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kubajs trendhoo aaveusdt 90m 21.05

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TREND FOLOWING 90 minutes @kubajs
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1e87c64a]

🛡️ TRENDHOO AAVEUSDT 90M 21.05

Trading Pair
AAVE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
158.16%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
39.57%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.289
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.61%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
609
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 5, 2022
1,548
Days
609
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-05 23:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.41
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.00
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 185.00
  • Volatility: 22.75
  • Skew: 0.84
  • Kurtosis: 1.06
  • Expected Daily: 0.17
  • Expected Monthly: 3.63
  • Expected Yearly: 53.39
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.80
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.68
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.13
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 16:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 241
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 368
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.97
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.75
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.33
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.94
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 10.49

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+3.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.23%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-7.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+9.02%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+14.82%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
39.7%
Total Trades
610
Cumulative
-1.56%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
400.36%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
-9.84%
+5.56%
Simple P&L
+4.28%
+6.98%
Simple P&L
-1.70%
+6.70%
Simple P&L
+6.83%
-1.98%
Simple P&L
+0.90%
-8.80%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+72.86%
Simple P&L
-0.57%
+23.63%
Simple P&L
+4.08%
+18.42%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
-9.25%
Simple P&L
+2.65%
+29.46%
Simple P&L
-1.90%
+24.08%
Simple P&L
+0.88%
+7.56%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.41%
+35.71%
Simple P&L
+0.96%
-6.01%
Simple P&L
+1.26%
-1.24%
Simple P&L
-1.36%
-25.24%
Simple P&L
+3.75%
+8.29%
Simple P&L
-5.83%
-6.90%
Simple P&L
+4.16%
+5.21%
Simple P&L
+0.90%
-0.23%
Simple P&L
+0.89%
+29.09%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
-3.40%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
-21.42%
Simple P&L
-1.71%
+30.95%
Simple P&L
2024
+5.53%
+33.58%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+5.85%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+22.19%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+42.72%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
-19.24%
Simple P&L
+2.28%
-3.79%
Simple P&L
-1.66%
+38.22%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+41.45%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
-19.25%
Simple P&L
+2.69%
+10.02%
Simple P&L
-4.50%
+11.22%
Simple P&L
+0.10%
-8.77%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.18%
-20.24%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+5.96%
Simple P&L
+2.24%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
+2.38%
+9.22%
Simple P&L
-2.96%
-7.58%
Simple P&L
+0.73%
+11.60%
Simple P&L
-0.88%
-24.21%
Simple P&L
+1.54%
+28.61%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+0.03%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

