 | 0.36 | 10,399.19 | 0.48 | 19,119.27 | 0.23 |
Avg Winning Trade | 73,102.49 | 1.97 | 64,260.64 | 1.89 | 84,523.22 | 2.07 |
Avg Losing Trade | 55,615.11 | 1.57 | 62,994.42 | 1.46 | 48,394.49 | 1.67 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.314 | 1.02 | 1.747 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 551,271.90 | 5.13 | 325,393.74 | 3.62 | 551,271.90 | 5.13 |
Largest Losing Trade | 334,090.92 | 3.08 | 334,090.92 | 3.08 | 320,584.70 | 3.07 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 23 | 22 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 21 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 24 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 14,174,100.90 USD | 14,174.10 | 6,317,572.65 USD | 6,317.57 | 7,856,528.25 USD | 7,856.53 |
Gross Profit | 42,581,007.80 | 42,581.01 | 20,997,252.05 | 20,997.25 | 21,583,755.76 | 21,583.76 |
Gross Loss | 28,406,906.90 | 28,406.91 | 14,679,679.39 | 14,679.68 | 13,727,227.51 | 13,727.23 |
Max Run-up | 16,259,334.12 | 99.44 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,828,899.08 | 29.96 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,276,166.16 | 1,276.17 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.155 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.499 | 1.43 | 1.572 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 599 | 569 | 599 | |||
Open PL | −199,504.94 | −1.40 | ||||
Commission Paid | 3,556,742.57 | 1,841,598.33 | 1,715,144.24 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 508 | 267 | 241 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 280 | 154 | 126 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 228 | 113 | 115 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.12 | 57.68 | 52.28 | |||
Avg Trade | 27,901.77 | 0.36 | 23,661.32 | 0.45 | 32,599.70 | 0.25 |
Avg Winning Trade | 152,075.03 | 1.91 | 136,345.79 | 1.85 | 171,299.65 | 2.00 |
Avg Losing Trade | 124,591.70 | 1.56 | 129,908.67 | 1.46 | 119,367.20 | 1.65 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.221 | 1.05 | 1.435 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 983,941.88 | 5.13 | 983,941.88 | 3.62 | 844,204.58 | 5.13 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,017,145.47 | 3.08 | 1,017,145.47 | 3.08 | 781,895.27 | 3.07 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 23 | 22 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 20 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 24 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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