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bavo precisiontrendmastery btcusd 1h 05.11.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @bavo
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [719d341b]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY BTCUSD 1H 05.11.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +11832.59% Updated 12 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
663.12%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.77%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.674
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.24%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
440
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2023
1,165
Days
440
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-09 09:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.65
  • Calmar: -2.23
  • Longest DD Days: 91.00
  • Volatility: 0.33
  • Skew: 0.56
  • Kurtosis: -0.53
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.09
  • Expected Yearly: 1.12
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.03
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-19 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 197
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 243
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.67
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.07
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.67
  • Tail Ratio: 1.95
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.30
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.76
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 13.42

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.19%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+11,832.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+25,152.40%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+68,783.26%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+45,862.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+138,098.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
440
Cumulative
-0.74%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
496,645.02%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-3.49%
+1,179.24%
Simple P&L
+3.43%
+1,746.04%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
+5,287.54%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+5,212.00%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+5,184.10%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,875.31%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+4,587.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5,945.76%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5,552.27%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+5,267.81%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+5,396.89%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+8,221.26%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.92%
+7,036.85%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+9,599.39%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+7,088.37%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+12,696.49%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+10,386.93%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+9,276.35%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+16,744.50%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+11,778.99%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+19,524.44%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+17,741.82%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+15,712.67%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16,481.05%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.53%
+16,865.57%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+19,248.48%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+14,784.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16,842.35%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+18,597.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+15,290.38%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+17,305.44%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+16,084.41%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

440

Number of Trades

-0.74%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-05-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

25152.4%

30 Days

45862.17%

60 Days

68783.26%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1989.35663.121407.38469.13581.97193.99
Gross Profit4940.371646.792830.21943.42110.16703.39
Gross Loss2951.02983.671422.83474.281528.19509.4
Expected Payoff4.526.642.55
Commission Paid112.5656.9655.6
Buy & Hold Return948.28316.09
Buy & Hold % Gain316.1
Strategy Outperformance1041.08
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)88.171.739.83
Return On Initial Capital663.12469.13193.99
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required696.42492.69203.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)86.328.77
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)298.299.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1989.5486.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)663.18
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.6219.21
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.964.932.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6514.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4384.554646.311282.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.23.09
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.542.132.97
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades440.0212.0228.0
Number Winning Trades197.094.0103.0
Number Losing Trades243.0118.0125.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.7744.3445.18
Avg P&l4.520.246.640.332.550.15
Avg Winning Trade25.081.830.112.0220.491.6
Avg Losing Trade12.141.0312.061.0212.231.05
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0652.4971.676
Largest Winning Trade90.5290.5265.15
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.834.833.51
Largest Losing Trade45.3730.2945.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.842.842.59
Avg # Bars In Trades10.011.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.012.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.09.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.495
Sortino Ratio2.647
Profit Factor1.6741.9891.381
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1989.35663.121407.38469.13581.97193.99
Gross Profit4940.371646.792830.21943.42110.16703.39
Gross Loss2951.02983.671422.83474.281528.19509.4
Expected Payoff4.526.642.55
Commission Paid112.5656.9655.6
Buy & Hold Return948.28316.09
Buy & Hold % Gain316.1
Strategy Outperformance1041.08
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)88.171.739.83
Return On Initial Capital663.12469.13193.99
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required696.42492.69203.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)14 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)86.328.77
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)298.299.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1989.5486.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)663.18
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.6219.21
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.964.932.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6514.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4384.554646.311282.68
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.23.09
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.542.132.97
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades440.0212.0228.0
Number Winning Trades197.094.0103.0
Number Losing Trades243.0118.0125.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.7744.3445.18
Avg P&l4.520.246.640.332.550.15
Avg Winning Trade25.081.830.112.0220.491.6
Avg Losing Trade12.141.0312.061.0212.231.05
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.0652.4971.676
Largest Winning Trade90.5290.5265.15
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.834.833.51
Largest Losing Trade45.3730.2945.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.842.842.59
Avg # Bars In Trades10.011.010.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.012.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades10.09.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.495
Sortino Ratio2.647
Profit Factor1.6741.9891.381
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 87.76%
Sharpe Ratio 0.492
Profit Factor 1.67
Maximum Drawdown -95.22%
Volatility 33%
Percent Profitable 44.52%

The strategy demonstrates a solid annualized return of 87.76%, indicating a significant upside. The profit factor of 1.67 is above 1, reflecting profitability; however, the Sharpe ratio is slightly below the optimal threshold of 0.5, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. Notably, the maximum drawdown is high at -95.22%, indicating significant volatility and potential risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential but requires caution due to the high drawdown. While it significantly outperforms a buy-and-hold approach in terms of net profit, the viability for real-world trading hinges on reducing risk exposure. The strategy must adapt to varying market conditions to enhance its resilience.

Risk Management

Current risk management appears to fall short, given the substantial maximum drawdown. Improvements can be realized through:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease drawdown risks.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss orders to minimize large losses.
  • Diversifying entry strategies to lower unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage and reduce exposure to avoid severe drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional indicators to refine entry and exit positions.
  • Conduct thorough backtesting under varied historical conditions to validate stability.
  • Implement dynamic position sizing to mitigate volatility impacts.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits strong profit potential with an impressive annualized return but faces critical challenges related to risk management. By addressing these challenges, such as high drawdowns, the strategy could become more viable for real-world implementation.

Recommendation: Modify and further test the strategy, focusing particularly on enhancing risk management features. Once improvements are validated, the strategy could present a compelling trading opportunity.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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