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bavo precisiontrendmastery btcusd 1h 05.11.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @bavo
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [719d341b]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY BTCUSD 1H 05.11.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +5.38% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1323.91%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.58%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.579
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
26148%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
966
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 24, 2018
2,590
Days
966
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 26, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2018-11-24 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.01
  • Calmar: -2.03
  • Longest DD Days: 91.00
  • Volatility: 0.35
  • Skew: 0.96
  • Kurtosis: 6.41
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.08
  • Expected Yearly: 1.00
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.09
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-26 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 450
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 516
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.03
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.58
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.81
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.58
  • Tail Ratio: 1.92
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.52
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.77
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 22.96

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+2,363.30%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3,950.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-24,302.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-25,141.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-19,457.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+5.38%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+100.38%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+761.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+336.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1,197.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
99.1%
Total Trades
966
Cumulative
87,618.80%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
17,876.83%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2018
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3,935.80%
+96.54%
Simple P&L
-4.70%
+131.19%
Simple P&L
2019
-501.30%
+58.22%
Simple P&L
+366.50%
+159.60%
Simple P&L
+236.70%
+131.56%
Simple P&L
+1,131.40%
+313.05%
Simple P&L
+3,043.40%
+382.65%
Simple P&L
+4,237.00%
+357.41%
Simple P&L
-2,956.50%
+155.61%
Simple P&L
+47.10%
+327.21%
Simple P&L
-956.10%
+153.10%
Simple P&L
+1,544.90%
+265.65%
Simple P&L
-2,621.20%
+224.71%
Simple P&L
-217.30%
+140.21%
Simple P&L
2020
+2,020.10%
+218.36%
Simple P&L
-495.30%
+119.02%
Simple P&L
-2,453.30%
+572.48%
Simple P&L
+2,368.00%
+250.90%
Simple P&L
+643.40%
+214.53%
Simple P&L
-359.20%
+96.22%
Simple P&L
+1,892.80%
+202.69%
Simple P&L
+505.00%
+84.59%
Simple P&L
-843.20%
+168.52%
Simple P&L
+2,865.10%
+192.55%
Simple P&L
+6,132.60%
+268.05%
Simple P&L
+8,642.40%
+224.06%
Simple P&L
2021
+8,896.60%
+304.62%
Simple P&L
+16,768.60%
+213.96%
Simple P&L
+3,598.50%
+248.07%
Simple P&L
-839.60%
+385.10%
Simple P&L
-20,654.50%
+466.19%
Simple P&L
-1,219.90%
+236.21%
Simple P&L
+7,491.90%
+427.32%
Simple P&L
+5,217.50%
+167.37%
Simple P&L
-3,642.90%
+159.61%
Simple P&L
+18,210.90%
+224.06%
Simple P&L
-5,268.80%
+192.48%
Simple P&L
-10,113.60%
+261.26%
Simple P&L
2022
-8,145.10%
+183.53%
Simple P&L
+3,155.20%
+214.76%
Simple P&L
+4,017.90%
+154.47%
Simple P&L
-7,758.40%
+169.63%
Simple P&L
-6,491.10%
+258.70%
Simple P&L
-12,166.90%
+186.45%
Simple P&L
+3,869.70%
+189.51%
Simple P&L
-3,186.40%
+160.24%
Simple P&L
-995.90%
+282.03%
Simple P&L
+1,115.80%
+166.38%
Simple P&L
-3,363.00%
+161.51%
Simple P&L
-299.30%
+102.58%
Simple P&L
2023
+7,206.90%
+371.03%
Simple P&L
-785.80%
+154.85%
Simple P&L
+5,294.70%
+275.79%
Simple P&L
+289.70%
+130.15%
Simple P&L
-1,329.50%
+162.15%
Simple P&L
+3,029.50%
+148.91%
Simple P&L
-1,221.30%
+134.28%
Simple P&L
-1,555.70%
+218.61%
Simple P&L
-827.70%
+99.99%
Simple P&L
+7,426.40%
+263.18%
Simple P&L
+3,314.10%
+139.27%
Simple P&L
+4,756.00%
+350.61%
Simple P&L
2024
+344.00%
+176.69%
Simple P&L
+18,442.40%
+262.81%
Simple P&L
+10,221.40%
+133.92%
Simple P&L
-10,622.40%
+149.55%
Simple P&L
+8,774.00%
+157.41%
Simple P&L
-9,266.50%
+154.31%
Simple P&L
+3,624.70%
+345.61%
Simple P&L
-7,803.60%
+171.00%
Simple P&L
+5,187.60%
+191.81%
Simple P&L
+5,905.00%
+223.49%
Simple P&L
+25,206.00%
+183.72%
Simple P&L
+1,911.60%
+84.04%
Simple P&L
2025
+5,501.80%
+169.43%
Simple P&L
-23,673.40%
+229.69%
Simple P&L
+4,052.90%
+166.99%
Simple P&L
+12,022.00%
+180.66%
Simple P&L
+13,542.10%
+58.81%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

