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bavo precisiontrendmastery btcusd 1h 05.11.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @bavo
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [719d341b]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY BTCUSD 1H 05.11.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +12203.47% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1385.06%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.71%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.595
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.68%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
987
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 24, 2018
2,631
Days
987
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 5, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2018-11-24 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.02
  • Calmar: -2.09
  • Longest DD Days: 91.00
  • Volatility: 0.35
  • Skew: 0.95
  • Kurtosis: 6.23
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.09
  • Expected Yearly: 1.03
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.62
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-05 22:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 461
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 526
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.09
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.60
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.82
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.60
  • Tail Ratio: 1.92
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.51
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.78
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 24.80

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-1.31%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.44%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+20,706.36%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+65,001.56%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+156,858.53%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+120,895.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+304,348.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
987
Cumulative
-2.18%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
2,101,579.27%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2018
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-6.29%
+149.01%
Simple P&L
+5.78%
+638.90%
Simple P&L
2019
-1.28%
+572.63%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+861.28%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+1,317.19%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+1,878.19%
Simple P&L
-0.34%
+4,369.78%
Simple P&L
-2.88%
+5,606.09%
Simple P&L
+4.16%
+5,310.73%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+8,592.98%
Simple P&L
-1.35%
+4,267.16%
Simple P&L
-3.30%
+8,712.11%
Simple P&L
+4.12%
+8,052.56%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5,305.05%
Simple P&L
2020
+0.01%
+9,461.12%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+6,110.15%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
+11,140.50%
Simple P&L
-1.68%
+13,771.27%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
+11,665.78%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+10,622.46%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+9,671.92%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+9,807.43%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+10,927.03%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+14,561.19%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+16,506.77%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
+13,943.43%
Simple P&L
2021
-3.40%
+16,007.79%
Simple P&L
+3.38%
+10,405.99%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+14,334.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+18,317.50%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
+15,386.38%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+22,294.92%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+24,085.92%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+17,757.20%
Simple P&L
+0.46%
+17,342.25%
Simple P&L
-0.46%
+23,974.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+20,126.05%
Simple P&L
+0.99%
+17,045.15%
Simple P&L
2022
-0.99%
+19,891.57%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
+23,733.65%
Simple P&L
-0.35%
+12,348.28%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
+23,616.00%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+24,720.30%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+23,518.85%
Simple P&L
+0.89%
+21,803.03%
Simple P&L
-0.89%
+24,290.69%
Simple P&L
-0.06%
+28,306.03%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+24,369.18%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+26,182.75%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+19,622.02%
Simple P&L
2023
-2.82%
+23,397.18%
Simple P&L
+3.43%
+17,298.47%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
+36,392.41%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+31,873.30%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+34,067.17%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+29,314.83%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+26,804.99%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+32,607.08%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+29,991.81%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+27,485.54%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+27,614.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+37,104.33%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.92%
+29,254.58%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+36,260.71%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+24,862.57%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+43,801.36%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+34,826.45%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+29,272.32%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+47,849.36%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+31,774.97%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+50,629.30%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+44,403.10%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+37,930.41%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+40,920.58%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.53%
+43,526.88%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+50,353.33%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+37,002.36%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+41,281.87%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+45,258.94%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+37,508.12%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+41,744.97%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

987

Number of Trades

-2.18%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-05-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

