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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
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biliqagoners stifftrend superusdt 15m 15.10.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @biliqagoners
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [cd4a84f8]

🛡️ STIFFTREND SUPERUSDT 15M 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
SUPER
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +22.36% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
596.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.84%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
48.29%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.111
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
133.87%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
726
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 1, 2023
635
Days
726
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 25, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-12-01 06:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.57
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.14
  • Calmar: -1.27
  • Longest DD Days: 256.00
  • Volatility: 20.27
  • Skew: 0.49
  • Kurtosis: -0.66
  • Expected Daily: 0.07
  • Expected Monthly: 1.54
  • Expected Yearly: 20.18
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.86
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.69
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.88
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-25 10:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 311
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 18
  • Number Losing Trades: 415
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.27
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.10
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.48
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.10
  • Tail Ratio: 1.35
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.20
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.10
  • Serenity Index: 3.47

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20230.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.56%
202433.45%17.39%26.80%18.19%24.89%15.50%18.08%39.79%-17.63%1.03%7.77%-20.95%
202532.40%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

358

Number of Trades

40.95%

Cumulative Returns

38.83%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

23.7%

30 Days

-28.12%

60 Days

7.84%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-568.0-1.01
Net Profit46232.99462.3328909.94289.117323.05173.23
Gross Profit564437.785644.38311996.573119.97252441.222524.41
Gross Loss518204.795182.05283086.622830.87235118.172351.18
Commission Paid30294.917829.7912465.12
Buy & Hold Return7889.8878.9
Max Equity Run-up90597.5490.58
Max Drawdown44188.0345.96
Max Contracts Held274929.0238376.0274929.0
Total Closed Trades693.0391.0302.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades296.0178.0118.0
Number Losing Trades397.0213.0184.0
Percent Profitable42.7145.5239.07
Avg P&l66.710.2173.940.1857.360.25
Avg Winning Trade1906.883.551752.793.082139.334.26
Avg Losing Trade1305.32.271329.052.231277.822.32
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4611.3191.674
Largest Winning Trade6199.914668.716199.91
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.894.495.89
Largest Losing Trade3912.283902.023912.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.183.183.1
Avg # Bars In Trades25.018.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.017.043.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.020.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.514
Sortino Ratio1.022
Profit Factor1.0891.1021.074
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit59619.54596.234076.03340.7625543.51255.44
Gross Profit599157.755991.58324008.143240.08275149.622751.5
Gross Loss539538.215395.38289932.112899.32249606.12496.06
Commission Paid32136.1118545.0713591.04
Buy & Hold Return5798.2157.98
Max Equity Run-up90597.5490.58
Max Drawdown46681.0348.29
Max Contracts Held274929.0238376.0274929.0
Total Closed Trades726.0404.0322.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades311.0185.0126.0
Number Losing Trades415.0219.0196.0
Percent Profitable42.8445.7939.13
Avg P&l82.120.2284.350.1979.330.26
Avg Winning Trade1926.553.531751.43.052183.734.22
Avg Losing Trade1300.092.251323.892.221273.52.29
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4821.3231.715
Largest Winning Trade6199.914668.716199.91
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.894.495.89
Largest Losing Trade3912.283902.023912.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.183.183.1
Avg # Bars In Trades25.018.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.017.044.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.020.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.569
Sortino Ratio1.141
Profit Factor1.1111.1181.102
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 596.2%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 30.94%
Sharpe Ratio 0.569
Profit Factor 1.111
Maximum Drawdown 48.29%
Volatility (Annualized) 20.27%

The strategy shows a substantial cumulative return of 596.2% and a strong annualized return of 30.94%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.569 indicates satisfactory risk-adjusted returns, especially in the crypto market context. However, the maximum drawdown of 48.29% exceeds the acceptable threshold, suggesting room for improvement in controlling downside risk. Profit factor is slightly above 1, indicating that for every $1 lost, approximately $1.11 is gained.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, especially given its reasonable risk-adjusted returns and cumulative performance. The market conditions under which it thrives would need further exploration to ensure continued effectiveness. Although the strategy achieves significant returns, the high drawdown is a concern and suggests a need for refinement to ensure resilience against adverse market conditions.

Risk Management

The current strategy's risk management may benefit from improvements, particularly in reducing the maximum drawdown. Key risk management insights include:

  • Reducing leverage may help to decrease the maximum drawdown significantly, thereby stabilizing performance.
  • Consider implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to reduce potential losses during market downturns.
  • Increase diversification to minimize systematic and unsystematic risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and stability, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage and position sizing to balance risk and return more effectively.
  • Implement additional technical indicators that can help to improve the accuracy and timing of trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct out-of-sample tests and forward-testing to further validate the strategy and enhance its robustness in various market conditions.
  • Enhance volatility management approaches to ensure consistent performance irrespective of market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates commendable returns with a strong risk-adjusted profile in terms of Sharpe ratio. However, the maximum drawdown highlights a need for enhanced risk control. With optimizations targeted at reducing leverage and refining risk measures, the strategy's robustness and viability could significantly improve.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining the strategy, focusing on improvements in risk management and drawdown control. Engage in further testing and optimization to hone the strategy’s effectiveness across diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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