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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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fx156 silentsurge runeusdt 5m 28.05

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CONFIRMATION BASED 5 minutes @fx156
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9425ffb2]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 5M 28.05

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-8.16% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
-14.08%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
40.54%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.912
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.22%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
185
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2026
68
Days
185
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2026-01-07 14:40:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.04
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.07
  • Calmar: 1.79
  • Longest DD Days: 163.00
  • Volatility: 3.13
  • Skew: 0.48
  • Kurtosis: -0.31
  • Expected Daily: -0.01
  • Expected Monthly: -0.14
  • Expected Yearly: -1.69
  • Kelly Criterion: -4.18
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.29
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.34
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 03:41:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 75
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 110
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 1.79
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.91
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.34
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.91
  • Tail Ratio: 1.24
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.35
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.83
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: -0.80

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.44%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.22%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.46%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.22%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-8.95%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-4.30%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-15.39%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-16.57%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-15.39%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
40.9%
Total Trades
186
Cumulative
-0.22%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-15.39%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

186

Number of Trades

-0.22%

Cumulative Returns

40.86%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-4.3%

30 Days

-16.57%

60 Days

-15.39%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l73.610.86
Net Profit-1407.6-14.08-1482.06-14.8274.460.74
Gross Profit14542.01145.429428.5394.295113.4851.13
Gross Loss15949.61159.510910.59109.115039.0150.39
Expected Payoff-7.61-16.840.77
Commission Paid2147.561348.08799.47
Buy & Hold Return-2272.18-22.72
Buy & Hold % Gain-22.72
Strategy Outperformance864.58
Max Contracts Held5420354203.051559.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-54.08-56.093.88
Return On Initial Capital-14.08-14.820.74
Account Size Required3939.07
Return On Account Size Required-35.73-37.621.89
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)929.239.29
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1397.5313.98
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2526.4622.09
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)25.26
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1629.9816.3
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.34-0.360.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3936.6439.37
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3939.0732.71
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)39.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-342.81-360.9430.2
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.986.146.78
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.573.764.89
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades185.088.097.0
Number Winning Trades75.031.044.0
Number Losing Trades110.057.053.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.5435.2345.36
Avg P&l-7.61-0.09-16.84-0.130.77-0.05
Avg Winning Trade193.891.27304.151.45116.221.15
Avg Losing Trade145.01.01191.410.9995.081.04
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3371.5891.222
Largest Winning Trade578.82578.82346.46
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.342.233.34
Largest Losing Trade410.61410.61246.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.071.982.07
Avg # Bars In Trades30.030.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades38.034.042.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.027.021.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.039
Sortino Ratio-0.067
Profit Factor0.9120.8641.015
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l79.270.92
Net Profit-1407.6-14.08-1482.06-14.8274.460.74
Gross Profit14542.01145.429428.5394.295113.4851.13
Gross Loss15949.61159.510910.59109.115039.0150.39
Expected Payoff-7.61-16.840.77
Commission Paid2147.561348.08799.47
Buy & Hold Return-2275.6-22.76
Buy & Hold % Gain-22.76
Strategy Outperformance868
Max Contracts Held5420354203.051559.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-54.08-56.093.88
Return On Initial Capital-14.08-14.820.74
Account Size Required3939.07
Return On Account Size Required-35.73-37.621.89
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)929.239.29
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1397.5313.98
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2526.4622.09
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)25.26
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1629.9816.3
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.34-0.360.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3936.6439.37
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3939.0732.71
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)39.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-342.81-360.9430.2
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.986.146.78
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.573.764.89
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades185.088.097.0
Number Winning Trades75.031.044.0
Number Losing Trades110.057.053.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.5435.2345.36
Avg P&l-7.61-0.09-16.84-0.130.77-0.05
Avg Winning Trade193.891.27304.151.45116.221.15
Avg Losing Trade145.01.01191.410.9995.081.04
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3371.5891.222
Largest Winning Trade578.82578.82346.46
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.342.233.34
Largest Losing Trade410.61410.61246.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.071.982.07
Avg # Bars In Trades30.030.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades38.034.042.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.027.021.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.038
Sortino Ratio-0.067
Profit Factor0.9120.8641.015
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return -2.5%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -12.11%
Sharpe Ratio 0.007
Profit Factor 0.984
Maximum Drawdown 38.18%
Volatility (Annualized) 3.01%
Percent Profitable 42.64%

The strategy currently shows a cumulative loss of -2.5% with an annualized return of -12.11%. While the Sharpe Ratio is below what is typically considered good at 0.007, the maximum drawdown of 38.18% remains within acceptable limits. The Profit Factor is slightly below 1, indicating that the strategy's losses are marginally outweighing its gains.

Strategy Viability

Currently, the strategy presents challenges regarding its viability in real-world trading, primarily due to its negative return profile and low risk-adjusted metrics. The market conditions under which this strategy was tested may not be optimal, or the strategy needs more refinement to perform better across various conditions. Comparing it to industry benchmarks, these metrics suggest there is substantial room for improvement.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management could benefit from enhancements, especially in improving its risk-reward balance, given the current drawdown and profitability metrics. Though no margin calls were reported, the drawdown could be potentially reduced by adjusting leverage usage and incorporating better position sizing techniques.

  • Consider reducing leverage to decrease potential drawdowns.
  • Implement stop-loss mechanisms to limit losses during unfavorable trades.
  • Review trading entry and exit criteria for better opportunity selection.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy’s performance, here are some recommendations:

  • Optimize trade parameters to better balance risk and return, possibly by using advanced optimization algorithms.
  • Incorporate additional indicators for improved decision-making capabilities.
  • Conduct more extensive backtesting across differing market conditions to assess robustness and gather more insightful metrics.
  • Enhance and test risk management frameworks, using tools such as stress tests and Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates proactivity in risk management with controlled drawdowns, its negative returns and suboptimal risk-adjusted metrics necessitate significant modifications and testing. The potential for improvement is optimistic if the recommended enhancements and rigorous testing are implemented.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and extensive testing. Apply the suggested improvements to potentially pivot the strategy towards positive outcomes and ensure that it is robust across various market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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