610

Number of Trades

-1.56%

Cumulative Returns

39.67%

Win Rate

2024-05-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-7.86%

30 Days

6.54%

60 Days

9.02%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3994.991.55
Net Profit158159.63158.1672349.4372.3585810.285.81
Gross Profit705293.56705.29355439.91355.44349853.65349.85
Gross Loss547133.93547.13283090.48283.09264043.45264.04
Expected Payoff259.7226.09296.92
Commission Paid31642.3117192.8514449.46
Buy & Hold Return-50698.29-50.7
Buy & Hold % Gain-50.7
Strategy Outperformance208857.92
Max Contracts Held777720.0777.0
Annualized Return (cagr)25.1813.7615.8
Return On Initial Capital158.1672.3585.81
Account Size Required48937.7
Return On Account Size Required323.19147.84175.35
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)10445.4510.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44629.7344.63
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)196568.6866.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)196.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6633.776.63
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.311.561.84
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)48639.1548.64
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)48937.717.15
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48.94
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2033.481001.051103.27
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.643.3
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.422.552.95
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades609.0320.0289.0
Number Winning Trades241.0133.0108.0
Number Losing Trades368.0187.0181.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.5741.5637.37
Avg P&l259.70.65226.090.57296.920.73
Avg Winning Trade2926.538.262672.487.333239.399.4
Avg Losing Trade1486.784.341513.854.241458.84.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9681.7652.221
Largest Winning Trade12924.4412924.4411528.45
Largest Winning Trade Percent23.6920.3623.69
Largest Losing Trade7777.787227.377777.78
Largest Losing Trade Percent21.9513.6721.95
Avg # Bars In Trades26.022.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades33.026.042.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.020.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.413
Sortino Ratio0.997
Profit Factor1.2891.2561.325
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3972.21.54
Net Profit158159.63158.1672349.4372.3585810.285.81
Gross Profit705293.56705.29355439.91355.44349853.65349.85
Gross Loss547133.93547.13283090.48283.09264043.45264.04
Expected Payoff259.7226.09296.92
Commission Paid31642.3117192.8514449.46
Buy & Hold Return-50679.85-50.68
Buy & Hold % Gain-50.68
Strategy Outperformance208839.48
Max Contracts Held777720.0777.0
Annualized Return (cagr)25.1813.7615.8
Return On Initial Capital158.1672.3585.81
Account Size Required48937.7
Return On Account Size Required323.19147.84175.35
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)10445.4510.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44629.7344.63
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)196568.6866.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)196.57
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)24 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6633.776.63
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.311.561.83
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)48639.1548.64
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)48937.717.15
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48.94
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2033.481001.051103.27
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.833.643.3
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.422.552.95
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades609.0320.0289.0
Number Winning Trades241.0133.0108.0
Number Losing Trades368.0187.0181.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.5741.5637.37
Avg P&l259.70.65226.090.57296.920.73
Avg Winning Trade2926.538.262672.487.333239.399.4
Avg Losing Trade1486.784.341513.854.241458.84.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9681.7652.221
Largest Winning Trade12924.4412924.4411528.45
Largest Winning Trade Percent23.6920.3623.69
Largest Losing Trade7777.787227.377777.78
Largest Losing Trade Percent21.9513.6721.95
Avg # Bars In Trades26.022.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades33.026.042.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.020.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.413
Sortino Ratio0.997
Profit Factor1.2891.2561.325
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Uopn reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 25.22%
Sharpe Ratio 0.407
Profit Factor 1.289
Maximum Drawdown 48.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 22.73%
Percent Profitable 39.57%

The strategy yields an annualized return of 25.22%, which is commendable. However, the Sharpe Ratio at 0.407 signifies below-average risk-adjusted returns, suggesting that the strategy could face challenges during volatile periods. The profit factor of 1.289 provides a modest edge, indicating that the strategy generates $1.29 for every dollar lost. The maximum drawdown, at 48.64%, is above the ideal threshold, signaling a potential area of concern when considering overall risk management.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy demonstrates positive returns and outperforms a typical buy-and-hold approach which has a negative return (-48.24%), its viability in real-world trading may require enhancements. The below-average Sharpe ratio and higher-than-preferred maximum drawdown necessitate thorough analysis to optimize risk-adjusted performance. The consistent annual return suggests potential, but real-world trading should consider market conditions that favor such returns and the likelihood of their persistence.

Risk Management

The current risk management strategy reflects certain vulnerabilities given the relatively high maximum drawdown and moderate volatility. Improvement in the following areas may bolster safety and consistency:

  • Implement better drawdown management, such as reducing leverage to lower risk exposure.
  • Introduce dynamic stop-loss measures to mitigate sudden losses and enhance predictability in performance.
  • Diversify the portfolio further, diminishing specific market risks by spreading investment across multiple crypto-assets.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the strategy's effectiveness and robustness while minimizing risks, consider the following suggestions:

  • Re-evaluate key parameters for optimization to target improved Sharpe ratio and decreased drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators that have proven effective in similarly volatile market conditions.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting as well as real-time forward testing to ensure the strategy's sustainability and profitability across varying market environments.
  • Adjust the leverage used in the strategy to minimize sharp drawdowns while achieving consistent growth.

Final Opinion

In summary, the trading strategy indicates promising annual returns; however, enhancements in risk management and optimization are imperative for its long-term viability. The strategic use of leverage and refined parameter settings should be explored to maximize risk-adjusted returns.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and robust testing. Refine the risk management framework to address drawdown concerns effectively and enhance the overall strategic performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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