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DaviddTech
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aly8.8 stiffsurge injusdt 30m 03.12.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @aly8.8
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7dfb9a56]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE INJUSDT 30M 03.12.2024

Trading Pair
INJ
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 months ago
Total Return Primary
-1.07%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
36.17%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.921
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.39%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
47
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 17, 2025
523
Days
47
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-17 09:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.35
  • Calmar: 0.23
  • Longest DD Days: 44.00
  • Volatility: 9.17
  • Skew: 0.68
  • Kurtosis: -1.39
  • Expected Daily: -0.04
  • Expected Monthly: -0.85
  • Expected Yearly: -9.73
  • Kelly Criterion: -5.17
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.61
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.65
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 3
  • Number Winning Trades 17
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 30
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.87
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.68
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.87
  • Tail Ratio: 1.50
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: -0.04

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.72%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.34%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
36.2%
Total Trades
47
Cumulative
-1.39%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-9.58%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-4.89%
+3.89%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+2.19%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
-8.16%
Simple P&L
-1.14%
-14.09%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
-1.72%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
-10.88%
Simple P&L
+0.66%
+9.09%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
-1.22%
Simple P&L
+1.59%
+1.22%
Simple P&L
+0.73%
+2.07%
Simple P&L
-2.24%
+17.60%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

47

Number of Trades

-1.39%

Cumulative Returns

36.17%

Win Rate

2024-12-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-1069.85-1.07-1069.85-1.070.00.0
Gross Profit12407.6312.4112407.6312.410.00.0
Gross Loss13477.4913.4813477.4913.480.00.0
Expected Payoff-22.76-22.760.0
Commission Paid372.55372.550.0
Buy & Hold Return-87074.38-87.07
Buy & Hold % Gain-87.07
Strategy Outperformance86004.52
Max Contracts Held30813081.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-0.88-0.880.0
Return On Initial Capital-1.07-1.070.0
Account Size Required4073.75
Return On Account Size Required-26.26-26.260.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)264 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1846.11.85
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1846.11.85
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3711.723.68
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)124 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4006.524.01
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.26-0.260.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4006.524.01
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)4073.754.03
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4.07
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-160.51-160.510.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit7.87.80.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.954.950.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades47.047.00.0
Number Winning Trades17.017.00.0
Number Losing Trades30.030.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable36.1736.17
Avg P&l-22.76-0.2-22.76-0.2
Avg Winning Trade729.867.39729.867.39
Avg Losing Trade449.254.51449.254.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6251.625
Largest Winning Trade967.24967.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.559.55
Largest Losing Trade666.55666.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.446.44
Avg # Bars In Trades61.061.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades64.064.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.059.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.327
Sortino Ratio-0.351
Profit Factor0.9210.921
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-1069.85-1.07-1069.85-1.070.00.0
Gross Profit12407.6312.4112407.6312.410.00.0
Gross Loss13477.4913.4813477.4913.480.00.0
Expected Payoff-22.76-22.760.0
Commission Paid372.55372.550.0
Buy & Hold Return-87074.38-87.07
Buy & Hold % Gain-87.07
Strategy Outperformance86004.52
Max Contracts Held30813081.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-0.88-0.880.0
Return On Initial Capital-1.07-1.070.0
Account Size Required4073.75
Return On Account Size Required-26.26-26.260.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)264 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1846.11.85
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1846.11.85
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3711.723.68
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)124 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4006.524.01
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.26-0.260.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4006.524.01
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)4073.754.03
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4.07
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-160.51-160.510.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit7.87.80.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.954.950.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades47.047.00.0
Number Winning Trades17.017.00.0
Number Losing Trades30.030.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable36.1736.17
Avg P&l-22.76-0.2-22.76-0.2
Avg Winning Trade729.867.39729.867.39
Avg Losing Trade449.254.51449.254.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6251.625
Largest Winning Trade967.24967.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.559.55
Largest Losing Trade666.55666.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.446.44
Avg # Bars In Trades61.061.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades64.064.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.059.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.327
Sortino Ratio-0.351
Profit Factor0.9210.921
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, it's essential to acknowledge several performance metrics that highlight the current state of the strategy:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit -1.07%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -0.88%
Sharpe Ratio -0.327
Profit Factor 0.921
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility 9.17%

The strategy currently shows a net loss with slightly negative returns. The Sharpe ratio of -0.327 also indicates low risk-adjusted returns, while the profit factor below 1 suggests that losses are outweighing gains. Despite this, the maximum drawdown is notably at 0%, indicating an effective management of downside risk thus far.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy is not viable for real-world trading in its current form due to its negative net profit and low Sharpe ratio. It underperforms industry benchmarks significantly. To make it viable, key parameters must be optimized, and market conditions in which it was tested need to be reassessed to understand if they are applicable to future scenarios.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management seems efficient at limiting drawdowns, reflected by the 0% maximum drawdown. However, the low volatility (9.17%) might indicate insufficient engagement with beneficial market opportunities. Improving the risk-reward ratio and maintaining strict position sizing and stop-loss tactics are vital. Consider these enhancements:

  • Implementing a dynamic risk management system to balance risk and exposure.
  • Adjust leverage to minimize unnecessary exposure.
  • Adopting a broader diversification strategy to offset individual trade risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy's performance, consider implementing these recommendations:

  • Recalibrate strategy parameters to maximize profitable trades and minimize drawdowns.
  • Incorporate more predictive technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
  • Simultaneously perform out-of-sample testing to ensure reliability across varied market conditions.
  • Investigate opportunities to optimize leverage, which may help minimize potential large drawdowns.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy currently demonstrates limited performance with negative returns and poor risk-adjusted metrics, but exhibits standout strengths in drawdown management. To ensure future success, it's crucial to retune strategy elements and validate performance across diverse market environments.

Recommendation: Modify and extensively test the strategy to fruition, focusing on improving return metrics while leveraging its strong risk management foundation.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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