966

Number of Trades

87618.8%

Cumulative Returns

99.07%

Win Rate

2024-05-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

100.38%

30 Days

336.76%

60 Days

761.84%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3761.351253.782558.18852.731203.16401.05
Gross Profit9417.013139.05456.881818.963960.131320.04
Gross Loss5655.661885.222898.69966.232756.97918.99
Expected Payoff4.666.133.09
Commission Paid211.28112.8398.45
Buy & Hold Return5292.171764.06
Buy & Hold % Gain1764.07
Strategy Outperformance-1530.83
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)54.5845.7730.92
Return On Initial Capital1253.78852.73401.05
Account Size Required224.89
Return On Account Size Required1672.521137.52535.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)81.927.3
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)384.47128.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3770.4492.63
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1256.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)17 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)53.4417.81
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown16.7311.385.35
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)182.2360.74
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)224.8916.6
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)74.96
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4291.642956.31372.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.141.665.08
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.552.993.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades807.0417.0390.0
Number Winning Trades390.0200.0190.0
Number Losing Trades417.0217.0200.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.3347.9648.72
Avg P&l4.660.336.130.413.090.24
Avg Winning Trade24.151.8127.281.9720.841.64
Avg Losing Trade13.561.0513.361.0213.781.09
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.782.0431.512
Largest Winning Trade201.2890.52201.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.044.8311.04
Largest Losing Trade87.6486.5387.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.354.235.35
Avg # Bars In Trades8.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.09.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades8.08.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.518
Sortino Ratio2.254
Profit Factor1.6651.8831.436
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital300
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3971.731323.912691.27897.091280.45426.82
Gross Profit10828.383609.466137.762045.924690.621563.54
Gross Loss6856.652285.553446.481148.833410.171136.72
Expected Payoff4.115.562.66
Commission Paid250.92130.33120.6
Buy & Hold Return6575.042191.68
Buy & Hold % Gain2191.7
Strategy Outperformance-2603.32
Max Contracts Held11.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)45.1938.1126.28
Return On Initial Capital1323.91897.09426.82
Account Size Required285.65
Return On Account Size Required1390.4942.15448.25
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)12 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)84.7328.24
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)384.47128.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4113.6193.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1371.2
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)18 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)57.0619.02
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown13.99.424.48
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)281.5393.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)285.6516.6
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)95.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4531.683110.111460.98
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.861.474.29
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.282.512.57
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades966.0484.0482.0
Number Winning Trades450.0224.0226.0
Number Losing Trades516.0260.0256.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.5846.2846.89
Avg P&l4.110.285.560.372.660.19
Avg Winning Trade24.061.827.41.9820.751.63
Avg Losing Trade13.291.0513.261.0213.321.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8112.0671.558
Largest Winning Trade201.2890.52201.28
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.044.8311.04
Largest Losing Trade87.6486.5387.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.354.235.35
Avg # Bars In Trades8.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades8.010.07.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades8.08.09.0
Sharpe Ratio0.472
Sortino Ratio2.012
Profit Factor1.5791.7811.375
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
CAGR (Annualized Return) 45.19%
Sharpe Ratio 0.472
Profit Factor 1.579
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 16.6%
Volatility (Annualized) 35%

The strategy showcases a solid annualized return of 45.19%, with a favorable maximum drawdown of 16.6%. Although the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below the preferred threshold of 0.5, it remains in close proximity, offering a promising risk-adjusted return profile. The profit factor of 1.579 indicates that the strategy generates $1.58 for every $1 lost, a strong feature for the overall performance.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy has the potential for real-world trading viability, especially in environments with consistent trends. While its performance is not currently surpassing industry benchmarks, it holds promise if honed further. The reasonable drawdown and steady performance across various conditions underpin its strength. As crypto markets evolve, the strategy may show improved results, especially if conditions conducive to the strategy's approach persist.

Risk Management

The strategy effectively manages risk, evidenced by the low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, the Sharpe Ratio hints at a need for refinement. Enhancements could focus on:

  • Reducing leverage to ease potential drawdown impacts, enhancing stability.
  • Instituting adaptive stop-loss measures, tailored to current market volatility for better protection.
  • Examining position sizing to optimize the balance between risk and return.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to refine entry and exit points for improved returns.
  • Incorporate a broader range of indicators to gain diverse market insights.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to assess strategy resilience against varied market conditions.
  • Integrate VaR (Value-at-Risk) and stress testing for comprehensive risk assessment.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates commendable performance metrics, particularly in terms of returns and drawdown management. While the Sharpe Ratio suggests room for improvement, the strategy has the foundation to be further refined and optimized. With adjustments, especially in risk management and parameter optimization, the strategy could thrive in real-world application.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster robustness and adjust the risk management framework to deftly handle evolving market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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