65001.56%

30 Days

120895.66%

60 Days

156858.53%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3761.351253.782558.18852.731203.16401.05
Gross Profit9417.013139.05456.881818.963960.131320.04
Gross Loss5655.661885.222898.69966.232756.97918.99
Expected Payoff4.666.133.09
Commission Paid211.28112.8398.45
Buy & Hold Return5292.171764.06
Buy & Hold % Gain1764.07
Strategy Outperformance-1530.83
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)54.5845.7730.92
Return On Initial Capital1253.78852.73401.05
Account Size Required224.89
Return On Account Size Required1672.521137.52535.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)81.927.3
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)384.47128.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3770.4492.63
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1256.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)17 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)53.4417.81
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown16.7311.385.35
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)182.2360.74
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)224.8916.6
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)74.96
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4291.642956.31372.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.141.665.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.552.993.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades807.0417.0390.0
Number Winning Trades390.0200.0190.0
Number Losing Trades417.0217.0200.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.3347.9648.72
Avg P&l4.660.336.130.413.090.24
Avg Winning Trade24.151.8127.281.9720.841.64
Avg Losing Trade13.561.0513.361.0213.781.09
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.782.0431.512
Largest Winning Trade201.2890.52201.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.044.8311.04
Largest Losing Trade87.6486.5387.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.354.235.35
Avg # Bars In Trades8.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.09.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades8.08.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.518
Sortino Ratio2.254
Profit Factor1.6651.8831.436
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4155.181385.062751.35917.121403.83467.94
Gross Profit11139.713713.246248.532082.844891.181630.39
Gross Loss6984.532328.183497.181165.733487.351162.45
Expected Payoff4.215.62.83
Commission Paid256.95132.45124.51
Buy & Hold Return5218.311739.44
Buy & Hold % Gain1739.45
Strategy Outperformance-1063.13
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)45.1937.7927.13
Return On Initial Capital1385.06917.12467.94
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required1454.63963.18491.45
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)12 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)84.7628.25
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)384.47128.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4191.4693.32
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1397.15
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.2819.09
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown14.559.634.91
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6516.6
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4741.03179.531601.75
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.811.454.12
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.252.472.51
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades987.0491.0496.0
Number Winning Trades461.0227.0234.0
Number Losing Trades526.0264.0262.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.7146.2347.18
Avg P&l4.210.285.60.362.830.2
Avg Winning Trade24.161.827.531.9820.91.63
Avg Losing Trade13.281.0513.251.0213.311.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.822.0781.57
Largest Winning Trade201.2890.52201.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.044.8311.04
Largest Losing Trade87.6486.5387.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.354.235.35
Avg # Bars In Trades8.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.010.07.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades9.08.09.0
Sharpe Ratio0.473
Sortino Ratio2.015
Profit Factor1.5951.7871.403
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 447.38%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 44.87%
Sharpe Ratio 0.472
Profit Factor 1.59
Maximum Drawdown -95.22% (intrabar)
Volatility (Annualized) 35%

While the strategy boasts a respectable cumulative return of 447.38% and an annualized return of 44.87%, there are a few areas to consider for improvement. The Sharpe Ratio, at 0.472, is slightly below the desirable threshold, suggesting that risk-adjusted returns could be enhanced. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -95.22% is a significant concern, indicating potential risk exposure that may need adjustment.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential viability but requires caution due to its maximum drawdown exceeding the acceptable limit. It's essential to address this to consider it feasible for real-world trading. The current market conditions and trends need to be examined to ensure longevity and consistency. Comparing the performance to industry benchmarks, it would benefit from further refinement to improve its risk profile.

Risk Management

Risk management is a critical area for enhancement within this strategy. With a high drawdown rate, the following suggestions can improve its safety measures:

  • Decrease leverage usage to reduce drawdown risks.
  • Incorporate dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to better manage market downturns.
  • Improve position sizing strategies in response to market volatility slopes.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the strategy’s output and stability, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage and position sizing to prevent large drawdowns.
  • Refine entry and exit points by calibrating existing indicators.
  • Conduct thorough backtesting across diverse market conditions to assess robustness.
  • Explore diversification of trading instruments to reduce concentrated risk.
  • Implement stress testing and VaR assessments for advanced risk insights.

Final Opinion

The strategy demonstrates promise through commendable returns and performance metrics but must address volatility and drawdown challenges to ensure optimal risk management. It has a foundational structure that warrants further exploration and modification.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and strategic adjustments, focusing on risk management improvements. Optimize the risk exposure and validate the strategy’s robustness to enhance performance further and adapt to market changes effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
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Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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