StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2e489526]
🛡️ STIFFTREND MASKUSDT 30M 16.4
@mrdavetrading
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-20 20:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
- Sortino Ratio: 0.64
- Calmar: -1.05
- Longest DD Days: 18.00
- Volatility: 0.31
- Skew: -0.06
- Kurtosis: -1.43
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.08
- Expected Yearly: 1.00
- Kelly Criterion: 19.42
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.03
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-27 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 59
- Max Consecutive Losses: 3
- Number Losing Trades: 45
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.05
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.52
- Payoff Ratio: 1.16
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.52
- Tail Ratio: 1.28
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 1.21
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 199.29% |
Gross Profit | 576.03% |
Gross Loss | 376.74% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.341 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.644 |
Profit Factor | 1.529 |
Maximum Drawdown | 26.22% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 31.00% |
Winning Trades | 56.73% |
The strategy exhibits a commendable net profit of 199.29% and maintains a profit factor of 1.529, indicating that it earns $1.529 for every dollar lost. The Sharpe ratio of 0.341 is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5 for crypto trading, suggesting potential room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 26.22% is within acceptable limits, and the strategy's volatility is manageable at 31%.
Strategy Viability
Bearing in mind the data presented, this strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading. The maximum drawdown and volatility levels suggest that the strategy can handle market fluctuations reasonably well. It is essential to analyze the market conditions under which the strategy performs optimally and determine if these conditions are likely to persist. Although the Sharpe ratio is below the preferred level, the strategy's overall positive performance suggests room for optimization.
Risk Management
The strategy showcases responsible risk management practices, as evidenced by the controlled maximum drawdown and the absence of margin calls. However, to enhance risk management further, the following improvements can be considered:
- Incorporate dynamic position sizing to adjust leverage based on market conditions, potentially lowering drawdowns.
- Introduce additional stop-loss mechanisms to curb potential losses more effectively.
- Broaden asset diversification to mitigate market-specific risks.
Improvement Suggestions
For augmenting the strategy's performance and durability, I recommend the following:
- Examine the strategy parameters to potentially amplify returns while minimizing drawdowns.
- Integrate supplementary technical indicators to refine both entry and exit points.
- Perform extensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness across diverse market scenarios.
- Refine the risk management framework with advanced techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy shows substantial potential with a significant net profit and a balanced risk-return profile. While the Sharpe ratio is slightly below the desirable level, there are opportunities to optimize this aspect. The risk management practices are credible, but ongoing improvements could fortify resilience against volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy. Implement proposed improvements to bolster its robustness and adapt the risk management framework to better navigate market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -3.13% | -3.11% | 6.83% | 10.33% | -10.32% | 19.13% | 2.94% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 20.28% | 0.00% | 8.22% | 2.27% | -11.04% | 12.58% | 11.93% | 12.19% | 1.16% | 3.40% | 1.73% | 11.63% |
2022 | 7.69% | 8.13% | 0.00% | -8.24% | 0.00% | -4.35% | 13.39% | 8.36% | -16.09% | -11.73% | 0.00% | 10.85% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.75% |
Live Trades Stats
MASK
Base Currency
32
Number of Trades
27.14%
Cumulative Returns
53.13%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
12.64%
30 Days
56.52%
60 Days
28.26%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 274.30 USD | 137.15 | 174.97 USD | 87.48 | 99.33 USD | 49.66 |
Gross Profit | 716.01 | 358.00 | 415.78 | 207.89 | 300.23 | 150.11 |
Gross Loss | 441.71 | 220.86 | 240.81 | 120.41 | 200.90 | 100.45 |
Max Run-up | 311.23 | 61.91 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 76.48 | 26.22 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −134.95 | −67.47 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.381 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.699 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.621 | 1.727 | 1.494 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 471 | 441 | 471 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 34.19 | 19.29 | 14.89 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 72 | 39 | 33 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 42 | 23 | 19 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 30 | 16 | 14 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.33 | 58.97 | 57.58 | |||
Avg Trade | 3.81 | 0.77 | 4.49 | 0.86 | 3.01 | 0.66 |
Avg Winning Trade | 17.05 | 3.01 | 18.08 | 3.06 | 15.80 | 2.96 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14.72 | 2.38 | 15.05 | 2.31 | 14.35 | 2.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.158 | 1.201 | 1.101 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 34.19 | 5.17 | 30.91 | 3.77 | 34.19 | 5.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 26.41 | 3.07 | 21.71 | 2.90 | 26.41 | 3.07 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 16 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 19 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 12 | 26 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 398.59 USD | 199.29 | 124.26 USD | 62.13 | 274.33 USD | 137.17 |
Gross Profit | 1,152.06 | 576.03 | 568.48 | 284.24 | 583.58 | 291.79 |
Gross Loss | 753.47 | 376.74 | 444.22 | 222.11 | 309.25 | 154.63 |
Max Run-up | 407.10 | 68.01 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 123.09 | 26.22 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −154.16 | −77.08 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.341 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.644 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.529 | 1.28 | 1.887 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 631 | 570 | 631 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 58.52 | 32.04 | 26.48 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 104 | 56 | 48 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 59 | 30 | 29 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 45 | 26 | 19 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.73 | 53.57 | 60.42 | |||
Avg Trade | 3.83 | 0.67 | 2.22 | 0.54 | 5.72 | 0.81 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19.53 | 2.93 | 18.95 | 2.93 | 20.12 | 2.93 |
Avg Losing Trade | 16.74 | 2.31 | 17.09 | 2.22 | 16.28 | 2.42 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.166 | 1.109 | 1.236 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 37.65 | 5.17 | 30.91 | 3.80 | 37.65 | 5.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 30.15 | 3.07 | 30.15 | 2.90 | 29.39 | 3.07 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 19 | 21 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 20 | 21 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 16 | 23 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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