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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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mrdavetrading stifftrend maskusdt 30m 16.4

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @mrdavetrading
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2e489526]

🛡️ STIFFTREND MASKUSDT 30M 16.4

Trading Pair
MASK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.39% Updated 2 days ago
Total Return Primary
-26.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.82%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.759
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.03%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
55
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 8, 2025
420
Days
55
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 26, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-08 05:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.17
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.24
  • Calmar: 0.35
  • Longest DD Days: 52.00
  • Volatility: 0.12
  • Skew: 0.48
  • Kurtosis: -1.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: -0.03
  • Expected Yearly: -0.32
  • Kelly Criterion: -10.89
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-26 00:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 23
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 32
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.80
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.03
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.80
  • Tail Ratio: 1.05
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.15
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: -0.14

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-1.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-0.81%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.83%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.67%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.39%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+5.41%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+14.65%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+14.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
41.8%
Total Trades
55
Cumulative
-2.03%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-6.65%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-0.05%
+8.87%
Simple P&L
-1.99%
-4.24%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
-4.15%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
-2.47%
Simple P&L
+1.73%
+2.39%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+0.43%
Simple P&L
-0.87%
-1.54%
Simple P&L
+0.42%
-8.98%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

55

Number of Trades

-2.03%

Cumulative Returns

41.82%

Win Rate

2024-04-16

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

5.41%

30 Days

14.03%

60 Days

14.65%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital200
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-53.62-26.81-68.28-34.1414.667.33
Gross Profit169.0284.5140.9420.47128.0864.04
Gross Loss222.64111.32109.2254.61113.4256.71
Expected Payoff-0.97-2.730.49
Commission Paid17.817.8110.0
Buy & Hold Return-170.57-85.28
Buy & Hold % Gain-85.28
Strategy Outperformance116.95
Max Contracts Held684497.0684.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-23.49-30.116.26
Return On Initial Capital-26.81-34.147.33
Account Size Required134.72
Return On Account Size Required-39.8-50.6810.88
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)48 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)32.8516.43
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)38.1719.09
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)45.8529.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)22.93
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)316 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)134.0167.01
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.4-0.510.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)134.0167.01
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)134.7255.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.36
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-404.96-629.37110.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit8.9223.5811.77
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.959.9311.67
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades55.025.030.0
Number Winning Trades23.07.016.0
Number Losing Trades32.018.014.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.8228.053.33
Avg P&l-0.97-0.12-2.73-0.70.490.36
Avg Winning Trade7.352.485.852.28.012.6
Avg Losing Trade6.961.996.071.828.12.2
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0560.9640.988
Largest Winning Trade15.079.6515.07
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.523.023.52
Largest Losing Trade13.2410.8513.24
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.072.793.07
Avg # Bars In Trades19.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.017.019.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.173
Sortino Ratio-0.239
Profit Factor0.7590.3751.129
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital200
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-53.62-26.81-68.28-34.1414.667.33
Gross Profit169.0284.5140.9420.47128.0864.04
Gross Loss222.64111.32109.2254.61113.4256.71
Expected Payoff-0.97-2.730.49
Commission Paid17.817.8110.0
Buy & Hold Return-170.57-85.28
Buy & Hold % Gain-85.28
Strategy Outperformance116.95
Max Contracts Held684497.0684.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-23.49-30.116.26
Return On Initial Capital-26.81-34.147.33
Account Size Required134.72
Return On Account Size Required-39.8-50.6810.88
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)48 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)32.8516.43
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)38.1719.09
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)45.8529.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)22.93
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)316 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)134.0167.01
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.4-0.510.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)134.0167.01
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)134.7255.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.36
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-404.96-629.37110.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit8.9223.5811.77
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.959.9311.67
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades55.025.030.0
Number Winning Trades23.07.016.0
Number Losing Trades32.018.014.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.8228.053.33
Avg P&l-0.97-0.12-2.73-0.70.490.36
Avg Winning Trade7.352.485.852.28.012.6
Avg Losing Trade6.961.996.071.828.12.2
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0560.9640.988
Largest Winning Trade15.079.6515.07
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.523.023.52
Largest Losing Trade13.2410.8513.24
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.072.793.07
Avg # Bars In Trades19.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.017.019.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.173
Sortino Ratio-0.239
Profit Factor0.7590.3751.129
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 11.35%
Sharpe Ratio 0.123
Profit Factor 1.091
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar %) 55.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 30.00%
Percent Profitable 49.66%

The strategy exhibits a moderate annualized return of 11.35%, which is positive considering the challenging nature of crypto markets. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.123 indicates room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, and the maximum drawdown of 55.62% (intrabar) is above the ideal threshold, suggesting that managing setbacks requires attention.

Strategy Viability

Despite the moderate performance metrics, the strategy shows signs of viability, particularly since it outperformed a Buy & Hold approach with a return of 299.79% compared to a significant loss. The strategy's profitability is just shy of 50%, which hints at potential enhancements through optimization.

Risk Management

The strategy needs to enhance its risk management strategies, especially to manage high drawdowns and volatility. Key improvement areas could include:

  • Reducing leverage to lessen the impact of drawdowns.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss orders to minimize losses earlier.
  • Considering position sizing adjustments based on volatility and market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the strategy's performance and ensure more robust outcomes, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine strategy parameters to heighten returns and mitigate drawdowns.
  • Broaden the array of technical indicators to enhance entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct forward-testing and out-of-sample testing for broader market validation.
  • Explore incorporating advanced risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress scenarios.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy exhibits potential due to its ability to outperform a Buy & Hold tactic, even though it presently has a low Sharpe ratio and high drawdowns. By optimizing and enhancing risk management, it could become a robust and profitable strategy.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing. Implement the advised improvements to boost robustness, decreasing drawdown risks and improving risk-adjusted returns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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