StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [cd4a84f8]
🛡️ STIFFTREND SUPERUSDT 15M 15.10.2024
@biliqagoners
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 17 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2023-12-01 06:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.80
- Sortino Ratio: 1.88
- Calmar: -1.31
- Longest DD Days: 201.00
- Volatility: 1.30
- Skew: 0.48
- Kurtosis: -0.34
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.12
- Expected Yearly: 1.42
- Kelly Criterion: 6.95
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.11
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.13
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 03:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 232
- Max Consecutive Losses: 18
- Number Losing Trades: 296
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.31
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.19
- Payoff Ratio: 1.51
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.19
- Tail Ratio: 1.41
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.35
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 3.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 544.34% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 2.07% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.758 |
Profit Factor | 1.166 |
Maximum Drawdown | 45.96% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 129% |
The strategy generates a respectable cumulative return of 544.34%, with a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.758, indicating a good level of risk-adjusted return by crypto standards. Although the maximum drawdown of 45.96% is slightly above the preferred threshold, the performance metrics suggest room for improvement with adjustments in risk management.
Strategy Viability
The strategy shows potential for real-world trading given its moderate risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown presents a concern that should be addressed. The positive Alpha of 521.95 suggests that the strategy adds value compared to the market trend, but the increased volatility requires consideration. It's advisable to understand the market conditions under which the strategy thrives and whether such conditions are likely to continue.
Risk Management
While the strategy employs a reasonable risk framework, indicated by the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios, there is room for enhancement:
- Reducing leverage can help decrease the maximum drawdown, thus providing a safer trading approach.
- Consider implementing additional stop-loss mechanisms to constrain potential losses further.
- Incorporate dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure according to market conditions and volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s overall performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize trading parameters to strike a balance between maximizing returns and minimizing drawdowns.
- Integrate more robust technical indicators to refine trading signals and improve decision-making.
- Conduct thorough out-of-sample testing across different market cycles to ensure the strategy's adaptability and reliability.
- Revise the risk management approach to incorporate advanced techniques like stress testing and enhanced volatility management.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits promise with positive returns and moderate risk-adjusted metrics. However, higher volatility and drawdowns indicate the need for better risk management practices. The integration of suggested improvements can help optimize the strategy, making it more resilient in varied market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with iterative testing and refinement of the strategy. Implement proposed enhancements to foster robustness and adapt to potential market volatility more effectively, while carefully managing drawdown risk.
```Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.56% |
2024 | 33.45% | 17.39% | 26.80% | 18.19% | 24.89% | 15.50% | 18.08% | 39.79% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
SUPER
Base Currency
161
Number of Trades
28.53%
Cumulative Returns
37.89%
Win Rate
2024-10-15
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.18%
30 Days
80.84%
60 Days
37.75%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -14.13 | -0.46 | ||||
Net Profit | 2581.06 | 516.21 | 1367.48 | 273.5 | 1213.58 | 242.72 |
Gross Profit | 11916.07 | 2383.21 | 6520.65 | 1304.13 | 5395.42 | 1079.08 |
Gross Loss | 9335.01 | 1867.0 | 5153.17 | 1030.63 | 4181.84 | 836.37 |
Commission Paid | 604.46 | 356.57 | 247.88 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1290.44 | 258.09 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3457.46 | 88.01 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1326.19 | 33.96 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 8250.0 | 8250.0 | 8185.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 369.0 | 210.0 | 159.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 173.0 | 103.0 | 70.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 196.0 | 107.0 | 89.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.88 | 49.05 | 44.03 | |||
Avg P&l | 6.99 | 0.47 | 6.51 | 0.39 | 7.63 | 0.58 |
Avg Winning Trade | 68.88 | 3.5 | 63.31 | 3.04 | 77.08 | 4.18 |
Avg Losing Trade | 47.63 | 2.2 | 48.16 | 2.16 | 46.99 | 2.25 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.446 | 1.315 | 1.64 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 241.91 | 213.7 | 241.91 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.89 | 4.43 | 5.89 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 152.85 | 152.04 | 152.85 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 26.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.233 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.357 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.276 | 1.265 | 1.29 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 1.89 | 0.05 | ||||
Net Profit | 2972.42 | 594.48 | 1710.62 | 342.12 | 1261.81 | 252.36 |
Gross Profit | 19512.61 | 3902.52 | 10583.47 | 2116.69 | 8929.14 | 1785.83 |
Gross Loss | 16540.19 | 3308.04 | 8872.85 | 1774.57 | 7667.33 | 1533.47 |
Commission Paid | 1000.88 | 577.09 | 423.79 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 237.22 | 47.44 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3457.46 | 88.01 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1794.74 | 45.96 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 11232.0 | 10541.0 | 11232.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 528.0 | 292.0 | 236.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 232.0 | 137.0 | 95.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 296.0 | 155.0 | 141.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.94 | 46.92 | 40.25 | |||
Avg P&l | 5.63 | 0.31 | 5.86 | 0.29 | 5.35 | 0.34 |
Avg Winning Trade | 84.11 | 3.58 | 77.25 | 3.12 | 93.99 | 4.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 55.88 | 2.25 | 57.24 | 2.2 | 54.38 | 2.3 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.505 | 1.35 | 1.728 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 256.06 | 213.7 | 256.06 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.89 | 4.49 | 5.89 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 163.49 | 163.49 | 152.85 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.1 | 3.06 | 3.1 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 17.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.798 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.88 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.18 | 1.193 | 1.165 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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