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Traders should know
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reid stifftrend wifusdt 30m 21.05

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StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [30260a4c]

🛡️ STIFFTREND WIFUSDT 30M 21.05 @reid

TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes

by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 2 hours ago

152.44%

Net Profit

55%

Win Rate

220

Total Closed Trades

1.185

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

72.38% 🚀

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-03-14 01:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.86
  • Calmar: -2.37
  • Longest DD Days: 113.00
  • Volatility: 74.62
  • Skew: -0.20
  • Kurtosis: -1.83
  • Expected Daily: 0.51
  • Expected Monthly: 11.28
  • Expected Yearly: 260.77
  • Kelly Criterion: 7.20
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.14
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.66
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-15 14:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 121
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 99
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.37
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.96
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
  • Tail Ratio: 1.07
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.24
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.25
  • Serenity Index: 4.43

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 152.44%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 120.46%
Sharpe Ratio 0.432
Profit Factor 1.185
Maximum Drawdown 51.07%
Volatility (Annualized) 74.62%

The strategy has achieved a strong cumulative net profit of 152.44% with an annualized return of 120.46%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.432 indicates that the risk-adjusted performance could be improved to meet the threshold of 0.5. The maximum drawdown of 51.07% is higher than optimal, suggesting potential risk exposure, which might be reduced through strategic risk management adjustments.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy does demonstrate positive returns, its viability may be challenged by the relatively high maximum drawdown. This suggests a potential vulnerability during periods of high market volatility. As crypto markets tend to be volatile, assess whether these conditions are likely to stabilize to see if performance will consistently improve with reduced drawdowns.

Risk Management

The strategy’s risk management could be enhanced as indicated by the high drawdown and volatility:

  • Consider reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown and increase stability.
  • Employ tighter stop-loss limits to protect against outsized losses.
  • Integrate volatility-targeting position sizing to help stabilize returns amidst market fluctuations.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the performance and risk-adjusted returns of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize and fine-tune strategy parameters to align with desired risk and return profiles.
  • Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies, which could improve winning trades consistency.
  • Conduct further backtesting across different market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptability.
  • Implement stress tests and sensitivity analyses to evaluate the strategy’s behavior under various scenarios.

Final Opinion

The strategy shows promising potential with a noteworthy net profit and annualized return. However, it does exhibit areas that require attention, particularly in enhancing risk management to mitigate high drawdowns and volatility. The strategy's resilience amidst shifting crypto market conditions would be improved by adopting suggested amendments.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications as suggested, focusing on achieving a more robust risk management framework and verifying these adjustments with continued testing and optimization. This will better position the strategy for longevity and success in real-world trading.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20240.00%0.00%28.65%28.05%1.04%-4.13%23.63%1.87%7.99%8.35%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

WIF

Base Currency

189

Number of Trades

54.06%

Cumulative Returns

52.91%

Win Rate

2024-05-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

41.58%

30 Days

102.16%

60 Days

57.18%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit80056.2980.0656946.9556.9523109.3523.11
Gross Profit147496.18147.593815.4793.8253680.753.68
Gross Loss67439.8967.4436868.5336.8730571.3630.57
Commission Paid3270.812007.781263.04
Buy & Hold Return5634.445.63
Max Equity Run-up94065.6551.06
Max Drawdown23716.7317.22
Max Contracts Held61592.057530.061592.0
Total Closed Trades31.019.012.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades21.014.07.0
Number Losing Trades10.05.05.0
Percent Profitable67.7473.6858.33
Avg P&l2582.462.042997.212.671925.781.04
Avg Winning Trade7023.635.46701.115.47668.675.42
Avg Losing Trade6743.995.037373.714.986114.275.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0410.9091.254
Largest Winning Trade9427.259296.499427.25
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.425.425.42
Largest Losing Trade9259.629259.627600.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.085.085.08
Avg # Bars In Trades15.012.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.011.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades11.015.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.239
Sortino Ratio0.517
Profit Factor2.1872.5451.756
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit152441.85152.44101236.33101.2451205.5351.21
Gross Profit978469.67978.47626271.98626.27352197.69352.2
Gross Loss826027.82826.03525035.65525.04300992.16300.99
Commission Paid31121.6319606.0211515.61
Buy & Hold Return-64466.66-64.47
Max Equity Run-up174685.9165.95
Max Drawdown131304.4451.07
Max Contracts Held415274.0415274.0412598.0
Total Closed Trades220.0135.085.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades121.075.046.0
Number Losing Trades99.060.039.0
Percent Profitable55.055.5654.12
Avg P&l692.920.53749.90.62602.420.39
Avg Winning Trade8086.534.718350.294.797656.474.58
Avg Losing Trade8343.724.588750.594.67717.754.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9690.9540.992
Largest Winning Trade13371.0913371.0912794.98
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.435.435.43
Largest Losing Trade21901.3821901.3812496.27
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.818.815.09
Avg # Bars In Trades20.019.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.014.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.024.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.432
Sortino Ratio0.864
Profit Factor1.1851.1931.17
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
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