JP TrendForce by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fe0238ac]
🛡️ JPTRENDFORCE TRXUSDT 30M 17.12.2024
@bomike15
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-09 05:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.12
- Sortino Ratio: 0.24
- Calmar: -0.24
- Longest DD Days: 184.00
- Volatility: 70.24
- Skew: 1.81
- Kurtosis: 4.39
- Expected Daily: 0.21
- Expected Monthly: 4.45
- Expected Yearly: 68.68
- Kelly Criterion: 4.06
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.81
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.39
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 77
- Max Consecutive Losses: 14
- Number Losing Trades: 164
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.24
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
- Payoff Ratio: 2.46
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
- Tail Ratio: 2.19
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.69
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.28
- Serenity Index: 0.18
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 52.52% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 11.64% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.117 |
Profit Factor | 1.166 |
Maximum Drawdown | 48.11% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 70.21% |
The strategy yields a cumulative return of 52.52% and an annualized return of 11.64%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.117 suggests that the risk-adjusted returns are below the acceptable threshold for crypto trading. The profit factor above 1 (1.166) indicates that the strategy marginally maintains profitability even after deducting losses. While the strategy exhibits potential, the maximum drawdown of 48.11% is relatively high and could be concerning, signaling a need for better risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, this strategy has potential but may face challenges in real-world trading due to its low risk-adjusted performance and relatively high drawdown. The current market conditions under which the strategy operates will greatly influence its performance. Nonetheless, the strategy shows promise in competitive environments with its favorable profit factor and ability to drive cumulative profits. Adjustments will be necessary to increase its viability further.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management could benefit from enhancements, particularly in reducing the maximum drawdown and managing volatility. Here are some suggestions:
- Consider reducing leverage to minimize drawdowns and enhance capital preservation.
- Implement dynamic position sizing to manage exposure effectively based on volatility.
- Introduce stop-loss mechanisms to cut losses efficiently and protect gains.
Improvement Suggestions
To improve the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters by analyzing different market environments and modifying indicators.
- Conduct comprehensive backtesting and forward-testing across diverse market scenarios to gauge robustness.
- Explore the inclusion of additional technical indicators to improve entry and exit points.
- Re-evaluate the risk management framework to incorporate methods like Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments to handle volatility spikes better.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits potential with positive cumulative returns and a reasonable profit factor, yet struggles with risk-adjusted performance metrics and a high drawdown. Optimizing the strategy's parameters and enhancing its risk management techniques will be pivotal in unlocking further potential while ensuring its robustness.
Recommendation: It is advisable to modify and optimize the strategy, particularly its risk management components, to address its weaknesses. Focus on reducing leverage and enhancing position management to limit downside risk while capitalizing on positive trade opportunities.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -10.46% | -0.09% | -16.67% |
2022 | -8.61% | -5.46% | 6.87% | 0.03% | 13.48% | 2.74% | -1.82% | -8.98% | -5.24% | -4.90% | 6.81% | 5.28% |
2023 | 15.06% | 0.00% | -11.85% | -2.18% | 7.30% | -2.47% | 10.74% | -4.50% | -1.15% | 13.81% | 1.27% | -6.93% |
2024 | 5.71% | 25.10% | -3.34% | -2.63% | 5.53% | -3.00% | 3.25% | 25.41% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
TRX
Base Currency
29
Number of Trades
-33.58%
Cumulative Returns
24.14%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-10.98%
30 Days
-47.96%
60 Days
-26.94%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -6382.47 | -3.09 | ||||
Net Profit | 106294.16 | 106.29 | 106294.16 | 106.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 336164.52 | 336.16 | 336164.52 | 336.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 229870.36 | 229.87 | 229870.36 | 229.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 14691.87 | 14691.87 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 217327.27 | 217.33 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 156658.88 | 73.0 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 53114.5 | 48.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1322214.0 | 1322214.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 213.0 | 213.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 70.0 | 70.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 143.0 | 143.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 32.86 | 32.86 | ||||
Avg P&l | 499.03 | 0.44 | 499.03 | 0.44 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 4802.35 | 5.1 | 4802.35 | 5.1 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 1607.49 | 1.84 | 1607.49 | 1.84 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.987 | 2.987 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 30769.52 | 30769.52 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 19.32 | 19.32 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 7252.91 | 7252.91 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.27 | 8.27 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 155.0 | 155.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 254.0 | 254.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 106.0 | 106.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.197 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.457 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.462 | 1.462 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -6965.91 | -4.57 | ||||
Net Profit | 52521.54 | 52.52 | 52521.54 | 52.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 368901.87 | 368.9 | 368901.87 | 368.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 316380.33 | 316.38 | 316380.33 | 316.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 18728.01 | 18728.01 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 145522.18 | 145.52 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 156658.88 | 73.0 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 70356.88 | 48.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1322214.0 | 1322214.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 241.0 | 241.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 77.0 | 77.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 164.0 | 164.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 31.95 | 31.95 | ||||
Avg P&l | 217.93 | 0.27 | 217.93 | 0.27 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 4790.93 | 4.87 | 4790.93 | 4.87 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 1929.15 | 1.89 | 1929.15 | 1.89 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.483 | 2.483 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 30769.52 | 30769.52 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 19.32 | 19.32 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 10873.73 | 10873.73 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.27 | 8.27 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 144.0 | 144.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 233.0 | 233.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 102.0 | 102.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.116 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.244 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.166 | 1.166 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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