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DaviddTech
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bavo precisiontrendmastery btcusd 1h 05.11.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @bavo
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [719d341b]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY BTCUSD 1H 05.11.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 month ago
Total Return Primary
663.12%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.77%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.674
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.24%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
440
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2023
1,206
Days
440
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-09 09:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.65
  • Calmar: -2.23
  • Longest DD Days: 91.00
  • Volatility: 0.33
  • Skew: 0.56
  • Kurtosis: -0.53
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.09
  • Expected Yearly: 1.12
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.03
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 197
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 243
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.67
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.07
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.67
  • Tail Ratio: 1.95
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.30
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.76
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 13.42

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.13%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+36,664.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+17,568.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+106,152.68%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
440
Cumulative
-0.74%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
496,645.02%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-3.49%
+1,179.24%
Simple P&L
+3.43%
+1,746.04%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
+5,287.54%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+5,212.00%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+5,184.10%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,875.31%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,587.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5,945.76%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5,552.27%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+5,267.81%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+5,396.89%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+8,221.26%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.92%
+7,036.85%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+9,599.39%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+7,088.37%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+12,696.49%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+10,386.93%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+9,276.35%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+16,744.50%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+11,778.99%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+19,524.44%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+17,741.82%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+15,712.67%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16,481.05%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.53%
+16,865.57%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+19,248.48%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+14,784.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16,842.35%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+18,597.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+15,290.38%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+17,305.44%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+16,084.41%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+18,980.47%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

440

Number of Trades

-0.74%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-05-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

17568.98%

60 Days

36664.62%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1989.35663.121407.38469.13581.97193.99
Gross Profit4940.371646.792830.21943.42110.16703.39
Gross Loss2951.02983.671422.83474.281528.19509.4
Expected Payoff4.526.642.55
Commission Paid112.5656.9655.6
Buy & Hold Return919.16306.39
Buy & Hold % Gain306.4
Strategy Outperformance1070.2
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)87.8471.539.73
Return On Initial Capital663.12469.13193.99
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required696.42492.69203.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)86.328.77
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)298.299.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1989.5486.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)663.18
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.6219.21
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.964.932.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6514.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4384.554646.311282.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.23.09
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.542.132.97
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades440.0212.0228.0
Number Winning Trades197.094.0103.0
Number Losing Trades243.0118.0125.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.7744.3445.18
Avg P&l4.520.246.640.332.550.15
Avg Winning Trade25.081.830.112.0220.491.6
Avg Losing Trade12.141.0312.061.0212.231.05
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0652.4971.676
Largest Winning Trade90.5290.5265.15
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.834.833.51
Largest Losing Trade45.3730.2945.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.842.842.59
Avg # Bars In Trades10.011.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.012.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.09.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.495
Sortino Ratio2.647
Profit Factor1.6741.9891.381
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1989.35663.121407.38469.13581.97193.99
Gross Profit4940.371646.792830.21943.42110.16703.39
Gross Loss2951.02983.671422.83474.281528.19509.4
Expected Payoff4.526.642.55
Commission Paid112.5656.9655.6
Buy & Hold Return919.16306.39
Buy & Hold % Gain306.4
Strategy Outperformance1070.2
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)87.8471.539.73
Return On Initial Capital663.12469.13193.99
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required696.42492.69203.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)86.328.77
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)298.299.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1989.5486.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)663.18
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.6219.21
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.964.932.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6514.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4384.554646.311282.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.23.09
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.542.132.97
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades440.0212.0228.0
Number Winning Trades197.094.0103.0
Number Losing Trades243.0118.0125.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.7744.3445.18
Avg P&l4.520.246.640.332.550.15
Avg Winning Trade25.081.830.112.0220.491.6
Avg Losing Trade12.141.0312.061.0212.231.05
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0652.4971.676
Largest Winning Trade90.5290.5265.15
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.834.833.51
Largest Losing Trade45.3730.2945.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.842.842.59
Avg # Bars In Trades10.011.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.012.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.09.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.495
Sortino Ratio2.647
Profit Factor1.6741.9891.381
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, various key performance metrics have been identified:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 663.12%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 87.84%
Sharpe Ratio 0.495
Profit Factor 1.67
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility 33%

The strategy's cumulative return of 663.12% and annualized return of 87.84% showcase strong performance. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.495 is slightly below the optimal threshold of 0.5, it remains indicative of an acceptable risk-adjusted return. The Profit Factor of 1.67 is commendable, suggesting the strategy is profitable over time. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 0% indicates excellent downside protection.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears viable for real-world trading, given its competitive performance metrics and lack of drawdowns. It performs well under existing market conditions, and its outperformance over the buy & hold benchmark is a solid indicator of its effectiveness. However, the persistence of these favorable market conditions needs assessment to ensure continued success.

Risk Management

The strategy effectively mitigates risks, as highlighted by a maximum drawdown of 0%, implying strong risk management and capital preservation. Despite the optimal performance, there's potential to enhance risk management practices further:

  • Leverage dynamic position sizing to modify exposure based on changes in market volatility.
  • Incorporate advanced stop-loss strategies to hedge against improbable market shifts.
  • Consider market diversification to reduce concentration risk and improve overall risk management.

Improvement Suggestions

For improving the strategy's performance, consider the following approaches:

  • Refine the strategy parameters to increase return potential and maintain drawdown levels.
  • Integrate a broader array of technical indicators, optimizing the trade entry and exit conditions.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward tests to confirm the strategy’s adaptability to various market states.
  • Enhance the risk management framework using sophisticated techniques such as VaR-based adjustments and rigorous stress testing.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy indicates strong performance with significant returns and robust risk management. Despite the marginally suboptimal Sharpe Ratio, the strategy's high Profit Factor and non-existent drawdown signify it is well-suited for continued application in different market scenarios.

Recommendation: Continue with the current strategy while integrating the recommended enhancements and optimizations to further boost performance and stability in varying market landscapes.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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