StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [30260a4c]
🛡️ STIFFTREND WIFUSDT 30M 21.05 @reid
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2024-03-14 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 0.86
- Calmar: -2.37
- Longest DD Days: 113.00
- Volatility: 74.62
- Skew: -0.20
- Kurtosis: -1.83
- Expected Daily: 0.51
- Expected Monthly: 11.28
- Expected Yearly: 260.77
- Kelly Criterion: 7.20
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.14
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.66
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-15 14:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 121
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 99
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.37
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
- Payoff Ratio: 0.96
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
- Tail Ratio: 1.07
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.24
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.25
- Serenity Index: 4.43
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 152.44% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 120.46% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.432 |
Profit Factor | 1.185 |
Maximum Drawdown | 51.07% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 74.62% |
The strategy has achieved a strong cumulative net profit of 152.44% with an annualized return of 120.46%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.432 indicates that the risk-adjusted performance could be improved to meet the threshold of 0.5. The maximum drawdown of 51.07% is higher than optimal, suggesting potential risk exposure, which might be reduced through strategic risk management adjustments.
Strategy Viability
While the strategy does demonstrate positive returns, its viability may be challenged by the relatively high maximum drawdown. This suggests a potential vulnerability during periods of high market volatility. As crypto markets tend to be volatile, assess whether these conditions are likely to stabilize to see if performance will consistently improve with reduced drawdowns.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management could be enhanced as indicated by the high drawdown and volatility:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown and increase stability.
- Employ tighter stop-loss limits to protect against outsized losses.
- Integrate volatility-targeting position sizing to help stabilize returns amidst market fluctuations.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the performance and risk-adjusted returns of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize and fine-tune strategy parameters to align with desired risk and return profiles.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies, which could improve winning trades consistency.
- Conduct further backtesting across different market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptability.
- Implement stress tests and sensitivity analyses to evaluate the strategy’s behavior under various scenarios.
Final Opinion
The strategy shows promising potential with a noteworthy net profit and annualized return. However, it does exhibit areas that require attention, particularly in enhancing risk management to mitigate high drawdowns and volatility. The strategy's resilience amidst shifting crypto market conditions would be improved by adopting suggested amendments.
Recommendation: Proceed with modifications as suggested, focusing on achieving a more robust risk management framework and verifying these adjustments with continued testing and optimization. This will better position the strategy for longevity and success in real-world trading.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28.65% | 28.05% | 1.04% | -4.13% | 23.63% | 1.87% | 7.99% | 8.35% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
WIF
Base Currency
189
Number of Trades
54.06%
Cumulative Returns
52.91%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
41.58%
30 Days
102.16%
60 Days
57.18%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 80056.29 | 80.06 | 56946.95 | 56.95 | 23109.35 | 23.11 |
Gross Profit | 147496.18 | 147.5 | 93815.47 | 93.82 | 53680.7 | 53.68 |
Gross Loss | 67439.89 | 67.44 | 36868.53 | 36.87 | 30571.36 | 30.57 |
Commission Paid | 3270.81 | 2007.78 | 1263.04 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 5634.44 | 5.63 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 94065.65 | 51.06 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 23716.73 | 17.22 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 61592.0 | 57530.0 | 61592.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 31.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 21.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 10.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 67.74 | 73.68 | 58.33 | |||
Avg P&l | 2582.46 | 2.04 | 2997.21 | 2.67 | 1925.78 | 1.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 7023.63 | 5.4 | 6701.11 | 5.4 | 7668.67 | 5.42 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6743.99 | 5.03 | 7373.71 | 4.98 | 6114.27 | 5.08 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.041 | 0.909 | 1.254 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9427.25 | 9296.49 | 9427.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.42 | 5.42 | 5.42 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 9259.62 | 9259.62 | 7600.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 15.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 17.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 11.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.239 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.517 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.187 | 2.545 | 1.756 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 152441.85 | 152.44 | 101236.33 | 101.24 | 51205.53 | 51.21 |
Gross Profit | 978469.67 | 978.47 | 626271.98 | 626.27 | 352197.69 | 352.2 |
Gross Loss | 826027.82 | 826.03 | 525035.65 | 525.04 | 300992.16 | 300.99 |
Commission Paid | 31121.63 | 19606.02 | 11515.61 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -64466.66 | -64.47 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 174685.91 | 65.95 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 131304.44 | 51.07 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 415274.0 | 415274.0 | 412598.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 220.0 | 135.0 | 85.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 121.0 | 75.0 | 46.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 99.0 | 60.0 | 39.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.0 | 55.56 | 54.12 | |||
Avg P&l | 692.92 | 0.53 | 749.9 | 0.62 | 602.42 | 0.39 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8086.53 | 4.71 | 8350.29 | 4.79 | 7656.47 | 4.58 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8343.72 | 4.58 | 8750.59 | 4.6 | 7717.75 | 4.54 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.969 | 0.954 | 0.992 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13371.09 | 13371.09 | 12794.98 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.43 | 5.43 | 5.43 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21901.38 | 21901.38 | 12496.27 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.81 | 8.81 | 5.09 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 19.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 24.0 | 16.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.432 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.864 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.185 | 1.193 | 1.17 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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