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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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biliqagoners stifftrend superusdt 15m 15.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @biliqagoners
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [cd4a84f8]

🛡️ STIFFTREND SUPERUSDT 15M 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
SUPER
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 months ago
Total Return Primary
92.1%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
40%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.13
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.23%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
295
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 4, 2025
285
Days
295
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-04 14:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.49
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.90
  • Calmar: -0.92
  • Longest DD Days: 116.00
  • Volatility: 0.49
  • Skew: 0.54
  • Kurtosis: 0.04
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.03
  • Expected Yearly: 0.40
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.65
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.04
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.05
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 06:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 118
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 177
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.92
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.13
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.70
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.13
  • Tail Ratio: 1.42
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.31
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.89
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.90

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.40%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.61%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.36%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.85%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.56%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+10.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
40.0%
Total Trades
295
Cumulative
-1.23%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
41.58%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
+11.04%
Simple P&L
-0.48%
+8.82%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+13.63%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

295

Number of Trades

-1.23%

Cumulative Returns

40%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0.56%

60 Days

-1.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit460.5292.10.530.11459.9992.0
Gross Profit4010.7802.141948.19389.642062.51412.5
Gross Loss3550.18710.041947.66389.531602.52320.5
Expected Payoff1.560.0043.22
Commission Paid330.18180.66149.52
Buy & Hold Return-423.52-84.7
Buy & Hold % Gain-84.7
Strategy Outperformance884.04
Max Contracts Held1333813338.013257.0
Annualized Return (cagr)177.130.17176.89
Return On Initial Capital92.10.1192.0
Account Size Required819.58
Return On Account Size Required56.190.0756.13
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)129.7725.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)284.4556.89
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1181.1771.78
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)236.23
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)103.3320.67
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.560.0010.56
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)809.39161.88
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)819.5850.28
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)163.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss494.840.57933.2
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.895.944.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.624.783.08
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades295.0152.0143.0
Number Winning Trades118.060.058.0
Number Losing Trades177.092.085.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.039.4740.56
Avg P&l1.560.140.004-0.053.220.34
Avg Winning Trade33.992.9732.472.5635.563.39
Avg Losing Trade20.061.7521.171.7518.851.74
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6951.5341.886
Largest Winning Trade115.75115.7584.21
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.169.165.84
Largest Losing Trade93.0793.0749.29
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.734.732.71
Avg # Bars In Trades28.020.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades40.021.061.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.022.0
Sharpe Ratio0.489
Sortino Ratio0.901
Profit Factor1.131.01.287
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit460.5292.10.530.11459.9992.0
Gross Profit4010.7802.141948.19389.642062.51412.5
Gross Loss3550.18710.041947.66389.531602.52320.5
Expected Payoff1.560.0043.22
Commission Paid330.18180.66149.52
Buy & Hold Return-423.52-84.7
Buy & Hold % Gain-84.7
Strategy Outperformance884.04
Max Contracts Held1333813338.013257.0
Annualized Return (cagr)177.130.17176.89
Return On Initial Capital92.10.1192.0
Account Size Required819.58
Return On Account Size Required56.190.0756.13
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)129.7725.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)284.4556.89
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1181.1771.78
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)236.23
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)103.3320.67
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.560.0010.56
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)809.39161.88
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)819.5850.28
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)163.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss494.840.57933.2
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.895.944.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.624.783.08
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades295.0152.0143.0
Number Winning Trades118.060.058.0
Number Losing Trades177.092.085.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.039.4740.56
Avg P&l1.560.140.004-0.053.220.34
Avg Winning Trade33.992.9732.472.5635.563.39
Avg Losing Trade20.061.7521.171.7518.851.74
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6951.5341.886
Largest Winning Trade115.75115.7584.21
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.169.165.84
Largest Losing Trade93.0793.0749.29
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.734.732.71
Avg # Bars In Trades28.020.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades40.021.061.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.022.0
Sharpe Ratio0.489
Sortino Ratio0.901
Profit Factor1.131.01.287
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 92.1%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 177.13%
Sharpe Ratio 0.489
Profit Factor 1.13
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 50.28%
Volatility (Annualized) 49%

The strategy exhibits a respectable cumulative return of 92.1% with an impressive annualized return of 177.13%. Although the Sharpe ratio is slightly below the benchmark of 0.5, the Profit Factor above 1 indicates more profitable outcomes than losses. The maximum drawdown of 50.28% suggests room for improvement in risk management to stay within desirable limits.

Strategy Viability

The strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, albeit with some caveats. The returns are solid, and the strategy significantly outperforms the market's buy-and-hold return, which stands at -84.7%. The market conditions under which the strategy was tested appear conducive, but it is prudent to assess whether these conditions will persist. Enhancing risk management could improve the strategy's performance under more volatile conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management measures need improvement, specifically in limiting drawdowns and managing volatility. Suggestions include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown and managing exposure more cautiously.
  • Implementing robust stop-loss mechanisms to contain potential losses effectively.
  • Diversifying the asset pool to mitigate specific market risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize position sizing strategies to improve the balance between risk and reward.
  • Incorporate a wider array of technical indicators to improve decision-making on trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct additional backtesting across different market conditions to verify the strategy’s robustness.
  • Refine risk management frameworks by integrating techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario stress testing.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates noteworthy returns, indicating potential for success in real-world trading environments. Nevertheless, the slightly low Sharpe ratio and high drawdown highlight areas for improvement. By adjusting leverage and refining risk management tactics, the strategy can enhance its resilience.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy. Apply suggested improvements to strengthen risk management and adapt it to handle higher market volatility effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Loss
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Edge Intact
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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